- Lead
- 9,370
- Total
- 22,542
- vs nation
- D+43.0
Missouri 82nd State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 8,927
- Total
- 23,549
- vs nation
- D+33.5
- Lead
- 5,634
- Total
- 21,752
- vs nation
- D+23.8
- Lead
- 6,575
- Total
- 23,361
- vs nation
- D+24.3
- Lead
- 7,761
- Total
- 25,364
- vs nation
- D+23.3
- Lead
- 4,581
- Total
- 24,317
- vs nation
- D+21.3
- Lead
- 3,233
- Total
- 21,406
- vs nation
- D+14.6
- Lead
- 3,417
- Total
- 21,119
- vs nation
- D+7.7
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+41.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 38,7722024 5-year
- Population density
- 5,461 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 7.1 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $76,3402024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 83.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+41.6 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+59.9 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 78, VA · twin score 84.1
presidential history
Party record book
Missouri 82nd State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1880) · 37 presidential cycles · 37 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
69.9%
15,752 votes · D+41.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 67.9%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
77.9%
56,497 votes · R+59.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · 77.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
32,024votes
40.8% of the vote · R+15.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Adlai Stevenson, 1952 · 29,075 votes
Republican
Wendell Willkie1940
58,388votes
66.8% of the vote · R+33.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 56,497 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+43.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+41.6 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · +33.5 pts
Republican
Charles E. Hughes1916
+54.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+51.1 · U.S. D+3.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · +50.6 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 83.8%11,694 | 16.2%2,265 | 13,959 |
| 2020 | D | 81.9%14,079 | 18.1%3,115 | 17,194 |
With a 2024 presidential margin of D+41.6, this district ranks among the most heavily Democratic constituencies in Missouri, a pattern typically anchored by dense urban precincts and majority-minority demographics.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 41.6 points in 2024 and a Republican high of 59.9 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.7 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 41.6 points.
A population of 38,772, a 83% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $76,340 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 78 and State House District 41.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Missouri 82nd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/29082/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.