akashic
1876–2024
State House District 16·Texas

Texas 16th State House District voted Democratic for a century; it now votes Republican by 45 points.

One of Texas's most Republican-leaning legislative districts

1876 — 2024·38 elections
TX
Latest
R+45
in 2024
Archetype
Old Confederacy
since the recent cycles
Population
339,703
2024 ACS

Texas 16th State House District, Texas: Old Confederacy district. In 2024, voted R+45%. Democratic peak: D+88 in 1932.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+45MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Old ConfederacyAkashic typology
Population
339,7032024 5-year
Median household income
$97,7012024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
66.8%2024 5-year
Black
6.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
27.9%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+88 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+61 in 2012MIT Election Lab
2024 results by constituent county
1 counties · 0 D · 1 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−45.5%
40,836110,167152,501
R
−43.8%
36,91595,981134,774
R
−50.7%
22,74974,605102,196
R
−60.5%
16,33968,47886,124
R
−52.7%
18,21759,50278,344
R
−56.7%
14,20951,94366,502
R
−54.0%
11,55740,00452,716
R
−38.7%
10,28525,31838,814
R
−27.5%
9,20719,84138,693
R
−37.1%
9,12920,03229,356
R
−51.1%
6,59820,46427,144
R
−34.1%
6,25013,02219,839
R
−6.8%
6,8097,81214,721
R
−55.1%
2,1637,4789,652
O
−2.5%
1,9962,1616,579
D
+22.2%
2,4761,5724,068
D
+2.9%
1,7421,6423,443
R
−13.2%
1,2771,6682,965
D
+7.2%
1,7031,4743,181
D
+37.5%
8912701,657
D
+74.1%
1,4401091,797
D
+78.2%
1,6612031,864
D
+85.6%
1,213921,309
D
+87.8%
978631,042
D
+19.2%
449304754
D
+79.0%
74482838
D
+50.4%
464101720
D
+55.9%
43798606
D
+51.8%
30460471
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Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
11.9%
English
11.8%
Irish
8.3%
American
5.1%
Italian
3.3%
French
3.1%
Scottish
2.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 37.2 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
0.4%
85+
0.8%
1.8%
75–84
2.1%
4.1%
65–74
4.5%
5.9%
55–64
5.9%
6.6%
45–54
6.5%
7.1%
35–44
7.1%
6.4%
25–34
6.5%
4.3%
18–24
4.1%
9.9%
5–17
9.6%
3.2%
<5
3.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$97,701
State House District 16 ranks near the middle of US counties.
State House District 16$97,701
Texas$78,476
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
9.4%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1811.9%
Working age (18–64)8.5%
Seniors (65+)9.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
74.7%
speak English only
Spanish20.2%
Other Indo-European2.5%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.8%
Other languages0.7%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
15.1%
Baptist
14.0%
Other Christian
9.5%
Methodist
5.4%
Non-Christian
2.9%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.6%
Mainline Protestant
1.3%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 50.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

With a 2024 presidential margin of R+56.4, this West Texas district ranks among the most one-sided state house seats in the state, where competitive general elections are rare and primary outcomes typically decide representation.

The shift began with civil rights. 1960 marked the realignment in Texas 16th State House District, by a three points margin. The Republican margin reached its widest at sixty-one points in 2012. The 2024 margin was forty-five points.

The political shift has tracked, in Texas 16th State House District, the political shift of the South more broadly. A 67% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $97,701, and a 9% poverty rate describe the demographic context.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
State House District 16, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/48016/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did State House District 16, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, State House District 16, Texas voted Republican by 45.5 points (R+45), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 152,501 votes cast, 40,836 went Democratic and 110,167 went Republican.
What is State House District 16, Texas's political archetype?
Akashic classifies State House District 16, Texas as a "Old Confederacy" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 13 times, Republican 15 times, and other 1 times.
When did State House District 16, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which State House District 16, Texas voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in State House District 16, Texas?
State House District 16, Texas has a population of 339,703 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in State House District 16, Texas?
Median household income in State House District 16, Texas is $97,701 — above the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of State House District 16, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in State House District 16, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 15 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Old Confederacy" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.