- Lead
- 11,061
- Total
- 14,075
- vs nation
- D+80.1
Missouri 77th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 13,043
- Total
- 16,197
- vs nation
- D+76.1
- Lead
- 13,120
- Total
- 16,109
- vs nation
- D+79.4
- Lead
- 15,010
- Total
- 17,773
- vs nation
- D+80.6
- Lead
- 16,875
- Total
- 19,761
- vs nation
- D+78.1
- Lead
- 14,394
- Total
- 17,578
- vs nation
- D+84.3
- Lead
- 11,874
- Total
- 14,947
- vs nation
- D+78.9
- Lead
- 11,282
- Total
- 14,549
- vs nation
- D+69.0
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+78.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 37,1882024 5-year
- Population density
- 5,721 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 6.5 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $48,0792024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 31.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 53.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+85.4 in 2008MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 79, MO · twin score 99.1
presidential history
Party record book
Missouri 77th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1880) · 37 presidential cycles · 37 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
92.5%
18,271 votes · D+85.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 91.8%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
37.8%
9,509 votes · D+20.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · 35.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
35,725votes
81.5% of the vote · D+64.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Adlai Stevenson, 1952 · 32,422 votes
Republican
Wendell Willkie1940
9,746votes
23.3% of the vote · D+53.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 9,509 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
+84.3pts D vs U.S.
Place D+81.9 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George McGovern, 1972 · +81.8 pts
Republican
William H. Taft1912
−20.1pts R vs U.S.
Place D+39.6 · U.S. D+19.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Charles E. Hughes, 1916 · −31.4 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 83.8%11,216 | 16.2%2,173 | 13,389 |
| 2020 | D | 81.9%13,504 | 18.1%2,988 | 16,492 |
In 2024 it voted Democratic by D+78.6, against D+85.3 in 2008. No racial group formed a majority of its residents in the 2024 ACS 5-year, with White residents at 45.5%.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 85.4 points in 2008. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 78.6 points.
A population of 37,188, a 32% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $48,079 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 79 and State House District 78.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Missouri 77th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/29077/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.