Akashic

county

Union County, KY

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

English13.4%14.5%9.5%

German11.8%12.7%12.5%

Irish10.8%11.0%9.4%

American7.3%11.5%5.3%

Italian1.3%2.0%4.8%

French1.3%1.1%1.6%

Scotch-Irish1.3%0.8%—

Scottish0.8%2.0%1.3%

African American†6.8%6.6%9.9%

Mexican0.5%2.4%11.3%

Puerto Rican0.2%0.5%1.8%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Union County	Kentucky	United States
Median age	42.4	39.2	39.1
Age 18–24	9.7%	9.1%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	19.8%	17.3%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Union County	Kentucky	United States
Median household income	$60,327	$63,726	$84,427
Poverty rate	18.4%	16.1%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	13.1%	27.7%	35.6%

Languages at home

Measure	Union County	Kentucky	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	1.3%	6.8%	22.3%
Spanish	1.1%	3.4%	13.6%

Religious landscape

Measure	Union County	Kentucky	United States
Catholic	18.1%	7.9%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	47.1%	31.3%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	26.1%	50.7%	51.5%
Black Protestant	5.1%	2.4%	2.2%

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

President results by year

2024 turnout 56.9% of 10,730 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic20.2%1,225TrumpRepublican78.5%4,758KennedyIndependent0.8%51

R+58.3

Lead: 3,533
Total: 6,058
vs nation: R+56.8
Turnout: 56.9%

BidenDemocratic23.2%1,529TrumpRepublican75.5%4,965JorgensenLibertarian1.0%67

R+52.2

Lead: 3,436
Total: 6,577
vs nation: R+56.7
Turnout: 55.8%

ClintonDemocratic21.4%1,331TrumpRepublican75.7%4,701JohnsonLibertarian1.9%115

R+54.3

Lead: 3,370
Total: 6,211
vs nation: R+56.3
Turnout: 52.6%

ObamaDemocratic32.5%1,942RomneyRepublican66.1%3,955OtherAll other candidates1.4%82

R+33.7

Lead: 2,013
Total: 5,979
vs nation: R+37.5
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic46.5%2,804McCainRepublican51.7%3,120OtherAll other candidates1.8%110

R+5.2

Lead: 316
Total: 6,034
vs nation: R+12.5
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic40.1%2,398BushRepublican59.1%3,534OtherAll other candidates0.8%45

R+19.0

Lead: 1,136
Total: 5,977
vs nation: R+16.5
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic47.4%2,547BushRepublican51.2%2,749NaderGreen1.0%54

R+3.8

Lead: 202
Total: 5,368
vs nation: R+4.3
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic57.3%2,913DoleRepublican30.6%1,554PerotReform11.8%598

D+26.7

Lead: 1,359
Total: 5,084
vs nation: D+18.2
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+58.3MIT Election Lab
Population: 13,2602024 5-year
Median household income: $60,3272024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 88.1%2024 5-year
Black: 6.9%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 1.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+65.0 in 1948MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+58.3 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Moultrie County, IL · twin score 88.4

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 56.9%6,102 participants ÷ 10,730 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +10.1 ptsVolatile
Drop-off versus state: -9.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 46.8%–50.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	6,263	11,918	52.6%	A/A
2018 · Midterm	5,824	11,739	49.6%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	6,577	11,781	55.8%	C/A
2022 · Midterm	4,983	10,889	45.8%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	6,102	10,730	56.9%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

Precinct data

Results by precinct

12 precincts · 6,058 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Union County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -A101A101	319	1,017	19	1,355	23.5%	75.1%	R+51.5
Precinct -B101B101	219	936	6	1,161	18.9%	80.6%	R+61.8
Precinct -C102C102	130	635	15	780	16.7%	81.4%	R+64.7
Precinct -E101E101	165	596	11	772	21.4%	77.2%	R+55.8
Precinct -F103F103	134	376	5	515	26.0%	73.0%	R+47.0
Precinct -F101F101	119	362	8	489	24.3%	74.0%	R+49.7
Precinct -C101C101	74	361	4	439	16.9%	82.2%	R+65.4
Precinct -E102E102	42	344	5	391	10.7%	88.0%	R+77.2
Precinct -E104E104	11	53	2	66	16.7%	80.3%	R+63.6
Precinct -E103E103	9	55	0	64	14.1%	85.9%	R+71.9
Precinct -F104F104	0	14	0	14	0.0%	100.0%	R+100.0
Precinct -F102F102	3	9	0	12	25.0%	75.0%	R+50.0

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+44.1%
1896	+42.7%
1900	+36.2%
1904	+39.1%
1908	+34.7%
1912	+45.7%
1916	+39.3%
1920	+42.8%
1924	+30.9%
1928	+24.6%
1932	+63.9%
1936	+64.8%
1940	+59.3%
1944	+57.6%
1948	+65.0%
1952	+27.3%
1956	+17.5%
1960	+31.8%
1964	+52.4%
1968	+21.5%
1972	−18.4%
1976	+34.3%
1980	+30.0%
1984	+10.0%
1988	+18.2%
1992	+30.0%
1996	+26.7%
2000	−3.8%
2004	−19.0%
2008	−5.2%
2012	−33.7%
2016	−54.3%
2020	−52.2%
2024	−58.3%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	R	20.2%Harris1,225	78.5%Trump4,758	0.8%Kennedy51	R+58.3	R+6.1	R+56.8	6,058
2020	R	23.2%Biden1,529	75.5%Trump4,965	1.0%Jorgensen67	R+52.2	D+2.0	R+56.7	6,577
2016	R	21.4%Clinton1,331	75.7%Trump4,701	1.9%Johnson115	R+54.3	R+20.6	R+56.3	6,211
2012	R	32.5%Obama1,942	66.1%Romney3,955	1.4%	R+33.7	R+28.4	R+37.5	5,979
2008	R	46.5%Obama2,804	51.7%McCain3,120	1.8%	R+5.2	D+13.8	R+12.5	6,034
2004	R	40.1%Kerry2,398	59.1%Bush3,534	0.8%	R+19.0	R+15.2	R+16.5	5,977
2000	R	47.4%Gore2,547	51.2%Bush2,749	1.0%Nader54	R+3.8	R+30.5	R+4.3	5,368
1996	D	57.3%Clinton2,913	30.6%Dole1,554	11.8%Perot598	D+26.7	R+3.2	D+18.2	5,084
1992	D	57.9%Clinton3,325	28.0%Bush1,605	13.8%Perot794	D+30.0	D+11.8	D+24.4	5,739
1988	D	58.9%Dukakis3,316	40.7%Bush2,292	0.4%	D+18.2	D+8.2	D+25.9	5,628
1984	D	54.8%Mondale3,090	44.8%Reagan2,524	0.4%	D+10.0	R+20.0	D+28.3	5,637
1980	D	64.0%Carter3,479	34.0%Reagan1,847	2.0%	D+30.0	R+4.3	D+39.8	5,437
1976	D	66.6%Carter3,540	32.3%Ford1,716	1.1%	D+34.3	D+52.7	D+32.3	5,312
1972	R	40.3%McGovern1,855	58.7%Nixon2,701	1.0%	R+18.4	R+39.9	D+4.8	4,604
1968	D	45.2%Humphrey2,616	23.7%Nixon1,371	31.2%	D+21.5	R+30.9	D+22.2	5,794
1964	D	75.9%Johnson3,934	23.5%Goldwater1,220	0.5%	D+52.4	D+20.6	D+29.8	5,181
1960	D	65.9%Kennedy3,457	34.1%Nixon1,789	0.0%	D+31.8	D+14.3	D+31.6	5,246
1956	D	55.1%Stevenson2,863	37.7%Eisenhower1,956	7.2%	D+17.5	R+9.8	D+32.9	5,193
1952	D	63.5%Stevenson3,445	36.3%Eisenhower1,967	0.2%	D+27.3	R+37.7	D+38.0	5,422
1948	D	81.9%Truman3,607	16.9%Dewey744	1.2%	D+65.0	D+7.4	D+60.5	4,406
1944	D	78.7%Roosevelt3,489	21.1%Dewey935	0.3%	D+57.6	R+1.7	D+50.1	4,436
1940	D	79.6%Roosevelt4,355	20.3%Willkie1,111	0.1%	D+59.3	R+5.5	D+49.3	5,474
1936	D	81.5%Roosevelt4,713	16.7%Landon965	1.8%	D+64.8	D+0.9	D+40.5	5,785
1932	D	81.7%Roosevelt4,892	17.7%Hoover1,063	0.6%	D+63.9	D+39.3	D+46.1	5,991
1928	D	62.2%Smith3,884	37.6%Hoover2,350	0.1%	D+24.6	R+6.3	D+42.0	6,243
1924	D	63.0%Davis3,493	32.1%Coolidge1,778	4.4%La Follette242	D+30.9	R+11.9	D+56.1	5,547
1920	D	70.8%Cox4,919	28.0%Harding1,943	1.2%	D+42.8	D+3.5	D+69.0	6,947
1916	D	69.0%Wilson2,754	29.7%Hughes1,184	1.4%	D+39.3	R+6.4	D+36.2	3,992
1912	D	64.9%Wilson2,168	19.2%Taft642	15.9%	D+45.7	D+11.0	D+26.1	3,340
1908	D	65.6%Bryan2,781	31.0%Taft1,312	3.4%	D+34.7	R+4.5	D+44.2	4,239
1904	D	67.8%Parker2,533	28.7%Roosevelt1,071	3.5%	D+39.1	D+2.9	D+58.8	3,736
1900	D	67.5%Bryan3,104	31.2%McKinley1,437	1.3%	D+36.2	R+6.4	D+43.8	4,601
1896	D	70.2%Bryan3,183	27.6%McKinley1,249	2.2%	D+42.7	R+1.4	D+48.7	4,533
1892	D	67.0%Cleveland2,275	22.9%Harrison777	10.2%	D+44.1	—	D+42.4	3,398
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—

Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 36 Senate · 4 Senate special · 10 governor

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	21.7%1,287	78.3%4,656	5,943
2020	R	24.6%1,576	75.4%4,837	6,413
2018	R	35.5%1,964	64.5%3,570	5,534

U.S. Senate

Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2022	R	24.4%1,193	75.6%3,688	4,881
2020Class II	R	27.5%Amy McGrath1,803	66.4%Mitch McConnell4,351	6,553
2016Class III	R	37.5%Jim Gray2,302	62.5%Rand Paul3,840	6,142
2014Class II	R	35.6%Alison L. Grimes1,824	61.8%Mitch McConnell3,171	5,130
2010Class III	D	50.0%Jack Conway2,516	50.0%Rand Paul2,513	5,029
2008Class II	D	55.5%Bruce Lunsford3,335	44.5%Mitch McConnell2,678	6,013
2004Class III	D	50.8%Dan Mongiardo2,880	49.2%Jim Bunning2,791	5,671
2002Class II	R	39.3%Lois C. Weinberg1,475	60.7%Mitch McConnell2,281	3,756
1998Class III	D	59.7%Scotty Baesler2,421	39.0%Jim Bunning1,582	4,052
1996Class II	D	58.2%Steve Beshear2,674	41.3%Mitch McConnell1,897	4,591
1992Class III	D	80.7%Wendell Ford4,286	18.5%Daniel L. Williams981	5,308
1990Class II	D	60.3%Harvey Sloane2,393	39.7%Mitch McConnell1,578	3,971
1986Class III	D	91.2%Wendell Ford2,865	8.8%Jackson Andrews276	3,141
1984Class II	D	64.7%Walter D. Huddleston3,412	34.5%Mitch McConnell1,821	5,276
1980Class III	D	82.1%Wendell Ford4,045	17.9%Mary L. Foust884	4,929
1978Class II	D	79.0%Walter D. Huddleston2,518	18.3%Louie Guenthner584	3,188
1974Class III	D	73.8%Wendell Ford2,322	24.8%Marlow W. Cook779	3,146
1972Class II	D	70.7%Walter D. Huddleston3,204	28.7%Louie B. Nunn1,302	4,532
1968Class III	D	59.0%Katherine Peden2,605	40.2%Marlow W. Cook1,772	4,412
1966Class II	R	48.1%John Young Brown1,660	51.9%John Sherman Cooper1,788	3,448
1962Class III	D	61.2%Wilson W. Wyatt2,371	38.8%Thruston B. Morton1,505	3,876
1960Class II	D	61.9%Keen Johnson3,116	38.1%John Sherman Cooper1,920	5,036
1956Class III	D	73.8%Earle C. Clements3,474	26.2%Thruston B. Morton1,231	4,705
1954Class II	D	71.6%Alben W. Barkley3,142	28.4%John Sherman Cooper1,246	4,388
1950Class III	D	81.5%Earle C. Clements2,837	18.4%Charles I. Dawson639	3,482
1948Class II	D	75.3%Virgil Chapman3,140	24.5%John Sherman Cooper1,022	4,168
1944Class III	D	80.7%Alben W. Barkley3,430	19.2%James Park817	4,251
1942Class II	D	73.2%Happy Chandler737	26.8%Richard Colbert270	1,007
1938Class III	D	85.2%Alben W. Barkley2,688	14.8%John P. Haswell468	3,156
1936Class II	D	81.9%Marvel M. Logan4,663	16.2%Robert M. Lucas920	5,694
1932Class III	D	81.9%Alben W. Barkley4,810	17.9%M.H. Thatcher1,054	5,872
1930Class II	D	78.0%Marvel M. Logan2,052	22.0%John M. Robsion579	2,631
1926Class III	D	74.0%Alben W. Barkley2,299	26.0%Richard P. Ernst806	3,105
1924Class II	D	65.2%Augustus O. Stanley3,526	34.8%Frederic M. Sackett1,885	5,411
1920Class III	D	71.7%John C.W. Beckham4,880	28.3%Richard P. Ernst1,923	6,803
1914Class III	D	73.3%John C.W. Beckham1,628	25.7%Augustus Willson572	2,222

U.S. Senate special elections

Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
1956Special · Class II	D	65.2%Lawrence W. Wetherby3,010	34.8%John Sherman Cooper1,609	4,619
1952Special · Class II	D	62.7%Thomas Underwood3,255	37.3%John Sherman Cooper1,937	5,192
1946Special · Class II	D	72.0%John Young Brown2,480	27.7%John Sherman Cooper954	3,443
1940Special · Class II	D	80.6%Happy Chandler4,329	19.4%Walter B. Smith1,041	5,370

Governor

Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2015	D	50.1%Jack Conway1,928	47.5%Matt Bevin1,829	3,848
2011	D	72.4%Steve Beshear1,973	24.8%David L. Williams676	2,725
2007	D	69.6%Steve Beshear2,450	30.4%Ernie Fletcher1,068	3,518
2003	D	56.1%Ben Chandler1,954	43.9%Ernie Fletcher1,526	3,480
1999	D	77.1%Paul Patton1,179	13.7%Peppy Martin209	1,529
1995	D	65.0%Paul Patton2,334	35.0%Larry Forgy1,255	3,589
1991	D	79.1%Brereton Jones2,763	20.9%Larry J. Hopkins731	3,494
1987	D	84.4%Wallace Wilkinson2,734	15.6%John Harper504	3,238
1983	D	65.0%Martha Layne Collins2,844	34.5%Jim Bunning1,510	4,374
1979	D	69.0%John Y. Brown Jr.2,520	31.0%Louie Nunn1,132	3,652

voter registration

Registered voters

By party of registration, over time

Party registration · 2024D+10.4

Presidential vote · 2024R+58.3

Union County, KY registers Democratic but votes Republican — a 69-point gap between how voters register and how they vote, the signature of ancestral registration that trails realignment.

10,048 registered voters · 2024

Democratic51.8%Republican41.5%Unaffiliated2.3%Other4.4%

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

−235 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net −1,332 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $39,710 in average income, against $73,750 for residents who stayed — 46% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean R+35.5 on average — 23 points more Democratic-leaning than Union County, KY itself (R+58.3).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Henderson County, KY77R+29.2
Webster County, KY22R+57.3

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Henderson County, KY92
Webster County, KY24
Vanderburgh County, IN23

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Union County, KY in Union County, KY: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	−12
2012	−207
2013	−38
2014	0
2015	−99
2016	−171
2017	−118
2018	−116
2019	−72
2021	−312
2022	−58
2023	+16
2024	+90
2025	−235

Union County sits along the Ohio River in Kentucky's western coalfields, and its electorate has shifted over two decades from a reliably Democratic base to one of the most lopsided Republican margins in the state.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 65.0 points in 1948 and a Republican high of 58.3 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 6.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 58.3 points.

A population of 13,260, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,327 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Moultrie County and White County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Moultrie County

Illinois

88.4twin score

% Evangelical% unaffiliated12-yr trend≠ elasticity

White County

Illinois

86.8twin score

elasticity2016–2024 trajectory% Evangelical≠ % Catholic

Clark County

Illinois

84.3twin score

elasticity% Evangelical% unaffiliated≠ college share

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Union County, Kentucky. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/21225/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

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Cities & towns in Union County

Morganfield

R+53

3.2K residents

Kentucky at the ballot boxAll elections →

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Frequently asked questions

How did Union County, Kentucky vote in 2024?

In 2024, Union County, Kentucky voted Republican by 58.3 points (R+58.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 6,058 votes cast, 1,225 went Democratic and 4,758 went Republican.

When did Union County, Kentucky last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Union County, Kentucky voted Democratic was 1996.

How many people live in Union County, Kentucky?

Union County, Kentucky has a population of 13,260 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Union County, Kentucky?

Median household income in Union County, Kentucky is $60,327 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kentucky state median is $63,726.

What is the political history of Union County, Kentucky?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Union County, Kentucky from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 26 went Democratic and 8 went Republican.

Measure

Union County

Kentucky

United States

Median age

42.4

39.2

39.1

Age 18–24

9.7%

9.1%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

19.8%

17.3%

17.2%

Measure

Union County

Kentucky

United States

Median household income

$60,327

$63,726

$84,427

Poverty rate

18.4%

16.1%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

13.1%

27.7%

35.6%

Measure

Union County

Kentucky

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

1.3%

6.8%

22.3%

Spanish

1.1%

3.4%

13.6%

Measure

Union County

Kentucky

United States

Catholic

18.1%

7.9%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

47.1%

31.3%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

26.1%

50.7%

51.5%

Black Protestant

5.1%

2.4%

2.2%

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

R+58.3MIT Election Lab

Population

13,2602024 5-year

Median household income

$60,3272024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

88.1%2024 5-year

Black

6.9%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

1.7%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+65.0 in 1948MIT Election Lab

Peak Republican margin

R+58.3 in 2024MIT Election Lab

Most similar

Moultrie County, IL · twin score 88.4

Election

Participants

CVAP

Turnout

Quality

2016 · Presidential

6,263

11,918

52.6%

A/A

2018 · Midterm

5,824

11,739

49.6%

A/A

2020 · Presidential

6,577

11,781

55.8%

C/A

2022 · Midterm

4,983

10,889

45.8%

A/A

2024 · Presidential

6,102

10,730

56.9%

A/A

Union County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -A101A101

319

1,017

1,355

23.5%

75.1%

R+51.5

Precinct -B101B101

219

936

1,161

18.9%

80.6%

R+61.8

Precinct -C102C102

130

635

780

16.7%

81.4%

R+64.7

Precinct -E101E101

165

596

772

21.4%

77.2%

R+55.8

Precinct -F103F103

134

376

515

26.0%

73.0%

R+47.0

Precinct -F101F101

119

362

489

24.3%

74.0%

R+49.7

Precinct -C101C101

361

439

16.9%

82.2%

R+65.4

Precinct -E102E102

344

391

10.7%

88.0%

R+77.2

Precinct -E104E104

16.7%

80.3%

R+63.6

Precinct -E103E103

14.1%

85.9%

R+71.9

Precinct -F104F104

0.0%

100.0%

R+100.0

Precinct -F102F102

25.0%

75.0%

R+50.0

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+44.1%
1896	+42.7%
1900	+36.2%
1904	+39.1%
1908	+34.7%
1912	+45.7%
1916	+39.3%
1920	+42.8%
1924	+30.9%
1928	+24.6%
1932	+63.9%
1936	+64.8%
1940	+59.3%
1944	+57.6%
1948	+65.0%
1952	+27.3%
1956	+17.5%
1960	+31.8%
1964	+52.4%
1968	+21.5%
1972	−18.4%
1976	+34.3%
1980	+30.0%
1984	+10.0%
1988	+18.2%
1992	+30.0%
1996	+26.7%
2000	−3.8%
2004	−19.0%
2008	−5.2%
2012	−33.7%
2016	−54.3%
2020	−52.2%
2024	−58.3%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

20.2%Harris1,225

78.5%Trump4,758

0.8%Kennedy51

R+58.3

R+6.1

R+56.8

6,058

2020

23.2%Biden1,529

75.5%Trump4,965

1.0%Jorgensen67

R+52.2

D+2.0

R+56.7

6,577

2016

21.4%Clinton1,331

75.7%Trump4,701

1.9%Johnson115

R+54.3

R+20.6

R+56.3

6,211

2012

32.5%Obama1,942

66.1%Romney3,955

1.4%

R+33.7

R+28.4

R+37.5

5,979

2008

46.5%Obama2,804

51.7%McCain3,120

1.8%

R+5.2

D+13.8

R+12.5

6,034

2004

40.1%Kerry2,398

59.1%Bush3,534

0.8%

R+19.0

R+15.2

R+16.5

5,977

2000

47.4%Gore2,547

51.2%Bush2,749

1.0%Nader54

R+3.8

R+30.5

R+4.3

5,368

1996

57.3%Clinton2,913

30.6%Dole1,554

11.8%Perot598

D+26.7

R+3.2

D+18.2

5,084

1992

57.9%Clinton3,325

28.0%Bush1,605

13.8%Perot794

D+30.0

D+11.8

D+24.4

5,739

1988

58.9%Dukakis3,316

40.7%Bush2,292

0.4%

D+18.2

D+8.2

D+25.9

5,628

1984

54.8%Mondale3,090

44.8%Reagan2,524

0.4%

D+10.0

R+20.0

D+28.3

5,637

1980

64.0%Carter3,479

34.0%Reagan1,847

2.0%

D+30.0

R+4.3

D+39.8

5,437

1976

66.6%Carter3,540

32.3%Ford1,716

1.1%

D+34.3

D+52.7

D+32.3

5,312

1972

40.3%McGovern1,855

58.7%Nixon2,701

1.0%

R+18.4

R+39.9

D+4.8

4,604

1968

45.2%Humphrey2,616

23.7%Nixon1,371

31.2%

D+21.5

R+30.9

D+22.2

5,794

1964

75.9%Johnson3,934

23.5%Goldwater1,220

0.5%

D+52.4

D+20.6

D+29.8

5,181

1960

65.9%Kennedy3,457

34.1%Nixon1,789

0.0%

D+31.8

D+14.3

D+31.6

5,246

1956

55.1%Stevenson2,863

37.7%Eisenhower1,956

7.2%

D+17.5

R+9.8

D+32.9

5,193

1952

63.5%Stevenson3,445

36.3%Eisenhower1,967

0.2%

D+27.3

R+37.7

D+38.0

5,422

1948

81.9%Truman3,607

16.9%Dewey744

1.2%

D+65.0

D+7.4

D+60.5

4,406

1944

78.7%Roosevelt3,489

21.1%Dewey935

0.3%

D+57.6

R+1.7

D+50.1

4,436

1940

79.6%Roosevelt4,355

20.3%Willkie1,111

0.1%

D+59.3

R+5.5

D+49.3

5,474

1936

81.5%Roosevelt4,713

16.7%Landon965

1.8%

D+64.8

D+0.9

D+40.5

5,785

1932

81.7%Roosevelt4,892

17.7%Hoover1,063

0.6%

D+63.9

D+39.3

D+46.1

5,991

1928

62.2%Smith3,884

37.6%Hoover2,350

0.1%

D+24.6

R+6.3

D+42.0

6,243

1924

63.0%Davis3,493

32.1%Coolidge1,778

4.4%La Follette242

D+30.9

R+11.9

D+56.1

5,547

1920

70.8%Cox4,919

28.0%Harding1,943

1.2%

D+42.8

D+3.5

D+69.0

6,947

1916

69.0%Wilson2,754

29.7%Hughes1,184

1.4%

D+39.3

R+6.4

D+36.2

3,992

1912

64.9%Wilson2,168

19.2%Taft642

15.9%

D+45.7

D+11.0

D+26.1

3,340

1908

65.6%Bryan2,781

31.0%Taft1,312

3.4%

D+34.7

R+4.5

D+44.2

4,239

1904

67.8%Parker2,533

28.7%Roosevelt1,071

3.5%

D+39.1

D+2.9

D+58.8

3,736

1900

67.5%Bryan3,104

31.2%McKinley1,437

1.3%

D+36.2

R+6.4

D+43.8

4,601

1896

70.2%Bryan3,183

27.6%McKinley1,249

2.2%

D+42.7

R+1.4

D+48.7

4,533

1892

67.0%Cleveland2,275

22.9%Harrison777

10.2%

D+44.1

—

D+42.4

3,398

1888

—

No data

—

1884

—

No data

—

1880

—

No data

—

1876

—

No data

—

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

21.7%1,287

78.3%4,656

5,943

2020

24.6%1,576

75.4%4,837

6,413

2018

35.5%1,964

64.5%3,570

5,534

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2022

24.4%1,193

75.6%3,688

4,881

2020Class II

27.5%Amy McGrath1,803

66.4%Mitch McConnell4,351

6,553

2016Class III

37.5%Jim Gray2,302

62.5%Rand Paul3,840

6,142

2014Class II

35.6%Alison L. Grimes1,824

61.8%Mitch McConnell3,171

5,130

2010Class III

50.0%Jack Conway2,516

50.0%Rand Paul2,513

5,029

2008Class II

55.5%Bruce Lunsford3,335

44.5%Mitch McConnell2,678

6,013

2004Class III

50.8%Dan Mongiardo2,880

49.2%Jim Bunning2,791

5,671

2002Class II

39.3%Lois C. Weinberg1,475

60.7%Mitch McConnell2,281

3,756

1998Class III

59.7%Scotty Baesler2,421

39.0%Jim Bunning1,582

4,052

1996Class II

58.2%Steve Beshear2,674

41.3%Mitch McConnell1,897

4,591

1992Class III

80.7%Wendell Ford4,286

18.5%Daniel L. Williams981

5,308

1990Class II

60.3%Harvey Sloane2,393

39.7%Mitch McConnell1,578

3,971

1986Class III

91.2%Wendell Ford2,865

8.8%Jackson Andrews276

3,141

1984Class II

64.7%Walter D. Huddleston3,412

34.5%Mitch McConnell1,821

5,276

1980Class III

82.1%Wendell Ford4,045

17.9%Mary L. Foust884

4,929

1978Class II

79.0%Walter D. Huddleston2,518

18.3%Louie Guenthner584

3,188

1974Class III

73.8%Wendell Ford2,322

24.8%Marlow W. Cook779

3,146

1972Class II

70.7%Walter D. Huddleston3,204

28.7%Louie B. Nunn1,302

4,532

1968Class III

59.0%Katherine Peden2,605

40.2%Marlow W. Cook1,772

4,412

1966Class II

48.1%John Young Brown1,660

51.9%John Sherman Cooper1,788

3,448

1962Class III

61.2%Wilson W. Wyatt2,371

38.8%Thruston B. Morton1,505

3,876

1960Class II

61.9%Keen Johnson3,116

38.1%John Sherman Cooper1,920

5,036

1956Class III

73.8%Earle C. Clements3,474

26.2%Thruston B. Morton1,231

4,705

1954Class II

71.6%Alben W. Barkley3,142

28.4%John Sherman Cooper1,246

4,388

1950Class III

81.5%Earle C. Clements2,837

18.4%Charles I. Dawson639

3,482

1948Class II

75.3%Virgil Chapman3,140

24.5%John Sherman Cooper1,022

4,168

1944Class III

80.7%Alben W. Barkley3,430

19.2%James Park817

4,251

1942Class II

73.2%Happy Chandler737

26.8%Richard Colbert270

1,007

1938Class III

85.2%Alben W. Barkley2,688

14.8%John P. Haswell468

3,156

1936Class II

81.9%Marvel M. Logan4,663

16.2%Robert M. Lucas920

5,694

1932Class III

81.9%Alben W. Barkley4,810

17.9%M.H. Thatcher1,054

5,872

1930Class II

78.0%Marvel M. Logan2,052

22.0%John M. Robsion579

2,631

1926Class III

74.0%Alben W. Barkley2,299

26.0%Richard P. Ernst806

3,105

1924Class II

65.2%Augustus O. Stanley3,526

34.8%Frederic M. Sackett1,885

5,411

1920Class III

71.7%John C.W. Beckham4,880

28.3%Richard P. Ernst1,923

6,803

1914Class III

73.3%John C.W. Beckham1,628

25.7%Augustus Willson572

2,222

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

1956Special · Class II

65.2%Lawrence W. Wetherby3,010

34.8%John Sherman Cooper1,609

4,619

1952Special · Class II

62.7%Thomas Underwood3,255

37.3%John Sherman Cooper1,937

5,192

1946Special · Class II

72.0%John Young Brown2,480

27.7%John Sherman Cooper954

3,443

1940Special · Class II

80.6%Happy Chandler4,329

19.4%Walter B. Smith1,041

5,370

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2015

50.1%Jack Conway1,928

47.5%Matt Bevin1,829

3,848

2011

72.4%Steve Beshear1,973

24.8%David L. Williams676

2,725

2007

69.6%Steve Beshear2,450

30.4%Ernie Fletcher1,068

3,518

2003

56.1%Ben Chandler1,954

43.9%Ernie Fletcher1,526

3,480

1999

77.1%Paul Patton1,179

13.7%Peppy Martin209

1,529

1995

65.0%Paul Patton2,334

35.0%Larry Forgy1,255

3,589

1991

79.1%Brereton Jones2,763

20.9%Larry J. Hopkins731

3,494

1987

84.4%Wallace Wilkinson2,734

15.6%John Harper504

3,238

1983

65.0%Martha Layne Collins2,844

34.5%Jim Bunning1,510

4,374

1979

69.0%John Y. Brown Jr.2,520

31.0%Louie Nunn1,132

3,652

Frequently asked questions

How did Union County, Kentucky vote in 2024?

In 2024, Union County, Kentucky voted Republican by 58.3 points (R+58.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 6,058 votes cast, 1,225 went Democratic and 4,758 went Republican.

When did Union County, Kentucky last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Union County, Kentucky voted Democratic was 1996.

How many people live in Union County, Kentucky?

Union County, Kentucky has a population of 13,260 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Union County, Kentucky?

Median household income in Union County, Kentucky is $60,327 — below the national median of $80,734. The Kentucky state median is $63,726.

What is the political history of Union County, Kentucky?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Union County, Kentucky from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 26 went Democratic and 8 went Republican.