- Lead
- 14,626
- Total
- 20,023
- vs nation
- R+71.6
Missouri 151st State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 14,170
- Total
- 19,723
- vs nation
- R+76.3
- Lead
- 13,153
- Total
- 18,729
- vs nation
- R+72.3
- Lead
- 9,464
- Total
- 18,045
- vs nation
- R+56.3
- Lead
- 7,983
- Total
- 18,604
- vs nation
- R+50.2
- Lead
- 8,038
- Total
- 18,490
- vs nation
- R+41.0
- Lead
- 5,439
- Total
- 17,073
- vs nation
- R+32.4
- Lead
- 1,174
- Total
- 15,493
- vs nation
- R+16.1
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+73.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 38,8342024 5-year
- Population density
- 30 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,309 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $59,4032024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+39.9 in 1876MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+73.0 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 124, MO · twin score 98.4
presidential history
Party record book
Missouri 151st State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Samuel J. Tilden1876
69.9%
1,944 votes · D+39.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 63.7%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
86.2%
17,257 votes · R+73.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 85.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
9,002votes
63.7% of the vote · D+28.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Harry S. Truman, 1948 · 8,408 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
17,257votes
86.2% of the vote · R+73.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 16,855 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+27.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+21.1 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +26.2 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+76.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+71.8 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +72.3 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+73.1, this rural Missouri district ranks among the most one-sided in the state, reflecting the deep partisan alignment common to sparsely populated agricultural areas of the Ozarks region.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 39.9 points in 1876 and a Republican high of 73.0 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 73.0 points.
A population of 38,834, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $59,403 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 124 and State House District 142.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Missouri 151st State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/29151/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.