- Lead
- 407
- Total
- 2,306
- vs nation
- D+19.1
- Turnout
- 40.5%
East Carroll Parish, LA
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 40.5% of 5,740 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 820
- Total
- 3,036
- vs nation
- D+22.6
- Turnout
- 60.0%
- Lead
- 779
- Total
- 2,939
- vs nation
- D+24.4
- Turnout
- 53.6%
- Lead
- 970
- Total
- 4,008
- vs nation
- D+20.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,013
- Total
- 3,559
- vs nation
- D+21.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 623
- Total
- 3,395
- vs nation
- D+20.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 596
- Total
- 3,245
- vs nation
- D+17.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,141
- Total
- 3,411
- vs nation
- D+24.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+17.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 7,0722024 5-year
- Population density
- 17 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 421 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $33,3412024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 28.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 62.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+98.1 in 1904MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+69.9 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Calhoun County, GA · twin score 96.9
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 40.5%2,325 participants ÷ 5,740 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +16.1 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -5.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 24.5%–28.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 3,001 | 5,602 | 53.6% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 2,603 | 5,820 | 44.7% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 3,139 | 5,232 | 60.0% | A/D |
| 2022 · Midterm | 2,503 | 5,696 | 43.9% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 2,325 | 5,740 | 40.5% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
presidential history
Party record book
East Carroll Parish, LA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Alton B. Parker1904
99.1%
211 votes · D+98.1
Runner-up · Woodrow Wilson, 1916 · 98.6%
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
85.0%
1,486 votes · R+69.9
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 48.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
2,478votes
61.8% of the vote · D+24.2
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1976 · 2,367 votes
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
1,974votes
47.8% of the vote · D+2.8
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1980 · 1,867 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
+119.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+93.7 · U.S. R+26.2
Runner-up · Alton B. Parker, 1904 · +117.8 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+92.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+69.9 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1960 · +5.7 pts
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | R | 48.9%1,071 | 51.1%1,117 | 2,188 |
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 29 points more Republican than the rolls.
4,754 registered voters · 2024
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−131 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,663 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $35,416 in average income, against $48,246 for residents who stayed — 27% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Ouachita Parish, LA21
- West Carroll Parish, LA20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −122 |
| 2012 | −145 |
| 2013 | −84 |
| 2014 | −113 |
| 2015 | −197 |
| 2016 | −57 |
| 2017 | −143 |
| 2018 | −130 |
| 2019 | −146 |
| 2021 | −128 |
| 2022 | −242 |
| 2023 | −65 |
| 2024 | +40 |
| 2025 | −131 |
East Carroll Parish sits in the far northeastern corner of Louisiana's Mississippi Delta, where a majority-Black population has kept the county in the Democratic column even as surrounding rural parishes shifted decisively Republican over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 98.1 points in 1904 and a Republican high of 69.9 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 9.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 17.6 points.
A population of 7,072, a 28% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $33,341 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Calhoun County and Kemper County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
East Carroll Parish, Louisiana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/22035/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.