- Lead
- 6,061
- Total
- 21,479
- vs nation
- R+26.7
Minnesota State House District 19A
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 4,945
- Total
- 21,551
- vs nation
- R+27.4
- Lead
- 4,877
- Total
- 19,472
- vs nation
- R+27.1
- Lead
- 2,491
- Total
- 18,897
- vs nation
- R+17.0
- Lead
- 2,001
- Total
- 18,657
- vs nation
- R+18.0
- Lead
- 2,628
- Total
- 18,234
- vs nation
- R+12.0
- Lead
- 1,986
- Total
- 15,734
- vs nation
- R+13.1
- Lead
- 764
- Total
- 13,692
- vs nation
- R+2.9
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+28.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 42,3002024 5-year
- Population density
- 75 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 563 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $76,0502024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 77.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 8.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+5.6 in 1996MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+66.1 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 16A, MN · twin score 96.1
presidential history
Party record book
Minnesota State House District 19A · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
51.1%
4,840 votes · D+2.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 49.2%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
82.0%
5,493 votes · R+66.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Theodore Roosevelt, 1904 · 79.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
8,117votes
43.5% of the vote · R+10.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 8,055 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
13,551votes
63.1% of the vote · R+28.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 13,000 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Bill Clinton1996
−2.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+5.6 · U.S. D+8.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Walter Mondale, 1984 · −3.1 pts
Republican
Wendell Willkie1940
+50.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+40.4 · U.S. D+9.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1944 · +44.7 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 47.5%10,522 | 52.5%11,615 | 22,137 |
| 2020 | R | 49.5%10,290 | 50.5%10,497 | 20,787 |
Anchored in greater Minnesota's rural corridor, District 19A has delivered Republican presidential margins above 25 points in recent cycles, reflecting a electorate shaped by agriculture, small-town demographics, and low population density.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 5.6 points in 1996 and a Republican high of 66.1 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 28.2 points.
A population of 42,300, a 77% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $76,050 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 16A and State House District 15A.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Minnesota State House District 19A. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/2719A/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.