- Lead
- 38,316
- Total
- 98,138
- vs nation
- R+37.6
Florida 4th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 36,495
- Total
- 102,093
- vs nation
- R+40.2
- Lead
- 39,960
- Total
- 88,935
- vs nation
- R+47.0
- Lead
- 38,783
- Total
- 83,711
- vs nation
- R+50.2
- Lead
- 35,263
- Total
- 84,504
- vs nation
- R+49.0
- Lead
- 42,190
- Total
- 78,739
- vs nation
- R+51.1
- Lead
- 29,272
- Total
- 62,393
- vs nation
- R+47.4
- Lead
- 19,841
- Total
- 55,838
- vs nation
- R+44.1
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+39.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 183,7372024 5-year
- Population density
- 360 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 511 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $80,2682024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 67.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 9.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 11.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+81.6 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+75.9 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 3, FL · twin score 95.4
presidential history
Party record book
Florida 4th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2000–2024 · 7 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
31.1%
31,747 votes · R+35.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 29.9%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
76.4%
60,130 votes · R+53.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 72.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
31,747votes
31.1% of the vote · R+35.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 29,362 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
68,242votes
66.8% of the vote · R+35.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 67,678 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
−37.6pts D vs U.S.
Place R+39.0 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · −40.2 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2004
+51.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+53.6 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · +50.2 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
In 2024 it voted Republican by R+38.5, against R+41.7 in 2008. The district had about 124,000 residents, 71.9% White alone in the 2024 ACS 5-year.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 81.6 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 75.9 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 39.0 points.
A population of 183,737, a 67% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $80,268 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 3 and State House District 16.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Florida 4th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/12004/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.