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state house district

Missouri 48th State House District

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1876–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1876 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

German27.6%21.3%12.5%

English12.3%11.9%9.5%

Irish9.9%11.8%9.4%

American7.6%6.8%5.3%

Scottish1.9%1.8%1.3%

Italian1.2%3.2%4.8%

French1.2%2.2%1.6%

Dutch0.8%——

African American†4.3%10.0%9.9%

Mexican1.1%3.2%11.3%

Spanish0.2%——

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	MO HD 48	Missouri	United States
Median age	40.5	39.2	39.1
Age 18–24	9.7%	9.2%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	20.4%	17.9%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	MO HD 48	Missouri	United States
Median household income	$68,696	$70,702	$84,427
Poverty rate	11.0%	12.6%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	23.6%	32.4%	35.6%

Housing and tenure

Measure	MO HD 48	Missouri	United States
Owner-occupied homes	78.8%	68.1%	65.2%
Renter-occupied homes	21.2%	31.9%	34.8%
Median home value	$177,100	$230,300	$332,700
Median gross rent (monthly)	$760	$1,033	$1,413
Renters paying 30%+ of income	38.5%	45.6%	51.1%
Vacant housing units	19.4%	11.2%	10.1%

Getting to work

Measure	MO HD 48	Missouri	United States
Mean commute	25.9 min	23.5 min	26.4 min
Commutes 60 minutes or more	7.5%	5.4%	8.6%
Drives alone to work	79.2%	74.8%	68.8%
Takes public transit	0.5%	0.8%	3.2%
Works from home	7.7%	13.0%	15.1%

Languages at home

Measure	MO HD 48	Missouri	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	1.9%	6.7%	22.3%

Religious landscape

Measure	MO HD 48	Missouri	United States
Catholic	—	12.5%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	—	24.1%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	—	51.7%	51.5%

Origins and service

Measure	MO HD 48	Missouri	United States
Foreign-born residents	0.8%	4.5%	14.1%
Naturalized citizens	0.4%	2.3%	7.4%
Not U.S. citizens	0.4%	2.2%	6.8%
Veterans (18+)	7.3%	7.3%	6.2%
Income inequality (Gini)	0.409	0.465	0.483

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations · American Community Survey 2024 — housing and tenure (B25003, B25002, B25077, B25064, B25070), commuting (B08013, B08303, B08301), origins and service (B05002, B21001, B19083).

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries

HarrisDemocratic24.8%4,717TrumpRepublican74.0%14,091OtherAll other candidates1.2%228

R+49.2

Lead: 9,374
Total: 19,036
vs nation: R+47.8

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

BidenDemocratic25.0%4,749TrumpRepublican73.1%13,872OtherAll other candidates1.9%364

R+48.1

Lead: 9,123
Total: 18,985
vs nation: R+52.5

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic23.9%4,284TrumpRepublican71.0%12,707OtherAll other candidates5.1%910

R+47.1

Lead: 8,423
Total: 17,901
vs nation: R+49.1

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic33.5%5,765RomneyRepublican64.3%11,068OtherAll other candidates2.2%371

R+30.8

Lead: 5,303
Total: 17,204
vs nation: R+34.7

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic39.4%7,157McCainRepublican58.8%10,671OtherAll other candidates1.8%329

R+19.4

Lead: 3,514
Total: 18,157
vs nation: R+26.6

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

KerryDemocratic36.8%6,543BushRepublican62.6%11,137OtherAll other candidates0.6%112

R+25.8

Lead: 4,594
Total: 17,792
vs nation: R+23.4

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

GoreDemocratic40.6%6,648BushRepublican57.0%9,333OtherAll other candidates2.3%381

R+16.4

Lead: 2,685
Total: 16,362
vs nation: R+16.9

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic45.9%7,206DoleRepublican40.3%6,321OtherAll other candidates13.8%2,166

D+5.6

Lead: 885
Total: 15,693
vs nation: R+2.9

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+49.2MIT Election Lab
Population: 36,7482024 5-year
Population density: 19 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 1,928 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $68,6962024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 88.0%2024 5-year
Black: 4.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 1.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+40.9 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+49.2 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Most similar: State House District 1, MO · twin score 98.4

presidential history

Party record book

Missouri 48th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Franklin D. Roosevelt1932

70.2%

17,094 votes · D+40.9 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Samuel J. Tilden, 1876 · 63.5%

Republican

Donald Trump2024

74.0%

14,091 votes · R+49.2 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 73.1%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Franklin D. Roosevelt1932

17,094votes

70.2% of the vote · D+40.9 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 16,791 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2024

14,091votes

74.0% of the vote · R+49.2 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 13,872 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

John W. Davis1924

+41.6pts D vs U.S.

Place D+16.4 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Alton B. Parker, 1904 · +34.5 pts

Republican

Donald Trump2020

+52.5pts R vs U.S.

Place R+48.1 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +49.1 pts

current representation

Current officeholders

RTim TaylorState House · 48

State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.

U.S. House elections · 1 House

Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.

U.S. House

Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic county-allocated estimate from certified county returns, House; not precinct-counted.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2018	R	27.3%4,087	72.7%10,893	14,980

With a 2024 presidential margin of R+49.3, this district ranks among the most heavily one-sided state house seats in Missouri, suggesting a rural or small-town constituency where competitive general elections are rare.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 40.9 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 49.2 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 49.2 points.

A population of 36,748, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $68,696 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 1 and State House District 43.

Political twins — state-house districts

The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

State House District 1

2012–2024 trajectory

State House District 43

2012–2024 trajectory

State House District 5

2012–2024 trajectory

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

District research tools

Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Missouri 48th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/29048/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Missouri at the ballot boxAll elections →

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Places within Missouri 48th State House District

counties it covers4

Chariton County Cooper County Howard County Randolph County

Frequently asked questions

How did Missouri 48th State House District vote in 2024?

In 2024, Missouri 48th State House District voted Republican by 49.2 points (R+49.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 19,036 votes cast, 4,717 went Democratic and 14,091 went Republican.

When did Missouri 48th State House District last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Missouri 48th State House District voted Democratic was 1996.

How many people live in Missouri 48th State House District?

Missouri 48th State House District has a population of 36,748 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Missouri 48th State House District?

Median household income in Missouri 48th State House District is $68,696 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.

What is the political history of Missouri 48th State House District?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Missouri 48th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 25 went Democratic and 13 went Republican.