- Lead
- 9,728
- Total
- 15,765
- vs nation
- R+60.2
Missouri 152nd State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 9,582
- Total
- 15,924
- vs nation
- R+64.6
- Lead
- 9,125
- Total
- 15,207
- vs nation
- R+62.1
- Lead
- 6,685
- Total
- 14,945
- vs nation
- R+48.6
- Lead
- 5,451
- Total
- 15,356
- vs nation
- R+42.8
- Lead
- 5,919
- Total
- 14,581
- vs nation
- R+38.1
- Lead
- 3,354
- Total
- 12,814
- vs nation
- R+26.7
- Lead
- 826
- Total
- 12,818
- vs nation
- R+15.0
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+61.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 37,7562024 5-year
- Population density
- 82 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 462 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $50,0612024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 84.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+52.2 in 1876MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+61.7 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 21, MS · twin score 97.7
presidential history
Party record book
Missouri 152nd State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Samuel J. Tilden1876
76.1%
650 votes · D+52.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Winfield S. Hancock, 1880 · 67.4%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
80.4%
12,675 votes · R+61.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 79.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
7,081votes
59.1% of the vote · D+18.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1976 · 6,203 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
12,675votes
80.4% of the vote · R+61.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 12,644 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+12.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+6.3 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1976 · +9.2 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+64.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+60.2 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +62.1 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+61.7, this rural Missouri district sits at the far end of the state's partisan geography, where demographic consolidation has made competitive general elections effectively rare.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 52.2 points in 1876 and a Republican high of 61.7 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 61.7 points.
A population of 37,756, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $50,061 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 21 and State House District 142.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Missouri 152nd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/29152/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.