- Lead
- 6,171
- Total
- 13,979
- vs nation
- D+45.6
Missouri 81st State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 6,595
- Total
- 15,552
- vs nation
- D+38.0
- Lead
- 5,304
- Total
- 15,396
- vs nation
- D+32.4
- Lead
- 6,203
- Total
- 16,564
- vs nation
- D+33.6
- Lead
- 7,080
- Total
- 18,117
- vs nation
- D+31.8
- Lead
- 4,880
- Total
- 17,010
- vs nation
- D+31.1
- Lead
- 3,643
- Total
- 15,069
- vs nation
- D+23.7
- Lead
- 3,780
- Total
- 14,522
- vs nation
- D+17.5
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+44.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 38,5922024 5-year
- Population density
- 6,225 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 6.2 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $54,6792024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 54.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 26.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 8.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+44.1 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+53.5 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 80, MO · twin score 97.6
presidential history
Party record book
Missouri 81st State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1880) · 37 presidential cycles · 37 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
70.8%
9,897 votes · D+44.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 70.2%
Republican
William McKinley1896
74.6%
14,110 votes · R+49.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 74.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
24,412votes
45.9% of the vote · R+5.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Adlai Stevenson, 1952 · 22,086 votes
Republican
Wendell Willkie1940
35,989votes
62.1% of the vote · R+24.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 34,897 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+45.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+44.1 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +38.0 pts
Republican
Charles E. Hughes1916
+46.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+42.9 · U.S. D+3.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · +43.8 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 83.8%11,639 | 16.2%2,255 | 13,894 |
| 2020 | D | 81.9%14,014 | 18.1%3,100 | 17,114 |
Missouri 81st State House District sits in the Border South. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 44.1 points in 2024 and a Republican high of 53.5 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.7 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 44.1 points.
A population of 38,592, a 54% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $54,679 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 80 and State House District 79.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Missouri 81st State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/29081/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.