- Lead
- 28,639
- Total
- 150,059
- vs nation
- R+17.6
- Turnout
- 70.3%
York County, SC
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 70.3% of 214,778 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 23,719
- Total
- 144,050
- vs nation
- R+20.9
- Turnout
- 72.2%
- Lead
- 25,161
- Total
- 114,357
- vs nation
- R+24.1
- Turnout
- 64.7%
- Lead
- 20,415
- Total
- 100,210
- vs nation
- R+24.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 16,582
- Total
- 93,696
- vs nation
- R+25.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 21,008
- Total
- 70,181
- vs nation
- R+27.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 14,525
- Total
- 54,351
- vs nation
- R+27.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 5,349
- Total
- 42,523
- vs nation
- R+21.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+19.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 293,6732024 5-year
- Median household income
- $89,0952024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 66.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 18.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+98.5 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+38.4 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Chesterfield County, VA · twin score 90.1
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 70.3%151,012 participants ÷ 214,778 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +25.6 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- +4.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 44.7%–50.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 115,923 | 179,195 | 64.7% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 96,969 | 189,353 | 51.2% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 144,050 | 199,414 | 72.2% | C/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 96,726 | 207,582 | 46.6% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 151,012 | 214,778 | 70.3% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
100 precincts · 150,059 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Fort Mill No. 2Fort Mill No. 2 | 1,726 | 2,619 | 83 | 4,428 | 39.0% | 59.1% | R+20.2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Dobys BridgeDobys Bridge | 946 | 1,814 | 56 | 2,816 | 33.6% | 64.4% | R+30.8 |
| Precinct -River's EdgeRiver's Edge | 913 | 1,716 | 42 | 2,671 | 34.2% | 64.2% | R+30.1 |
| Precinct -Fort Mill No. 5Fort Mill No. 5 | 1,141 | 1,465 | 33 | 2,639 | 43.2% | 55.5% | R+12.3 |
| Precinct -Gold HillGold Hill | 1,088 | 1,402 | 55 | 2,545 | 42.8% | 55.1% | R+12.3 |
| Precinct -Fort Mill No. 1Fort Mill No. 1 | 956 | 1,541 | 45 | 2,542 | 37.6% | 60.6% | R+23.0 |
| Precinct -KanawhaKanawha | 1,011 | 1,479 | 42 | 2,532 | 39.9% | 58.4% | R+18.5 |
| Precinct -York No. 2York No. 2 | 1,036 | 1,340 | 33 | 2,409 | 43.0% | 55.6% | R+12.6 |
| Precinct -Pleasant RoadPleasant Road | 1,001 | 1,258 | 37 | 2,296 | 43.6% | 54.8% | R+11.2 |
| Precinct -OakridgeOakridge | 690 | 1,567 | 29 | 2,286 | 30.2% | 68.5% | R+38.4 |
| Precinct -Nation FordNation Ford | 893 | 1,318 | 33 | 2,244 | 39.8% | 58.7% | R+18.9 |
| Precinct -Mt. HollyMt. Holly | 1,045 | 1,109 | 26 | 2,180 | 47.9% | 50.9% | R+2.9 |
| Precinct -CatawbaCatawba | 535 | 1,568 | 17 | 2,120 | 25.2% | 74.0% | R+48.7 |
| Precinct -CelaneseCelanese | 1,137 | 943 | 34 | 2,114 | 53.8% | 44.6% | D+9.2 |
| Precinct -EbinportEbinport | 937 | 1,090 | 32 | 2,059 | 45.5% | 52.9% | R+7.4 |
| Precinct -WylieWylie | 791 | 1,229 | 22 | 2,042 | 38.7% | 60.2% | R+21.4 |
| Precinct -RosewoodRosewood | 1,064 | 910 | 44 | 2,018 | 52.7% | 45.1% | D+7.6 |
| Precinct -Steele CreekSteele Creek | 882 | 1,086 | 39 | 2,007 | 43.9% | 54.1% | R+10.2 |
| Precinct -York No. 1York No. 1 | 1,014 | 954 | 33 | 2,001 | 50.7% | 47.7% | D+3.0 |
| Precinct -EdgewoodEdgewood | 1,611 | 345 | 31 | 1,987 | 81.1% | 17.4% | D+63.7 |
| Precinct -NorthwesternNorthwestern | 779 | 1,189 | 17 | 1,985 | 39.2% | 59.9% | R+20.7 |
| Precinct -New HomeNew Home | 514 | 1,403 | 39 | 1,956 | 26.3% | 71.7% | R+45.4 |
| Precinct -LakeshoreLakeshore | 675 | 1,230 | 27 | 1,932 | 34.9% | 63.7% | R+28.7 |
| Precinct -NewportNewport | 809 | 1,082 | 18 | 1,909 | 42.4% | 56.7% | R+14.3 |
| Precinct -Fort Mill No. 3Fort Mill No. 3 | 876 | 983 | 33 | 1,892 | 46.3% | 52.0% | R+5.7 |
| Precinct -ShorelineShoreline | 742 | 1,066 | 31 | 1,839 | 40.3% | 58.0% | R+17.6 |
| Precinct -TirzahTirzah | 428 | 1,385 | 15 | 1,828 | 23.4% | 75.8% | R+52.4 |
| Precinct -BethanyBethany | 282 | 1,506 | 17 | 1,805 | 15.6% | 83.4% | R+67.8 |
| Precinct -River HillsRiver Hills | 663 | 1,091 | 27 | 1,781 | 37.2% | 61.3% | R+24.0 |
| Precinct -Pole BranchPole Branch | 622 | 1,124 | 25 | 1,771 | 35.1% | 63.5% | R+28.3 |
| Precinct -FilbertFilbert | 322 | 1,431 | 17 | 1,770 | 18.2% | 80.8% | R+62.7 |
| Precinct -Orchard ParkOrchard Park | 705 | 1,018 | 40 | 1,763 | 40.0% | 57.7% | R+17.8 |
| Precinct -SpringfieldSpringfield | 645 | 1,082 | 36 | 1,763 | 36.6% | 61.4% | R+24.8 |
| Precinct -CrescentCrescent | 725 | 999 | 33 | 1,757 | 41.3% | 56.9% | R+15.6 |
| Precinct -OgdenOgden | 822 | 865 | 16 | 1,703 | 48.3% | 50.8% | R+2.5 |
| Precinct -Field DayField Day | 705 | 949 | 13 | 1,667 | 42.3% | 56.9% | R+14.6 |
| Precinct -CloverClover | 462 | 1,182 | 20 | 1,664 | 27.8% | 71.0% | R+43.3 |
| Precinct -WindjammerWindjammer | 662 | 933 | 27 | 1,622 | 40.8% | 57.5% | R+16.7 |
| Precinct -Cotton BeltCotton Belt | 295 | 1,303 | 23 | 1,621 | 18.2% | 80.4% | R+62.2 |
| Precinct -StatelineStateline | 715 | 852 | 36 | 1,603 | 44.6% | 53.2% | R+8.5 |
| Precinct -DelphiaDelphia | 326 | 1,240 | 14 | 1,580 | 20.6% | 78.5% | R+57.8 |
| Precinct -Rock Hill No. 7Rock Hill No. 7 | 861 | 693 | 24 | 1,578 | 54.6% | 43.9% | D+10.6 |
| Precinct -Tools ForkTools Fork | 564 | 988 | 23 | 1,575 | 35.8% | 62.7% | R+26.9 |
| Precinct -Rock Hill No. 4Rock Hill No. 4 | 835 | 610 | 21 | 1,466 | 57.0% | 41.6% | D+15.3 |
| Precinct -WaterstoneWaterstone | 663 | 755 | 26 | 1,444 | 45.9% | 52.3% | R+6.4 |
| Precinct -Hollis LakesHollis Lakes | 697 | 697 | 28 | 1,422 | 49.0% | 49.0% | Exact tie |
| Precinct -LakewoodLakewood | 489 | 912 | 19 | 1,420 | 34.4% | 64.2% | R+29.8 |
| Precinct -Rock Hill No. 3Rock Hill No. 3 | 1,209 | 194 | 17 | 1,420 | 85.1% | 13.7% | D+71.5 |
| Precinct -Mt. GallantMt. Gallant | 480 | 906 | 20 | 1,406 | 34.1% | 64.4% | R+30.3 |
| Precinct -PalmettoPalmetto | 648 | 737 | 20 | 1,405 | 46.1% | 52.5% | R+6.3 |
| Precinct -OakwoodOakwood | 581 | 779 | 21 | 1,381 | 42.1% | 56.4% | R+14.3 |
| Precinct -Hands MillHands Mill | 441 | 904 | 18 | 1,363 | 32.4% | 66.3% | R+34.0 |
| Precinct -CarolinaCarolina | 565 | 769 | 25 | 1,359 | 41.6% | 56.6% | R+15.0 |
| Precinct -BethelBethel | 468 | 873 | 17 | 1,358 | 34.5% | 64.3% | R+29.8 |
| Precinct -RooseveltRoosevelt | 510 | 825 | 18 | 1,353 | 37.7% | 61.0% | R+23.3 |
| Precinct -Fort Mill No. 6Fort Mill No. 6 | 570 | 732 | 30 | 1,332 | 42.8% | 55.0% | R+12.2 |
| Precinct -McConnellsMcConnells | 296 | 1,019 | 15 | 1,330 | 22.3% | 76.6% | R+54.4 |
| Precinct -India HookIndia Hook | 520 | 769 | 23 | 1,312 | 39.6% | 58.6% | R+19.0 |
| Precinct -Laurel CreekLaurel Creek | 357 | 874 | 13 | 1,244 | 28.7% | 70.3% | R+41.6 |
| Precinct -AirportAirport | 501 | 729 | 11 | 1,241 | 40.4% | 58.7% | R+18.4 |
| Precinct -Rock CreekRock Creek | 316 | 906 | 13 | 1,235 | 25.6% | 73.4% | R+47.8 |
| Precinct -Old PointeOld Pointe | 593 | 625 | 16 | 1,234 | 48.1% | 50.6% | R+2.6 |
| Precinct -LesslieLesslie | 299 | 911 | 12 | 1,222 | 24.5% | 74.5% | R+50.1 |
| Precinct -RiverviewRiverview | 476 | 705 | 25 | 1,206 | 39.5% | 58.5% | R+19.0 |
| Precinct -Bowling GreenBowling Green | 212 | 981 | 12 | 1,205 | 17.6% | 81.4% | R+63.8 |
| Precinct -LarneLarne | 430 | 739 | 18 | 1,187 | 36.2% | 62.3% | R+26.0 |
| Precinct -Hampton MillHampton Mill | 315 | 855 | 12 | 1,182 | 26.6% | 72.3% | R+45.7 |
| Precinct -Cannon MillCannon Mill | 321 | 842 | 17 | 1,180 | 27.2% | 71.4% | R+44.2 |
| Precinct -SharonSharon | 244 | 920 | 8 | 1,172 | 20.8% | 78.5% | R+57.7 |
| Precinct -Allison CreekAllison Creek | 325 | 811 | 16 | 1,152 | 28.2% | 70.4% | R+42.2 |
| Precinct -NorthsideNorthside | 635 | 443 | 17 | 1,095 | 58.0% | 40.5% | D+17.5 |
| Precinct -Fort Mill No. 4Fort Mill No. 4 | 540 | 532 | 18 | 1,090 | 49.5% | 48.8% | D+0.7 |
| Precinct -Rock Hill No. 5Rock Hill No. 5 | 571 | 485 | 19 | 1,075 | 53.1% | 45.1% | D+8.0 |
| Precinct -FairgroundsFairgrounds | 796 | 251 | 20 | 1,067 | 74.6% | 23.5% | D+51.1 |
| Precinct -ManchesterManchester | 484 | 546 | 22 | 1,052 | 46.0% | 51.9% | R+5.9 |
| Precinct -BaxterBaxter | 506 | 522 | 23 | 1,051 | 48.1% | 49.7% | R+1.5 |
| Precinct -Tega CayTega Cay | 426 | 607 | 17 | 1,050 | 40.6% | 57.8% | R+17.2 |
| Precinct -Bethel SchoolBethel School | 258 | 771 | 14 | 1,043 | 24.7% | 73.9% | R+49.2 |
| Precinct -Six MileSix Mile | 229 | 790 | 12 | 1,031 | 22.2% | 76.6% | R+54.4 |
| Precinct -Fewell ParkFewell Park | 436 | 547 | 19 | 1,002 | 43.5% | 54.6% | R+11.1 |
| Precinct -Rock Hill No. 2Rock Hill No. 2 | 895 | 76 | 16 | 987 | 90.7% | 7.7% | D+83.0 |
| Precinct -EbenezerEbenezer | 339 | 627 | 9 | 975 | 34.8% | 64.3% | R+29.5 |
| Precinct -Mill CreekMill Creek | 249 | 689 | 9 | 947 | 26.3% | 72.8% | R+46.5 |
| Precinct -Anderson RoadAnderson Road | 566 | 356 | 21 | 943 | 60.0% | 37.8% | D+22.3 |
| Precinct -Ferry BranchFerry Branch | 220 | 716 | 6 | 942 | 23.4% | 76.0% | R+52.7 |
| Precinct -HopewellHopewell | 355 | 556 | 18 | 929 | 38.2% | 59.8% | R+21.6 |
| Precinct -HarvestHarvest | 364 | 548 | 8 | 920 | 39.6% | 59.6% | R+20.0 |
| Precinct -Hickory GroveHickory Grove | 166 | 720 | 8 | 894 | 18.6% | 80.5% | R+62.0 |
| Precinct -Rock Hill No. 6Rock Hill No. 6 | 667 | 206 | 14 | 887 | 75.2% | 23.2% | D+52.0 |
| Precinct -UniversityUniversity | 406 | 457 | 17 | 880 | 46.1% | 51.9% | R+5.8 |
| Precinct -Neelys CreekNeelys Creek | 259 | 562 | 9 | 830 | 31.2% | 67.7% | R+36.5 |
| Precinct -Highland ParkHighland Park | 469 | 344 | 7 | 820 | 57.2% | 42.0% | D+15.2 |
| Precinct -IndependenceIndependence | 183 | 583 | 6 | 772 | 23.7% | 75.5% | R+51.8 |
| Precinct -SpringdaleSpringdale | 415 | 331 | 11 | 757 | 54.8% | 43.7% | D+11.1 |
| Precinct -AdnahAdnah | 182 | 487 | 6 | 675 | 27.0% | 72.1% | R+45.2 |
| Precinct -Rock Hill No. 8Rock Hill No. 8 | 554 | 72 | 9 | 635 | 87.2% | 11.3% | D+75.9 |
| Precinct -SmyrnaSmyrna | 61 | 548 | 5 | 614 | 9.9% | 89.3% | R+79.3 |
| Precinct -FriendshipFriendship | 194 | 391 | 11 | 596 | 32.6% | 65.6% | R+33.1 |
| Precinct -Mountain ViewMountain View | 146 | 428 | 16 | 590 | 24.7% | 72.5% | R+47.8 |
| Precinct -Bullocks CreekBullocks Creek | 52 | 322 | 5 | 379 | 13.7% | 85.0% | R+71.2 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +74.8% |
| 1896 | +85.8% |
| 1900 | +94.0% |
| 1904 | +95.9% |
| 1908 | +96.5% |
| 1912 | +98.5% |
| 1916 | +96.7% |
| 1920 | +95.7% |
| 1924 | +92.0% |
| 1928 | +66.7% |
| 1932 | +96.4% |
| 1936 | +97.8% |
| 1940 | +91.0% |
| 1944 | +89.9% |
| 1948 | +35.0% |
| 1952 | +17.3% |
| 1956 | +28.8% |
| 1960 | +22.5% |
| 1964 | +6.7% |
| 1968 | −10.0% |
| 1972 | −38.4% |
| 1976 | +17.7% |
| 1980 | +3.4% |
| 1984 | −36.5% |
| 1988 | −30.6% |
| 1992 | −12.5% |
| 1996 | −12.6% |
| 2000 | −26.7% |
| 2004 | −29.9% |
| 2008 | −17.7% |
| 2012 | −20.4% |
| 2016 | −22.0% |
| 2020 | −16.5% |
| 2024 | −19.1% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 168,369 |
| 2018 | 193,566 |
| 2020 | 216,930 |
| 2022 | 213,353 |
| 2024 | 219,595 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+2,063 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +60,521 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $84,161 in average income, against $98,225 for residents who stayed — 14% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+6.4 on average — 25 points more Democratic-leaning than York County, SC itself (R+19.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Mecklenburg County, NC2,240D+32.7
- Lancaster County, SC478R+24.8
- Gaston County, NC340R+25.0
- Chester County, SC270R+17.2
- Union County, NC160R+25.2
- Richland County, SC138D+34.6
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Mecklenburg County, NC1,389
- Lancaster County, SC605
- Chester County, SC395
- Gaston County, NC328
- Richland County, SC261
- Union County, NC168
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +2,114 |
| 2012 | +2,780 |
| 2013 | +3,374 |
| 2014 | +4,556 |
| 2015 | +5,067 |
| 2016 | +6,226 |
| 2017 | +7,192 |
| 2018 | +6,695 |
| 2019 | +6,252 |
| 2021 | +4,831 |
| 2022 | +4,018 |
| 2023 | +2,746 |
| 2024 | +2,607 |
| 2025 | +2,063 |
York County's proximity to Charlotte has fueled decade-long population growth, drawing suburban transplants who have gradually narrowed Republican margins even as the county remained solidly red in 2024 at R+19.1.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 98.5 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 38.4 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 19.1 points.
A population of 293,673, a 66% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $89,095 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Chesterfield County and Cabarrus County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
York County, South Carolina. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/45091/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.