- Lead
- 9,992
- Total
- 12,750
- vs nation
- D+79.8
Missouri 76th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 13,005
- Total
- 15,771
- vs nation
- D+78.0
- Lead
- 14,164
- Total
- 17,061
- vs nation
- D+80.9
- Lead
- 16,233
- Total
- 18,805
- vs nation
- D+82.5
- Lead
- 18,241
- Total
- 20,920
- vs nation
- D+79.9
- Lead
- 15,592
- Total
- 18,556
- vs nation
- D+86.5
- Lead
- 12,894
- Total
- 15,767
- vs nation
- D+81.3
- Lead
- 12,236
- Total
- 15,353
- vs nation
- D+71.2
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+78.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 36,6362024 5-year
- Population density
- 2,348 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 15.6 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $48,3492024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 22.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 69.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+87.2 in 2008MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 84, MO · twin score 98.7
presidential history
Party record book
Missouri 76th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1880) · 37 presidential cycles · 37 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
93.4%
19,544 votes · D+87.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 92.7%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
35.2%
9,065 votes · D+25.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · 32.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
38,230votes
83.1% of the vote · D+67.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Adlai Stevenson, 1952 · 34,679 votes
Republican
Wendell Willkie1940
9,242votes
21.2% of the vote · D+57.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 9,065 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
+86.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+84.0 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George McGovern, 1972 · +86.0 pts
Republican
William H. Taft1912
−23.7pts R vs U.S.
Place D+43.3 · U.S. D+19.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Charles E. Hughes, 1916 · −36.3 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | D | 83.8%11,049 | 16.2%2,140 | 13,189 |
| 2020 | D | 81.9%13,304 | 18.1%2,943 | 16,247 |
With a 2024 presidential margin of D+78.4, this district ranks among the most reliably Democratic constituencies in the state, likely anchored by a dense urban core with high concentrations of college-educated or majority-minority voters.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 87.2 points in 2008. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 78.4 points.
A population of 36,636, a 23% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $48,349 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 84 and State House District 78.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Missouri 76th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/29076/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.