- Lead
- 9,518
- Total
- 18,046
- vs nation
- R+51.3
Missouri 1st State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 9,253
- Total
- 18,287
- vs nation
- R+55.1
- Lead
- 8,648
- Total
- 17,586
- vs nation
- R+51.3
- Lead
- 5,792
- Total
- 16,994
- vs nation
- R+37.9
- Lead
- 3,732
- Total
- 19,120
- vs nation
- R+26.8
- Lead
- 5,465
- Total
- 19,278
- vs nation
- R+25.9
- Lead
- 3,760
- Total
- 17,687
- vs nation
- R+21.8
- Lead
- 496
- Total
- 17,536
- vs nation
- R+5.7
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+52.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 36,9312024 5-year
- Population density
- 16 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 2,378 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $59,2152024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+27.4 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+52.7 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 48, MO · twin score 98.4
presidential history
Party record book
Missouri 1st State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
63.5%
17,370 votes · D+27.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 62.3%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
75.9%
13,694 votes · R+52.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 74.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
18,200votes
54.0% of the vote · D+8.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 17,370 votes
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
17,802votes
56.3% of the vote · R+13.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Dwight D. Eisenhower, 1952 · 17,778 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+20.8pts D vs U.S.
Place R+4.4 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · +17.1 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+55.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+50.6 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +51.3 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Anchored in the state's rural northwest corner, this sparsely populated district delivered a 52.7-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, reflecting the broader realignment of rural Missouri away from statewide competitiveness.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 27.4 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 52.7 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 52.7 points.
A population of 36,931, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $59,215 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 48 and State House District 43.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Missouri 1st State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/29001/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.