- Lead
- 53,384
- Total
- 94,610
- vs nation
- R+55.0
Texas 16th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 44,380
- Total
- 81,442
- vs nation
- R+58.9
- Lead
- 36,294
- Total
- 61,944
- vs nation
- R+60.7
- Lead
- 33,540
- Total
- 52,034
- vs nation
- R+68.3
- Lead
- 26,907
- Total
- 47,217
- vs nation
- R+64.3
- Lead
- 21,953
- Total
- 39,417
- vs nation
- R+53.2
- Lead
- 16,543
- Total
- 31,123
- vs nation
- R+53.7
- Lead
- 8,653
- Total
- 22,797
- vs nation
- R+46.5
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+56.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 190,0522024 5-year
- Population density
- 377 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 504 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $81,5142024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 59.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 28.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+91.8 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+64.5 in 2012MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 3, TX · twin score 97.2
presidential history
Party record book
Texas 16th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 37 with a vote-share denominator · 33 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
95.9%
513 votes · D+91.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 94.3%
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
81.7%
42,509 votes · R+64.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · 78.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
20,288votes
21.4% of the vote · R+56.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 18,056 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
73,672votes
77.9% of the vote · R+56.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 62,436 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+109.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+84.5 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +98.1 pts
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
+68.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+64.5 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · +64.3 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+56.4, this West Texas district ranks among the most one-sided state house seats in the state, where competitive general elections are rare and primary outcomes typically decide representation.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 91.8 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 64.5 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 56.4 points.
A population of 190,052, a 60% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $81,514 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 3 and State House District 83.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Texas 16th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/48016/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.