akashic
1876–2024
Caldwell County, Missouri
Caldwell County·Missouri

Caldwell County has voted Republican for as long as anyone can remember.

One of Missouri's most lopsided presidential counties in 2024

18762024·38 elections
Caldwell County, Missouri · Kbh3rd · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+61
in 2024
Archetype
Republican loyalist
since the recent cycles
Population
8,927
2024 ACS
Most similar
Montgomery County
MO · similarity 1.00
9 precincts · 4,703 votes cast
Trump · R+61
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−61.3%
8883,7714,703
2020R
−60.2%
8973,7254,696
2016R
−55.5%
8383,2324,312
2012R
−33.8%
1,3122,7214,167
2008R
−18.4%
1,8142,6544,564
2004R
−22.2%
1,6452,5934,268
2000R
−19.0%
1,4882,2203,850
1996D
+0.7%
1,4871,4643,468
1992D
+4.0%
1,4561,2954,055
1988R
−9.1%
1,7262,0743,814
1984R
−31.9%
1,3822,6784,060
1980R
−23.9%
1,5412,5514,226
1976D
+0.4%
2,1132,0944,233
1972R
−44.0%
1,2313,1674,398
1968R
−25.1%
1,4902,6314,551
1964D
+7.6%
2,4752,1254,600
1960R
−28.4%
1,7363,1154,851
1956R
−25.0%
1,9293,2165,145
1952R
−33.7%
1,8603,7555,619
1948R
−15.0%
1,9852,6874,676
1944R
−25.6%
2,0013,3845,393
1940R
−18.6%
2,7283,9766,713
1936R
−11.4%
3,0143,7926,813
1932D
+4.6%
2,9492,6885,677
1928R
−31.6%
2,1644,1676,331
1924R
−19.2%
2,3833,5456,043
1920R
−25.0%
2,4984,1686,688
1916R
−10.2%
1,6832,0693,780
1912D
+8.1%
1,4831,1873,674
1908R
−16.5%
1,5402,1613,755
1904R
−24.8%
1,3502,2763,736
1900R
−12.6%
1,7222,2354,078
1896R
−1.5%
2,0532,1154,215
1892R
−9.8%
1,3881,7503,710
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Italian
0.5%
African American
1.0%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
18.8%
Other Christian
18.3%
Methodist
14.0%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.5%
Catholic & Orthodox
1.2%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 46.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

With fewer than 9,000 residents and a 2024 presidential margin of R+61.3, Caldwell County sits among Missouri's most heavily one-sided rural counties, where Republican margins have widened steadily over the past two decades.

The Republican margin in Caldwell County reached its widest at sixty-one points in 2024. The margin in 2024 was sixty-one points, in line with the county's deep historical pattern.

Caldwell County's loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $64,806, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 8,927 together describe a community whose political habits are deeply settled. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Montgomery County and Crawford County.