- Lead
- 57,067
- Total
- 103,888
- vs nation
- R+53.5
Florida 3rd State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 50,063
- Total
- 97,407
- vs nation
- R+55.9
- Lead
- 46,066
- Total
- 79,747
- vs nation
- R+59.9
- Lead
- 40,737
- Total
- 70,883
- vs nation
- R+61.3
- Lead
- 37,524
- Total
- 70,092
- vs nation
- R+60.8
- Lead
- 38,367
- Total
- 63,037
- vs nation
- R+58.4
- Lead
- 25,156
- Total
- 47,261
- vs nation
- R+53.7
- Lead
- 17,066
- Total
- 39,837
- vs nation
- R+51.4
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+54.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 178,5282024 5-year
- Population density
- 127 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,408 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $89,3762024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 77.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 6.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+84.2 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+82.7 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 60, TX · twin score 97.5
presidential history
Party record book
Florida 3rd State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2000–2024 · 7 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
23.4%
22,779 votes · R+51.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 22.7%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
80.1%
50,464 votes · R+60.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 78.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
22,888votes
22.0% of the vote · R+54.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 22,779 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
79,955votes
77.0% of the vote · R+54.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 72,842 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
−53.5pts D vs U.S.
Place R+54.9 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Al Gore, 2000 · −53.7 pts
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
+61.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+57.5 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · +60.8 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
The district recorded a Republican presidential margin of R+54.9 in 2024, compared with R+53.5 in 2008. The district had about 278,000 residents, 77.5% White alone in the 2024 ACS 5-year.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 84.2 points in 1892 and a Republican high of 82.7 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 54.9 points.
A population of 178,528, a 78% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $89,376 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 60 and State House District 4.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Florida 3rd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/12003/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.