- Lead
- 6,226
- Total
- 18,129
- vs nation
- R+32.9
- Turnout
- 62.8%
Newberry County, SC
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 62.8% of 29,075 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 4,485
- Total
- 18,631
- vs nation
- R+28.5
- Turnout
- 65.5%
- Lead
- 3,800
- Total
- 16,807
- vs nation
- R+24.7
- Turnout
- 60.4%
- Lead
- 2,347
- Total
- 16,351
- vs nation
- R+18.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,908
- Total
- 16,524
- vs nation
- R+24.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,171
- Total
- 12,409
- vs nation
- R+23.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,064
- Total
- 12,372
- vs nation
- R+25.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 866
- Total
- 11,232
- vs nation
- R+16.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+34.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 38,4352024 5-year
- Median household income
- $61,7802024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 59.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 28.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+99.7 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+55.6 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Greenwood County, SC · twin score 79.6
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 62.8%18,247 participants ÷ 29,075 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +20.4 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- -1.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 42.3%–45.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 16,949 | 28,054 | 60.4% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 13,192 | 28,335 | 46.6% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 18,741 | 28,623 | 65.5% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 12,835 | 28,497 | 45.0% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 18,247 | 29,075 | 62.8% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
30 precincts · 18,129 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -FairviewFairview | 344 | 1,333 | 14 | 1,691 | 20.3% | 78.8% | R+58.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -O'nealO'neal | 282 | 1,101 | 12 | 1,395 | 20.2% | 78.9% | R+58.7 |
| Precinct -Little MountainLittle Mountain | 265 | 914 | 16 | 1,195 | 22.2% | 76.5% | R+54.3 |
| Precinct -Consolidated Number 5Consolidated Number 5 | 207 | 652 | 15 | 874 | 23.7% | 74.6% | R+50.9 |
| Precinct -St Phillips-Jolly StreetSt Phillips-Jolly Street | 273 | 595 | 5 | 873 | 31.3% | 68.2% | R+36.9 |
| Precinct -Mt. Bethel-GarmanyMt. Bethel-Garmany | 407 | 435 | 15 | 857 | 47.5% | 50.8% | R+3.3 |
| Precinct -Newberry Ward 6Newberry Ward 6 | 350 | 405 | 15 | 770 | 45.5% | 52.6% | R+7.1 |
| Precinct -HartfordHartford | 258 | 480 | 7 | 745 | 34.6% | 64.4% | R+29.8 |
| Precinct -Prosperity OutsideProsperity Outside | 210 | 519 | 13 | 742 | 28.3% | 69.9% | R+41.6 |
| Precinct -Stoney HillStoney Hill | 102 | 597 | 4 | 703 | 14.5% | 84.9% | R+70.4 |
| Precinct -Newberry Ward 2Newberry Ward 2 | 259 | 428 | 9 | 696 | 37.2% | 61.5% | R+24.3 |
| Precinct -ChappellsChappells | 174 | 438 | 6 | 618 | 28.2% | 70.9% | R+42.7 |
| Precinct -Prosperity CityProsperity City | 240 | 347 | 9 | 596 | 40.3% | 58.2% | R+18.0 |
| Precinct -SilverstreetSilverstreet | 164 | 410 | 5 | 579 | 28.3% | 70.8% | R+42.5 |
| Precinct -Whitmire OutsideWhitmire Outside | 144 | 420 | 8 | 572 | 25.2% | 73.4% | R+48.3 |
| Precinct -Whitmire CityWhitmire City | 138 | 391 | 5 | 534 | 25.8% | 73.2% | R+47.4 |
| Precinct -Newberry Ward 3Newberry Ward 3 | 265 | 252 | 15 | 532 | 49.8% | 47.4% | D+2.4 |
| Precinct -PomariaPomaria | 90 | 401 | 9 | 500 | 18.0% | 80.2% | R+62.2 |
| Precinct -HelenaHelena | 364 | 124 | 3 | 491 | 74.1% | 25.3% | D+48.9 |
| Precinct -Beth - EdenBeth - Eden | 145 | 291 | 9 | 445 | 32.6% | 65.4% | R+32.8 |
| Precinct -WheelandWheeland | 54 | 361 | 4 | 419 | 12.9% | 86.2% | R+73.3 |
| Precinct -JohnstoneJohnstone | 98 | 277 | 7 | 382 | 25.7% | 72.5% | R+46.9 |
| Precinct -Kinards-JalapaKinards-Jalapa | 89 | 276 | 3 | 368 | 24.2% | 75.0% | R+50.8 |
| Precinct -OaklandOakland | 240 | 103 | 3 | 346 | 69.4% | 29.8% | D+39.6 |
| Precinct -Newberry Ward 4Newberry Ward 4 | 222 | 49 | 2 | 273 | 81.3% | 17.9% | D+63.4 |
| Precinct -Bush RiverBush River | 55 | 210 | 0 | 265 | 20.8% | 79.2% | R+58.5 |
| Precinct -Newberry Ward 5Newberry Ward 5 | 217 | 37 | 5 | 259 | 83.8% | 14.3% | D+69.5 |
| Precinct -Newberry Ward 1Newberry Ward 1 | 130 | 126 | 2 | 258 | 50.4% | 48.8% | D+1.6 |
| Precinct -PeakPeak | 24 | 78 | 0 | 102 | 23.5% | 76.5% | R+52.9 |
| Precinct -MaybintonMaybinton | 31 | 17 | 1 | 49 | 63.3% | 34.7% | D+28.6 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +65.7% |
| 1896 | +91.4% |
| 1900 | +94.3% |
| 1904 | +95.3% |
| 1908 | +94.8% |
| 1912 | +98.0% |
| 1916 | +96.1% |
| 1920 | +96.3% |
| 1924 | +98.5% |
| 1928 | +98.6% |
| 1932 | +99.6% |
| 1936 | +99.7% |
| 1940 | +96.1% |
| 1944 | +79.8% |
| 1948 | +9.6% |
| 1952 | −9.4% |
| 1956 | +31.4% |
| 1960 | +5.0% |
| 1964 | −26.7% |
| 1968 | −19.5% |
| 1972 | −55.6% |
| 1976 | +1.0% |
| 1980 | −7.1% |
| 1984 | −30.8% |
| 1988 | −25.2% |
| 1992 | −8.8% |
| 1996 | −7.7% |
| 2000 | −24.8% |
| 2004 | −25.6% |
| 2008 | −17.6% |
| 2012 | −14.4% |
| 2016 | −22.6% |
| 2020 | −24.1% |
| 2024 | −34.3% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 23,654 |
| 2018 | 25,500 |
| 2020 | 27,107 |
| 2022 | 25,605 |
| 2024 | 26,328 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+231 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +2,530 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $64,319 in average income, against $63,682 for residents who stayed — 1% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+12.1 on average — 22 points more Democratic-leaning than Newberry County, SC itself (R+34.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Lexington County, SC211R+33.5
- Richland County, SC158D+34.6
- Laurens County, SC44R+40.8
- Saluda County, SC31R+44.4
- Greenville County, SC25R+22.2
- Greenwood County, SC21R+29.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Richland County, SC125
- Lexington County, SC112
- Laurens County, SC52
- Greenville County, SC32
- Spartanburg County, SC24
- Greenwood County, SC23
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −126 |
| 2012 | +54 |
| 2013 | −141 |
| 2014 | +156 |
| 2015 | +98 |
| 2016 | +171 |
| 2017 | +434 |
| 2018 | +83 |
| 2019 | +58 |
| 2021 | +408 |
| 2022 | +368 |
| 2023 | +519 |
| 2024 | +217 |
| 2025 | +231 |
Newberry County sits in South Carolina's Piedmont region with a population just over 36,000, and its 34-point Republican presidential margin in 2024 reflects a rural interior pattern of consolidating party preference that has intensified over the past decade.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 99.7 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 55.6 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 10.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 34.3 points.
A population of 38,435, a 60% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $61,780 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Greenwood County and Yazoo County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Newberry County, South Carolina. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/45071/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.