- Lead
- 18,506
- Total
- 96,376
- vs nation
- R+17.7
Florida 2nd State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 14,243
- Total
- 102,443
- vs nation
- R+18.4
- Lead
- 17,341
- Total
- 90,349
- vs nation
- R+21.3
- Lead
- 15,658
- Total
- 86,105
- vs nation
- R+22.0
- Lead
- 13,967
- Total
- 88,962
- vs nation
- R+23.0
- Lead
- 22,181
- Total
- 80,584
- vs nation
- R+25.1
- Lead
- 14,511
- Total
- 65,268
- vs nation
- R+22.8
- Lead
- 9,301
- Total
- 60,005
- vs nation
- R+24.0
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+19.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 180,7972024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,444 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 125 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $74,4872024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 66.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 17.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+94.1 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+55.2 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 1, FL · twin score 94.3
presidential history
Party record book
Florida 2nd State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2000–2024 · 7 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
42.1%
43,146 votes · R+13.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 41.5%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
63.2%
50,913 votes · R+27.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2000 · 59.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
43,146votes
42.1% of the vote · R+13.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 38,328 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
57,389votes
56.0% of the vote · R+13.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 56,834 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
−17.7pts D vs U.S.
Place R+19.2 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · −18.4 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2004
+25.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+27.5 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · +23.0 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Anchored in Florida's conservative northwest corner, this district has delivered double-digit Republican presidential margins consistently, reflecting a rural and small-city electorate with deep roots in the region's military and agricultural economy.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 94.1 points in 1892 and a Republican high of 55.2 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 19.2 points.
A population of 180,797, a 67% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,487 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 1 and State House District 30.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Florida 2nd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/12002/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.