HarrisDemocratic24.1%1,030TrumpRepublican73.4%3,135KennedyIndependent1.8%77
R+49.3- Lead
- 2,105
- Total
- 4,274
- vs nation
- R+47.8
- Turnout
- 72.7%
Akashiccounty
Fall River County, SD
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 72.7% of 5,942 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic26.1%1,053TrumpRepublican71.2%2,878JorgensenLibertarian2.7%111
R+45.2- Lead
- 1,825
- Total
- 4,042
- vs nation
- R+49.6
- Turnout
- 74.0%
ClintonDemocratic23.0%821TrumpRepublican70.5%2,511JohnsonLibertarian4.7%166
R+47.4- Lead
- 1,690
- Total
- 3,563
- vs nation
- R+49.5
- Turnout
- 65.7%
ObamaDemocratic32.4%1,140RomneyRepublican64.2%2,258OtherAll other candidates3.4%118
R+31.8- Lead
- 1,118
- Total
- 3,516
- vs nation
- R+35.7
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic35.1%1,338McCainRepublican61.6%2,348OtherAll other candidates3.2%123
R+26.5- Lead
- 1,010
- Total
- 3,809
- vs nation
- R+33.8
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic34.5%1,326BushRepublican62.8%2,413OtherAll other candidates2.8%106
R+28.3- Lead
- 1,087
- Total
- 3,845
- vs nation
- R+25.8
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic33.0%1,133BushRepublican63.7%2,185OtherAll other candidates3.2%111
R+30.7- Lead
- 1,052
- Total
- 3,429
- vs nation
- R+31.2
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic39.2%1,357DoleRepublican47.3%1,636PerotReform12.1%417
R+8.1- Lead
- 279
- Total
- 3,458
- vs nation
- R+16.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+49.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 7,2582024 5-year
- Median household income
- $67,9172024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 83.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+42.2 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+49.3 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Custer County, SD · twin score 86.3
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 72.7%4,318 participants ÷ 5,942 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +7.5 ptsHigh-turnout, durable
- Drop-off versus state
- -4.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 65.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 3,649 | 5,558 | 65.7% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 3,217 | 5,523 | 58.2% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 4,076 | 5,511 | 74.0% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 3,863 | 5,812 | 66.5% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 4,318 | 5,942 | 72.7% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
25 precincts · 4,274 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -JACJAC | 251 | 911 | 27 | 1,189 | 21.1% | 76.6% | R+55.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -EDAEDA | 107 | 519 | 16 | 642 | 16.7% | 80.8% | R+64.2 |
| Precinct -HS 1HS 1 | 175 | 314 | 13 | 502 | 34.9% | 62.5% | R+27.7 |
| Precinct -HS 2HS 2 | 140 | 340 | 8 | 488 | 28.7% | 69.7% | R+41.0 |
| Precinct -HS 4HS 4 | 142 | 275 | 10 | 427 | 33.3% | 64.4% | R+31.1 |
| Precinct -HS 3HS 3 | 130 | 270 | 13 | 413 | 31.5% | 65.4% | R+33.9 |
| Precinct -Oelrichs AreaOelrichs Area | 21 | 186 | 5 | 212 | 9.9% | 87.7% | R+77.8 |
| Precinct -CASCAS | 35 | 156 | 11 | 202 | 17.3% | 77.2% | R+59.9 |
| Precinct -BEABEA | 29 | 164 | 6 | 199 | 14.6% | 82.4% | R+67.8 |
| VTD - 23-1 Cottonwood-Provo Edgemont voting district46_46047VTD231 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD - Beaver voting districtBV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD - Cascade voting districtCC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD - Edgemont ward 1E1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD - Edgemont ward 2E2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD - Edgemont ward 3E3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD - Hot Springs ward 1part of precinct 23-21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD - Hot Springs ward 2A part of precinct 23-246_46047VTDH2A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD - Hot Springs ward 2B part of precinct 23-246_46047VTDH2B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD - Hot Springs ward 3 part of precinct 23-2H3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD - Hot Springs ward 4 part of precinct 23-2H4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD - Smithwick voting districtSW | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD precinct - LimestoneLS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD precinct 23-3 Oelrichs46_46047VTD233 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD- Argentine voting districtAR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| VTD- precinct JacksonJA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −29.0% |
| 1896 | +2.3% |
| 1900 | −10.5% |
| 1904 | −48.5% |
| 1908 | −20.6% |
| 1912 | +42.2% |
| 1916 | +15.5% |
| 1920 | −27.4% |
| 1924 | −39.3% |
| 1928 | −27.5% |
| 1932 | +31.1% |
| 1936 | +1.3% |
| 1940 | −26.5% |
| 1944 | −26.7% |
| 1948 | −20.2% |
| 1952 | −47.9% |
| 1956 | −34.8% |
| 1960 | −27.2% |
| 1964 | −8.6% |
| 1968 | −28.4% |
| 1972 | −36.2% |
| 1976 | −14.1% |
| 1980 | −45.5% |
| 1984 | −41.3% |
| 1988 | −18.2% |
| 1992 | −3.1% |
| 1996 | −8.1% |
| 2000 | −30.7% |
| 2004 | −28.3% |
| 2008 | −26.5% |
| 2012 | −31.8% |
| 2016 | −47.4% |
| 2020 | −45.2% |
| 2024 | −49.3% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 37 Senate · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 21.6%1,089 | 78.4%3,954 | 5,043 |
| 2020 | R | 0.0%0 | 100.0%3,142 | 3,142 |
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+51.9
Presidential vote · 2024R+49.3
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 2.7 points.
6,180 registered voters · 2026
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+116 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +997 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $71,682 in average income, against $59,156 for residents who stayed — 21% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+34.4 on average — 15 points more Democratic-leaning than Fall River County, SD itself (R+49.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Pennington County, SD33R+26.4
- Custer County, SD23R+45.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Pennington County, SD62
- Custer County, SD31
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −94 |
| 2012 | +76 |
| 2013 | −119 |
| 2014 | +113 |
| 2015 | +2 |
| 2016 | +21 |
| 2017 | −21 |
| 2018 | +102 |
| 2019 | +26 |
| 2021 | +340 |
| 2022 | +270 |
| 2023 | +74 |
| 2024 | +91 |
| 2025 | +116 |
Fall River County, anchored by Hot Springs near the Nebraska border, has delivered lopsided Republican presidential margins for decades. Its sparse, ranch-heavy landscape and small elderly population define an electorate with little demographic pressure toward competitive outcomes.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 42.2 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 49.3 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 49.3 points.
A population of 7,258, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,917 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Custer County and Adams County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Custer County
South Dakota
86.3twin score
median age2016 marginpopulation scale≠ Swedish ancestry
Adams County
Idaho
83.1twin score
median age2016–2024 trajectorypopulation scale≠ 2000 margin
Meagher County
Montana
81.9twin score
median age2016–2024 trajectory≠ 2000 margin
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Fall River County, South Dakota. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/46047/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Fall River County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Fall River County, South Dakota vote in 2024?
In 2024, Fall River County, South Dakota voted Republican by 49.3 points (R+49.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 4,274 votes cast, 1,030 went Democratic and 3,135 went Republican.
When did Fall River County, South Dakota last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Fall River County, South Dakota voted Democratic was 1936.
How many people live in Fall River County, South Dakota?
Fall River County, South Dakota has a population of 7,258 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Fall River County, South Dakota?
Median household income in Fall River County, South Dakota is $67,917 — below the national median of $80,734. The South Dakota state median is $75,081.
What is the political history of Fall River County, South Dakota?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Fall River County, South Dakota from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 4 went Democratic and 29 went Republican.