akashic
1876–2024
Jasper County, South Carolina
Jasper County·South Carolina

Jasper County delivered a near-tie in 2024.

A majority-minority county where margins have shifted markedly over a decade

18762024·38 elections
Jasper County, South Carolina · Upstateherd · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+10
in 2024
Archetype
Tossup
since the recent cycles
Population
32,166
2024 ACS
Most similar
Marshall County
MS · similarity 0.99
18 precincts · 18,227 votes cast
Trump · R+10
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−9.6%
8,1449,90018,227
2020D
+0.7%
7,1857,07814,394
2016D
+6.7%
5,9565,18711,427
2012D
+15.8%
5,7574,16910,021
2008D
+22.9%
5,3893,3658,854
2004D
+13.2%
3,8402,9336,846
2000D
+19.0%
3,6462,4146,469
1996D
+31.4%
4,0532,0246,468
1992D
+30.0%
3,4531,7255,763
1988D
+18.1%
2,8942,0044,929
1984D
+9.5%
3,7533,1026,879
1980D
+34.1%
3,3121,6174,969
1976D
+40.6%
2,9031,2214,140
1972R
−15.5%
1,2031,6502,884
1968D
+24.7%
1,4026333,116
1964R
−22.8%
1,0021,5932,595
1960R
−3.9%
7217791,500
1956R
−15.2%
2104031,271
1952R
−11.4%
6368001,436
1948D
+12.4%
14131887
1944D
+46.7%
23018454
1940D
+82.1%
41841459
1936D
+99.1%
4520456
1932D
+97.3%
3990410
1928D
+90.7%
1025107
1924D
+69.5%
890128
1920D
+100.0%
2190219
1916D
+100.0%
2430243
1912D
+100.0%
1980198
1908
No data
1904
No data
1900
No data
1896
No data
1892
No data
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Polish
1.0%
African American
26.3%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Other Christian
13.8%
Baptist
11.0%
Catholic & Orthodox
6.8%
Methodist
3.3%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.5%
Mainline Protestant
1.0%
Non-Christian
0.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 62.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Jasper County sits at South Carolina's southern tip bordering Georgia and Savannah's metro pull, with a population that is majority Black yet has trended toward Republican presidential candidates by double digits in recent cycles.

The county's recent history is a story of close margins. The Democratic margin reached 100 points in 1912; the Republican margin reached twenty-three points in 1964. Most other elections have been decided by single-digit points.

Jasper County's demographics — a population of 32,166, a 48% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $65,613 — situate the county close to national averages on several dimensions. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Marshall County and Duval County.