Akashic

county

Niobrara County, WY

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1912–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1912 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

German23.6%21.5%12.5%

English16.6%15.7%9.5%

Irish13.0%11.7%9.4%

Swedish4.0%2.1%—

Czech3.7%——

American3.5%5.0%5.3%

French2.8%—1.6%

Norwegian2.7%3.0%—

Mexican5.5%8.0%11.3%

African American†3.5%—9.9%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Niobrara County	Wyoming	United States
Median age	54.9	39.4	39.1
Age 18–24	4.7%	8.9%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	33.0%	18.5%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Niobrara County	Wyoming	United States
Median household income	$64,113	$76,176	$84,427
Poverty rate	12.0%	10.6%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	19.4%	30.7%	35.6%

Languages at home

Measure	Niobrara County	Wyoming	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	1.1%	6.8%	22.3%

Religious landscape

Measure	Niobrara County	Wyoming	United States
Catholic	5.9%	12.0%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	12.4%	11.2%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	67.8%	59.7%	51.5%
Mainline Protestant	5.1%	4.1%	5.2%
Latter-day Saints	8.8%	11.6%	2.0%

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

President results by year

2024 turnout 58.7% of 2,120 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic9.1%112TrumpRepublican89.8%1,108OliverLibertarian0.8%10

R+80.7

Lead: 996
Total: 1,234
vs nation: R+79.2
Turnout: 58.7%

BidenDemocratic11.9%155TrumpRepublican85.5%1,118JorgensenLibertarian1.6%21

R+73.6

Lead: 963
Total: 1,308
vs nation: R+78.1
Turnout: 70.8%

ClintonDemocratic8.8%115TrumpRepublican84.9%1,116JohnsonLibertarian3.7%49

R+76.2

Lead: 1,001
Total: 1,314
vs nation: R+78.3
Turnout: 66.1%

ObamaDemocratic15.7%200RomneyRepublican80.1%1,022OtherAll other candidates4.2%54

R+64.4

Lead: 822
Total: 1,276
vs nation: R+68.3
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic18.9%244McCainRepublican78.7%1,017OtherAll other candidates2.5%32

R+59.8

Lead: 773
Total: 1,293
vs nation: R+67.1
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic17.5%230BushRepublican81.0%1,064OtherAll other candidates1.5%20

R+63.5

Lead: 834
Total: 1,314
vs nation: R+61.0
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic16.9%190BushRepublican78.8%888NaderGreen1.4%16

R+61.9

Lead: 698
Total: 1,127
vs nation: R+62.5
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic24.9%325DoleRepublican58.0%757PerotReform16.0%209

R+33.1

Lead: 432
Total: 1,305
vs nation: R+41.6
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+80.7MIT Election Lab
Population: 2,3682024 5-year
Median household income: $64,1132024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 87.0%2024 5-year
Black: 3.5%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 5.6%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+15.1 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+80.7 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Hayes County, NE · twin score 93.2

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 58.7%1,244 participants ÷ 2,120 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +16.1 ptsVolatile
Drop-off versus state: -1.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 42.6%–47.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	1,318	1,993	66.1%	A/A
2018 · Midterm	1,184	1,969	60.1%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	1,322	1,868	70.8%	A/A
2022 · Midterm	1,101	2,014	54.7%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	1,244	2,120	58.7%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

Precinct data

Results by precinct

18 precincts · 1,234 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Niobrara County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -6-2 South Lusk6-2 South Lusk	69	481	6	556	12.4%	86.5%	R+74.1
Precinct -6-1 North Lusk6-1 North Lusk	29	277	5	311	9.3%	89.1%	R+79.7
Precinct -7-1 Manville7-1 Manville	10	122	1	133	7.5%	91.7%	R+84.2
Precinct -4-1 Lance Creek4-1 Lance Creek	2	91	1	94	2.1%	96.8%	R+94.7
Precinct -3-2 Hat Creek3-2 Hat Creek	1	78	1	80	1.3%	97.5%	R+96.3
Precinct -1-2 Warren1-2 Warren	1	59	0	60	1.7%	98.3%	R+96.7
HAT CREEK Voting District56_560270302	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
HAT CREEK Voting District56_560270302	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LANCE CREEK Voting District56_560270401	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
LANCE CREEK Voting District56_560270401	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MANVILLE Voting District56_560270701	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MANVILLE Voting District56_560270701	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
NORTH LUSK Voting District56_560270601	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
NORTH LUSK Voting District56_560270601	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SOUTH LUSK Voting District56_560270602	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SOUTH LUSK Voting District56_560270602	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
WARREN Voting District56_560270102	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
WARREN Voting District56_560270102	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1912–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1912	−21.5%
1916	+5.7%
1920	−47.3%
1924	−36.5%
1928	−49.8%
1932	+15.1%
1936	+1.7%
1940	−8.6%
1944	−22.7%
1948	−12.7%
1952	−47.1%
1956	−41.3%
1960	−41.1%
1964	−14.2%
1968	−59.5%
1972	−62.2%
1976	−41.6%
1980	−57.0%
1984	−63.2%
1988	−39.5%
1992	−25.9%
1996	−33.1%
2000	−61.9%
2004	−63.5%
2008	−59.8%
2012	−64.4%
2016	−76.2%
2020	−73.6%
2024	−80.7%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	R	9.1%Harris112	89.8%Trump1,108	0.8%Oliver10 +1	R+80.7	R+7.1	R+79.2	1,234
All 4 candidates in 2024 · 2 minor / independent Donald J TrumpRepublican89.8%1,108 Kamala D HarrisDemocratic9.1%112 Chase OliverLibertarian0.8%10 OtherAll other candidates0.3%4
2020	R	11.9%Biden155	85.5%Trump1,118	1.6%Jorgensen21	R+73.6	D+2.6	R+78.1	1,308
2016	R	8.8%Clinton115	84.9%Trump1,116	3.7%Johnson49	R+76.2	R+11.8	R+78.3	1,314
2012	R	15.7%Obama200	80.1%Romney1,022	4.2%	R+64.4	R+4.6	R+68.3	1,276
2008	R	18.9%Obama244	78.7%McCain1,017	2.5%	R+59.8	D+3.7	R+67.1	1,293
2004	R	17.5%Kerry230	81.0%Bush1,064	1.5%	R+63.5	R+1.5	R+61.0	1,314
2000	R	16.9%Gore190	78.8%Bush888	1.4%Nader16	R+61.9	R+28.8	R+62.5	1,127
1996	R	24.9%Clinton325	58.0%Dole757	16.0%Perot209	R+33.1	R+7.2	R+41.6	1,305
1992	R	22.9%Clinton298	48.8%Bush635	27.3%Perot355	R+25.9	D+13.6	R+31.5	1,300
1988	R	29.7%Dukakis354	69.3%Bush825	1.0%	R+39.5	D+23.7	R+31.8	1,191
1984	R	17.6%Mondale239	80.8%Reagan1,098	1.6%	R+63.2	R+6.2	R+45.0	1,359
1980	R	19.1%Carter270	76.1%Reagan1,075	4.7%	R+57.0	R+15.4	R+47.3	1,412
1976	R	28.9%Carter427	70.5%Ford1,042	0.5%	R+41.6	D+20.6	R+43.7	1,477
1972	R	18.8%McGovern289	81.0%Nixon1,245	0.2%	R+62.2	R+2.7	R+39.0	1,537
1968	R	16.8%Humphrey250	76.2%Nixon1,136	7.0%	R+59.5	R+45.3	R+58.8	1,490
1964	R	42.9%Johnson843	57.1%Goldwater1,122	0.0%	R+14.2	D+26.9	R+36.8	1,965
1960	R	29.4%Kennedy568	70.6%Nixon1,362	0.0%	R+41.1	D+0.2	R+41.3	1,930
1956	R	29.3%Stevenson518	70.7%Eisenhower1,248	0.0%	R+41.3	D+5.8	R+25.9	1,766
1952	R	26.0%Stevenson588	73.1%Eisenhower1,652	0.8%	R+47.1	R+34.4	R+36.3	2,259
1948	R	43.2%Truman753	55.9%Dewey975	1.0%	R+12.7	D+10.0	R+17.2	1,745
1944	R	38.6%Roosevelt826	61.4%Dewey1,312	0.0%	R+22.7	R+14.1	R+30.2	2,138
1940	R	45.6%Roosevelt1,200	54.2%Willkie1,427	0.2%	R+8.6	R+10.3	R+18.6	2,632
1936	D	50.1%Roosevelt1,124	48.4%Landon1,086	1.6%	D+1.7	R+13.4	R+22.6	2,245
1932	D	56.6%Roosevelt1,237	41.6%Hoover908	1.8%	D+15.1	D+64.8	R+2.7	2,185
1928	R	24.4%Smith469	74.2%Hoover1,424	1.4%	R+49.8	R+13.3	R+32.3	1,919
1924	R	11.9%Davis202	48.4%Coolidge820	39.6%La Follette671	R+36.5	D+10.8	R+11.3	1,693
1920	R	26.2%Cox345	73.5%Harding969	0.3%	R+47.3	R+53.0	R+21.2	1,318
1916	D	51.3%Wilson599	45.6%Hughes533	3.1%	D+5.7	D+27.2	D+2.5	1,168
1912	R	27.8%Wilson282	49.4%Taft500	22.8%	R+21.5	—	R+41.1	1,013
1908	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1904	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1900	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1896	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1892	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—

Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 37 Senate · 2 Senate special · 12 governor

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	6.8%79	93.2%1,080	1,159
2020	R	12.1%145	87.9%1,053	1,198

U.S. Senate

Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	9.9%118	90.1%1,073	1,191
2020Class II	R	12.1%Merav Ben-David156	87.7%Cynthia Lummis1,133	1,292
2018Class I	R	12.4%Gary Trauner144	84.6%John Barrasso980	1,159
2014Class II	R	8.0%Charlie Hardy84	83.3%Mike Enzi875	1,051
2012Class I	R	9.8%Tim Chesnut124	87.8%John Barrasso1,110	1,264
2008Class II	R	13.8%Chris Rothfuss177	86.2%Mike Enzi1,107	1,284
2006Class I	R	17.0%Dale Groutage179	82.8%Craig Thomas874	1,055
2002Class II	R	14.0%Joyce J. Corcoran169	86.0%Mike Enzi1,036	1,205
2000Class I	R	11.1%Mel Logan120	85.6%Craig Thomas929	1,085
1996Class II	R	29.3%Kathy Karpan374	67.2%Mike Enzi857	1,276
1994Class I	R	26.8%Mike Sullivan349	72.0%Craig Thomas938	1,303
1990Class II	R	31.5%Kathy Helling378	68.5%Alan K. Simpson821	1,199
1988Class I	R	39.7%John Vinich497	60.3%Malcolm Wallop754	1,251
1984Class II	R	13.1%Victor A. Ryan181	86.9%Alan K. Simpson1,200	1,381
1982Class I	R	29.6%Roger McDaniel446	70.4%Malcolm Wallop1,061	1,507
1978Class II	R	26.6%Raymond B. Whitaker356	73.4%Alan K. Simpson981	1,337
1976Class I	R	29.1%Gale McGee434	70.9%Malcolm Wallop1,056	1,490
1972Class II	R	16.1%Mike Vinich244	83.9%Clifford P. Hansen1,269	1,513
1970Class I	R	42.2%Gale McGee580	57.8%John S. Wold794	1,374
1966Class II	R	30.1%Teno Roncalio461	69.9%Clifford P. Hansen1,073	1,534
1964Class I	R	38.0%Gale McGee742	62.0%John S. Wold1,211	1,953
1960Class II	R	27.9%Raymond B. Whitaker534	72.1%Keith Thomson1,377	1,911
1958Class I	R	36.5%Gale McGee712	63.5%Frank A. Barrett1,238	1,950
1954Class II	R	44.3%Joseph O'Mahoney857	55.7%William H. Harrison1,076	1,933
1952Class I	R	45.0%Joseph C. O'Mahoney1,022	55.0%Frank A. Barrett1,250	2,272
1948Class II	R	42.4%Lester C. Hunt733	57.6%Edward V. Robertson996	1,729
1946Class I	R	42.6%Joseph C. O'Mahoney654	57.4%Harry B. Henerson883	1,537
1942Class II	R	33.6%Harry H. Schwartz573	66.4%Edward V. Robertson1,133	1,706
1940Class I	R	49.5%Joseph C. O'Mahoney1,285	50.5%Milward L. Simpson1,310	2,595
1936Class II	R	42.9%Harry H. Schwartz936	56.6%Robert D. Carey1,236	2,182
1934Class I	R	45.6%Joseph C. O'Mahoney951	54.2%Vincent Carter1,131	2,086
1930Class II	R	33.5%Harry H. Schwartz605	66.5%Robert D. Carey1,200	1,805
1928Class I	R	44.8%John B. Kendrick844	55.0%Charles E. Winter1,037	1,886
1924Class II	R	49.1%Robert R. Rose774	50.9%Francis E. Warren802	1,576
1922Class I	D	55.3%John B. Kendrick665	44.7%F.W. Mondell538	1,203
1918Class II	R	30.8%John E. Osborne277	69.2%Francis E. Warren623	900
1916Class I	R	47.0%John B. Kendrick546	50.3%Clarence D. Clark585	1,162

U.S. Senate special elections

Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2008Special · Class I	R	11.9%Nick Carter153	87.9%John Barrasso1,126	1,281
1962Special · Class II	R	26.7%John J. Hickey422	73.3%Milward Simpson1,159	1,581

Governor

Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2022	R	5.8%Theresa A Livingston46	88.4%Mark Gordon704	796
2018	R	13.3%Mary A Throne153	79.8%Mark Gordon918	1,150
2014	R	16.1%Pete Gosar167	55.9%Matt Mead579	1,036
2010	R	10.8%Leslie Petersen124	65.4%Matt Mead753	1,152
2006	D	56.3%Dave Freudenthal596	43.3%Ray Hunkins458	1,058
2002	R	33.8%Dave Freudenthal411	63.6%Eli Bebout774	1,217
1998	R	28.7%John Vinich336	66.0%Jim Geringer773	1,171
1994	R	27.2%Kathy Karpan354	71.9%Jim Geringer935	1,300
1990	D	51.5%Mike Sullivan619	48.5%Mary Mead584	1,203
1986	D	54.8%Mike Sullivan751	45.2%Pete Simpson620	1,371
1982	D	59.9%Edgar Herschler904	40.1%Warren A. Morton605	1,509
1978	R	36.2%Edgar Herschler492	63.8%John Ostlund866	1,358

voter registration

Registered voters

By party of registration, over time

Party registration · 2026R+90.0

Presidential vote · 2024R+80.7

Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 9.3 points more Republican.

1,252 registered voters · 2026

Democratic2.8%Republican92.8%Unaffiliated3.4%Other1.0%

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

+26 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net −242 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $44,029 in average income, against $72,570 for residents who stayed — 39% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Niobrara County, WY in Niobrara County, WY: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	−4
2012	+5
2013	+65
2014	−56
2015	+13
2016	−32
2017	−79
2018	−7
2019	−57
2021	−26
2022	−69
2023	−19
2024	−2
2025	+26

With roughly 2,400 residents spread across a high-plains ranching landscape, Niobrara County delivered an R+80.7 presidential margin in 2024 — among the widest of any county in the country.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 15.1 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 80.7 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 7.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 80.7 points.

A population of 2,368, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $64,113 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Hayes County and Kimball County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Hayes County

Nebraska

93.2twin score

2000–2016 trajectory≠ median age

Kimball County

Nebraska

93.0twin score

2000–2020 trajectory≠ English ancestry

Musselshell County

Montana

93.0twin score

2000–2024 trajectory≠ Swedish ancestry

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Niobrara County, Wyoming. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/56027/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

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Wyoming at the ballot boxAll elections →

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Frequently asked questions

How did Niobrara County, Wyoming vote in 2024?

In 2024, Niobrara County, Wyoming voted Republican by 80.7 points (R+80.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,234 votes cast, 112 went Democratic and 1,108 went Republican.

When did Niobrara County, Wyoming last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Niobrara County, Wyoming voted Democratic was 1936.

How many people live in Niobrara County, Wyoming?

Niobrara County, Wyoming has a population of 2,368 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Niobrara County, Wyoming?

Median household income in Niobrara County, Wyoming is $64,113 — below the national median of $80,734. The Wyoming state median is $76,176.

What is the political history of Niobrara County, Wyoming?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Niobrara County, Wyoming from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 26 went Republican.

Measure

Niobrara County

Wyoming

United States

Median age

54.9

39.4

39.1

Age 18–24

4.7%

8.9%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

33.0%

18.5%

17.2%

Measure

Niobrara County

Wyoming

United States

Median household income

$64,113

$76,176

$84,427

Poverty rate

12.0%

10.6%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

19.4%

30.7%

35.6%

Measure

Niobrara County

Wyoming

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

1.1%

6.8%

22.3%

Measure

Niobrara County

Wyoming

United States

Catholic

5.9%

12.0%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

12.4%

11.2%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

67.8%

59.7%

51.5%

Mainline Protestant

5.1%

4.1%

5.2%

Latter-day Saints

8.8%

11.6%

2.0%

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

R+80.7MIT Election Lab

Population

2,3682024 5-year

Median household income

$64,1132024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

87.0%2024 5-year

Black

3.5%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

5.6%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+15.1 in 1932MIT Election Lab

Peak Republican margin

R+80.7 in 2024MIT Election Lab

Most similar

Hayes County, NE · twin score 93.2

Election

Participants

CVAP

Turnout

Quality

2016 · Presidential

1,318

1,993

66.1%

A/A

2018 · Midterm

1,184

1,969

60.1%

A/A

2020 · Presidential

1,322

1,868

70.8%

A/A

2022 · Midterm

1,101

2,014

54.7%

A/A

2024 · Presidential

1,244

2,120

58.7%

A/A

Niobrara County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -6-2 South Lusk6-2 South Lusk

481

556

12.4%

86.5%

R+74.1

Precinct -6-1 North Lusk6-1 North Lusk

277

311

9.3%

89.1%

R+79.7

Precinct -7-1 Manville7-1 Manville

122

133

7.5%

91.7%

R+84.2

Precinct -4-1 Lance Creek4-1 Lance Creek

2.1%

96.8%

R+94.7

Precinct -3-2 Hat Creek3-2 Hat Creek

1.3%

97.5%

R+96.3

Precinct -1-2 Warren1-2 Warren

1.7%

98.3%

R+96.7

HAT CREEK Voting District56_560270302

—

No votes

HAT CREEK Voting District56_560270302

—

No votes

LANCE CREEK Voting District56_560270401

—

No votes

LANCE CREEK Voting District56_560270401

—

No votes

MANVILLE Voting District56_560270701

—

No votes

MANVILLE Voting District56_560270701

—

No votes

NORTH LUSK Voting District56_560270601

—

No votes

NORTH LUSK Voting District56_560270601

—

No votes

SOUTH LUSK Voting District56_560270602

—

No votes

SOUTH LUSK Voting District56_560270602

—

No votes

WARREN Voting District56_560270102

—

No votes

WARREN Voting District56_560270102

—

No votes

Presidential margin, 1912–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1912	−21.5%
1916	+5.7%
1920	−47.3%
1924	−36.5%
1928	−49.8%
1932	+15.1%
1936	+1.7%
1940	−8.6%
1944	−22.7%
1948	−12.7%
1952	−47.1%
1956	−41.3%
1960	−41.1%
1964	−14.2%
1968	−59.5%
1972	−62.2%
1976	−41.6%
1980	−57.0%
1984	−63.2%
1988	−39.5%
1992	−25.9%
1996	−33.1%
2000	−61.9%
2004	−63.5%
2008	−59.8%
2012	−64.4%
2016	−76.2%
2020	−73.6%
2024	−80.7%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

9.1%Harris112

89.8%Trump1,108

0.8%Oliver10 +1

R+80.7

R+7.1

R+79.2

1,234

All 4 candidates in 2024 · 2 minor / independent

Donald J TrumpRepublican89.8%1,108
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic9.1%112
Chase OliverLibertarian0.8%10
OtherAll other candidates0.3%4

2020

11.9%Biden155

85.5%Trump1,118

1.6%Jorgensen21

R+73.6

D+2.6

R+78.1

1,308

2016

8.8%Clinton115

84.9%Trump1,116

3.7%Johnson49

R+76.2

R+11.8

R+78.3

1,314

2012

15.7%Obama200

80.1%Romney1,022

4.2%

R+64.4

R+4.6

R+68.3

1,276

2008

18.9%Obama244

78.7%McCain1,017

2.5%

R+59.8

D+3.7

R+67.1

1,293

2004

17.5%Kerry230

81.0%Bush1,064

1.5%

R+63.5

R+1.5

R+61.0

1,314

2000

16.9%Gore190

78.8%Bush888

1.4%Nader16

R+61.9

R+28.8

R+62.5

1,127

1996

24.9%Clinton325

58.0%Dole757

16.0%Perot209

R+33.1

R+7.2

R+41.6

1,305

1992

22.9%Clinton298

48.8%Bush635

27.3%Perot355

R+25.9

D+13.6

R+31.5

1,300

1988

29.7%Dukakis354

69.3%Bush825

1.0%

R+39.5

D+23.7

R+31.8

1,191

1984

17.6%Mondale239

80.8%Reagan1,098

1.6%

R+63.2

R+6.2

R+45.0

1,359

1980

19.1%Carter270

76.1%Reagan1,075

4.7%

R+57.0

R+15.4

R+47.3

1,412

1976

28.9%Carter427

70.5%Ford1,042

0.5%

R+41.6

D+20.6

R+43.7

1,477

1972

18.8%McGovern289

81.0%Nixon1,245

0.2%

R+62.2

R+2.7

R+39.0

1,537

1968

16.8%Humphrey250

76.2%Nixon1,136

7.0%

R+59.5

R+45.3

R+58.8

1,490

1964

42.9%Johnson843

57.1%Goldwater1,122

0.0%

R+14.2

D+26.9

R+36.8

1,965

1960

29.4%Kennedy568

70.6%Nixon1,362

0.0%

R+41.1

D+0.2

R+41.3

1,930

1956

29.3%Stevenson518

70.7%Eisenhower1,248

0.0%

R+41.3

D+5.8

R+25.9

1,766

1952

26.0%Stevenson588

73.1%Eisenhower1,652

0.8%

R+47.1

R+34.4

R+36.3

2,259

1948

43.2%Truman753

55.9%Dewey975

1.0%

R+12.7

D+10.0

R+17.2

1,745

1944

38.6%Roosevelt826

61.4%Dewey1,312

0.0%

R+22.7

R+14.1

R+30.2

2,138

1940

45.6%Roosevelt1,200

54.2%Willkie1,427

0.2%

R+8.6

R+10.3

R+18.6

2,632

1936

50.1%Roosevelt1,124

48.4%Landon1,086

1.6%

D+1.7

R+13.4

R+22.6

2,245

1932

56.6%Roosevelt1,237

41.6%Hoover908

1.8%

D+15.1

D+64.8

R+2.7

2,185

1928

24.4%Smith469

74.2%Hoover1,424

1.4%

R+49.8

R+13.3

R+32.3

1,919

1924

11.9%Davis202

48.4%Coolidge820

39.6%La Follette671

R+36.5

D+10.8

R+11.3

1,693

1920

26.2%Cox345

73.5%Harding969

0.3%

R+47.3

R+53.0

R+21.2

1,318

1916

51.3%Wilson599

45.6%Hughes533

3.1%

D+5.7

D+27.2

D+2.5

1,168

1912

27.8%Wilson282

49.4%Taft500

22.8%

R+21.5

—

R+41.1

1,013

1908

—

No data

—

1904

—

No data

—

1900

—

No data

—

1896

—

No data

—

1892

—

No data

—

1888

—

No data

—

1884

—

No data

—

1880

—

No data

—

1876

—

No data

—

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

6.8%79

93.2%1,080

1,159

2020

12.1%145

87.9%1,053

1,198

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

9.9%118

90.1%1,073

1,191

2020Class II

12.1%Merav Ben-David156

87.7%Cynthia Lummis1,133

1,292

2018Class I

12.4%Gary Trauner144

84.6%John Barrasso980

1,159

2014Class II

8.0%Charlie Hardy84

83.3%Mike Enzi875

1,051

2012Class I

9.8%Tim Chesnut124

87.8%John Barrasso1,110

1,264

2008Class II

13.8%Chris Rothfuss177

86.2%Mike Enzi1,107

1,284

2006Class I

17.0%Dale Groutage179

82.8%Craig Thomas874

1,055

2002Class II

14.0%Joyce J. Corcoran169

86.0%Mike Enzi1,036

1,205

2000Class I

11.1%Mel Logan120

85.6%Craig Thomas929

1,085

1996Class II

29.3%Kathy Karpan374

67.2%Mike Enzi857

1,276

1994Class I

26.8%Mike Sullivan349

72.0%Craig Thomas938

1,303

1990Class II

31.5%Kathy Helling378

68.5%Alan K. Simpson821

1,199

1988Class I

39.7%John Vinich497

60.3%Malcolm Wallop754

1,251

1984Class II

13.1%Victor A. Ryan181

86.9%Alan K. Simpson1,200

1,381

1982Class I

29.6%Roger McDaniel446

70.4%Malcolm Wallop1,061

1,507

1978Class II

26.6%Raymond B. Whitaker356

73.4%Alan K. Simpson981

1,337

1976Class I

29.1%Gale McGee434

70.9%Malcolm Wallop1,056

1,490

1972Class II

16.1%Mike Vinich244

83.9%Clifford P. Hansen1,269

1,513

1970Class I

42.2%Gale McGee580

57.8%John S. Wold794

1,374

1966Class II

30.1%Teno Roncalio461

69.9%Clifford P. Hansen1,073

1,534

1964Class I

38.0%Gale McGee742

62.0%John S. Wold1,211

1,953

1960Class II

27.9%Raymond B. Whitaker534

72.1%Keith Thomson1,377

1,911

1958Class I

36.5%Gale McGee712

63.5%Frank A. Barrett1,238

1,950

1954Class II

44.3%Joseph O'Mahoney857

55.7%William H. Harrison1,076

1,933

1952Class I

45.0%Joseph C. O'Mahoney1,022

55.0%Frank A. Barrett1,250

2,272

1948Class II

42.4%Lester C. Hunt733

57.6%Edward V. Robertson996

1,729

1946Class I

42.6%Joseph C. O'Mahoney654

57.4%Harry B. Henerson883

1,537

1942Class II

33.6%Harry H. Schwartz573

66.4%Edward V. Robertson1,133

1,706

1940Class I

49.5%Joseph C. O'Mahoney1,285

50.5%Milward L. Simpson1,310

2,595

1936Class II

42.9%Harry H. Schwartz936

56.6%Robert D. Carey1,236

2,182

1934Class I

45.6%Joseph C. O'Mahoney951

54.2%Vincent Carter1,131

2,086

1930Class II

33.5%Harry H. Schwartz605

66.5%Robert D. Carey1,200

1,805

1928Class I

44.8%John B. Kendrick844

55.0%Charles E. Winter1,037

1,886

1924Class II

49.1%Robert R. Rose774

50.9%Francis E. Warren802

1,576

1922Class I

55.3%John B. Kendrick665

44.7%F.W. Mondell538

1,203

1918Class II

30.8%John E. Osborne277

69.2%Francis E. Warren623

900

1916Class I

47.0%John B. Kendrick546

50.3%Clarence D. Clark585

1,162

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2008Special · Class I

11.9%Nick Carter153

87.9%John Barrasso1,126

1,281

1962Special · Class II

26.7%John J. Hickey422

73.3%Milward Simpson1,159

1,581

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2022

5.8%Theresa A Livingston46

88.4%Mark Gordon704

796

2018

13.3%Mary A Throne153

79.8%Mark Gordon918

1,150

2014

16.1%Pete Gosar167

55.9%Matt Mead579

1,036

2010

10.8%Leslie Petersen124

65.4%Matt Mead753

1,152

2006

56.3%Dave Freudenthal596

43.3%Ray Hunkins458

1,058

2002

33.8%Dave Freudenthal411

63.6%Eli Bebout774

1,217

1998

28.7%John Vinich336

66.0%Jim Geringer773

1,171

1994

27.2%Kathy Karpan354

71.9%Jim Geringer935

1,300

1990

51.5%Mike Sullivan619

48.5%Mary Mead584

1,203

1986

54.8%Mike Sullivan751

45.2%Pete Simpson620

1,371

1982

59.9%Edgar Herschler904

40.1%Warren A. Morton605

1,509

1978

36.2%Edgar Herschler492

63.8%John Ostlund866

1,358

Frequently asked questions

How did Niobrara County, Wyoming vote in 2024?

In 2024, Niobrara County, Wyoming voted Republican by 80.7 points (R+80.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,234 votes cast, 112 went Democratic and 1,108 went Republican.

When did Niobrara County, Wyoming last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Niobrara County, Wyoming voted Democratic was 1936.

How many people live in Niobrara County, Wyoming?

Niobrara County, Wyoming has a population of 2,368 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Niobrara County, Wyoming?

Median household income in Niobrara County, Wyoming is $64,113 — below the national median of $80,734. The Wyoming state median is $76,176.

What is the political history of Niobrara County, Wyoming?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Niobrara County, Wyoming from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 26 went Republican.