San Juan County, Utah: Bellwether county. In 2024, voted R+16%. Democratic peak: D+91 in 1896.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+16MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 14,4832024 5-year
- Median household income
- $64,4812024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 46.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+91 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+58 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Beaufort County, SC · similarity 0.99
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of San Juan CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for San Juan County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
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Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 2,581 | 3,613 | 6,329 | ||
| R | 3,113 | 3,535 | 6,904 | ||
| R | 2,042 | 2,645 | 5,534 | ||
| R | 2,139 | 3,074 | 5,307 | ||
| R | 2,406 | 2,638 | 5,130 | ||
| R | 1,906 | 2,971 | 4,950 | ||
| R | 1,838 | 2,721 | 4,744 | ||
| R | 1,675 | 2,139 | 4,165 | ||
| R | 1,639 | 2,004 | 4,335 | ||
| R | 1,407 | 2,377 | 3,837 | ||
| R | 1,145 | 2,598 | 3,758 | ||
| R | 763 | 2,774 | 3,650 | ||
| R | 1,182 | 1,856 | 3,222 | ||
| R | 677 | 1,893 | 2,773 | ||
| R | 680 | 1,393 | 2,335 | ||
| R | 993 | 1,371 | 2,364 | ||
| R | 837 | 1,408 | 2,245 | ||
| R | 425 | 1,119 | 1,544 | ||
| R | 421 | 876 | 1,297 | ||
| R | 418 | 558 | 983 | ||
| R | 367 | 513 | 881 | ||
| R | 515 | 528 | 1,047 | ||
| D | 520 | 432 | 961 | ||
| R | 459 | 460 | 940 | ||
| R | 231 | 449 | 685 | ||
| R | 232 | 380 | 668 | ||
| R | 260 | 523 | 807 | ||
| D | 448 | 213 | 676 | ||
| O | 146 | 146 | 392 | ||
| R | 109 | 130 | 245 | ||
| R | 36 | 135 | 172 | ||
| R | 72 | 81 | 156 | ||
| D | 167 | 8 | 175 | ||
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Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
17.1%
German
6.2%
Irish
4.1%
Scottish
2.6%
American
1.6%
Italian
1.0%
French
0.9%
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 35.0 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$64,481
San Juan County ranks near the middle of US counties.
San Juan County$64,481
Utah$95,166
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
18.1%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1819.1%
Working age (18–64)18.5%
Seniors (65+)10.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
65.2%
speak English only
Other languages30.1%
Spanish3.6%
Other Indo-European0.6%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.5%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 52.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
San Juan County spans more than 7,800 square miles of southeastern Utah canyon country, with a population nearly evenly split between white and Native American residents — a demographic balance that has made its elections among the most litigated in the state.
The Democratic margin in San Juan County has rarely exceeded ninety-one points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded fifty-eight points. 2024 delivered the county to the Republican candidate by sixteen points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most counties. A 46% non-Hispanic-white share, a 18% poverty rate, and a median household income of $64,481 — all within the broad national range. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Beaufort County and Allen County.
Most similar counties
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
San Juan County, Utah — The Long Memory. Akashic Intelligence — The Long Memory. https://akashic.app/county/49037/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More bellwether counties
Frequently asked questions
How did San Juan County, Utah vote in 2024?
In 2024, San Juan County, Utah voted Republican by 16.3 points (R+16), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 6,329 votes cast, 2,581 went Democratic and 3,613 went Republican.
What is San Juan County, Utah's political archetype?
Akashic classifies San Juan County, Utah as a "Bellwether" county based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 3 times, Republican 29 times, and other 1 times.
When did San Juan County, Utah last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which San Juan County, Utah voted Democratic was 1936.
How many people live in San Juan County, Utah?
San Juan County, Utah has a population of 14,483 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in San Juan County, Utah?
Median household income in San Juan County, Utah is $64,481 — below the national median of $80,734. The Utah state median is $95,166.
What is the political history of San Juan County, Utah?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in San Juan County, Utah from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 29 went Republican. The county's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.