HarrisDemocratic40.8%2,581TrumpRepublican57.1%3,613OliverLibertarian0.6%39
R+16.3- Lead
- 1,032
- Total
- 6,329
- vs nation
- R+14.8
- Turnout
- 62.7%
Akashiccounty
San Juan County, UT
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1896–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 62.7% of 10,265 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic45.1%3,113TrumpRepublican51.2%3,535JorgensenLibertarian1.4%99
R+6.1- Lead
- 422
- Total
- 6,904
- vs nation
- R+10.6
- Turnout
- 69.6%
ClintonDemocratic36.9%2,042TrumpRepublican47.8%2,645McMullinBetter For America8.8%486
R+10.9- Lead
- 603
- Total
- 5,534
- vs nation
- R+13.0
- Turnout
- 54.1%
ObamaDemocratic40.3%2,139RomneyRepublican57.9%3,074OtherAll other candidates1.8%94
R+17.6- Lead
- 935
- Total
- 5,307
- vs nation
- R+21.5
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic46.9%2,406McCainRepublican51.4%2,638OtherAll other candidates1.7%86
R+4.5- Lead
- 232
- Total
- 5,130
- vs nation
- R+11.8
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic38.5%1,906BushRepublican60.0%2,971OtherAll other candidates1.5%73
R+21.5- Lead
- 1,065
- Total
- 4,950
- vs nation
- R+19.1
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic38.7%1,838BushRepublican57.4%2,721NaderGreen2.3%107
R+18.6- Lead
- 883
- Total
- 4,744
- vs nation
- R+19.1
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic40.2%1,675DoleRepublican51.4%2,139PerotReform6.5%271
R+11.1- Lead
- 464
- Total
- 4,165
- vs nation
- R+19.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+16.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 14,4832024 5-year
- Population density
- 1.9 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 7,824 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $64,4812024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 44.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+90.9 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+57.6 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Lyon County, KS · twin score 67.3
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 62.7%6,441 participants ÷ 10,265 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +14.0 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -11.3 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 48.8%–55.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 5,560 | 10,275 | 54.1% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 5,566 | 10,311 | 54.0% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 7,355 | 10,568 | 69.6% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 5,768 | 10,372 | 55.6% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 6,441 | 10,265 | 62.7% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
presidential history
Party record book
San Juan County, UT · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1896–2024 · 33 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
95.4%
167 votes · D+90.9
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · 66.3%
Republican
Theodore Roosevelt1904
78.5%
135 votes · R+57.6
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1980 · 76.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
3,113votes
45.1% of the vote · R+6.1
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 2,581 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
3,613votes
57.1% of the vote · R+16.3
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 3,535 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+96.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+90.9 · U.S. R+6.1
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · +31.6 pts
Republican
Ronald Reagan1980
+45.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+55.1 · U.S. R+9.7
Runner-up · Barry Goldwater, 1964 · +38.6 pts
U.S. House elections · 1 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 39.5%2,370 | 60.5%3,636 | 6,006 |
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+23.0
Presidential vote · 2024R+16.3
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 6.7 points more Democratic than the rolls.
7,505 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−20 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −852 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $53,503 in average income, against $65,543 for residents who stayed — 18% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+2.8 on average — 13 points more Democratic-leaning than San Juan County, UT itself (R+16.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Grand County, UT32D+9.5
- San Juan County, NM24R+31.7
- Salt Lake County, UT23D+10.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Grand County, UT33
- Salt Lake County, UT31
- Navajo County, AZ30
- San Juan County, NM26
- Maricopa County, AZ21
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −128 |
| 2012 | +43 |
| 2013 | −250 |
| 2014 | −90 |
| 2015 | +36 |
| 2016 | −50 |
| 2017 | −139 |
| 2018 | +16 |
| 2019 | −109 |
| 2021 | −50 |
| 2022 | −130 |
| 2023 | −102 |
| 2024 | +121 |
| 2025 | −20 |
San Juan County spans more than 7,800 square miles of southeastern Utah canyon country, with a population nearly evenly split between white and Native American residents — a demographic balance that has made its elections among the most litigated in the state.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 90.9 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 57.6 points in 1904. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 10.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 16.3 points.
A population of 14,483, a 45% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $64,481 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lyon County and Harrisonburg city.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Lyon County
Kansas
67.3twin score
elasticitymedian age12-yr trend≠ % Latino
Harrisonburg city
Virginia
64.6twin score
elasticity12-yr trend% White≠ 2024 margin
Lake County
Montana
63.6twin score
elasticity% Evangelical2020–2024 trajectory≠ median age
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
San Juan County, Utah. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/49037/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in San Juan County
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Frequently asked questions
How did San Juan County, Utah vote in 2024?
In 2024, San Juan County, Utah voted Republican by 16.3 points (R+16.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 6,329 votes cast, 2,581 went Democratic and 3,613 went Republican.
When did San Juan County, Utah last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which San Juan County, Utah voted Democratic was 1936.
How many people live in San Juan County, Utah?
San Juan County, Utah has a population of 14,483 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in San Juan County, Utah?
Median household income in San Juan County, Utah is $64,481 — below the national median of $80,734. The Utah state median is $95,166.
What is the political history of San Juan County, Utah?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in San Juan County, Utah from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 29 went Republican.