HarrisDemocratic37.2%2,306TrumpRepublican60.4%3,743KennedyIndependent1.5%91
R+23.2- Lead
- 1,437
- Total
- 6,194
- vs nation
- R+21.7
- Turnout
- 72.4%
Akashiccounty
Rio Grande County, CO
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 72.4% of 8,681 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic39.6%2,495TrumpRepublican58.0%3,660JorgensenLibertarian1.0%66
R+18.5- Lead
- 1,165
- Total
- 6,305
- vs nation
- R+22.9
- Turnout
- 78.3%
ClintonDemocratic36.2%2,001TrumpRepublican55.7%3,085JohnsonLibertarian4.2%232
R+19.6- Lead
- 1,084
- Total
- 5,534
- vs nation
- R+21.7
- Turnout
- 68.8%
ObamaDemocratic44.8%2,478RomneyRepublican52.7%2,918OtherAll other candidates2.5%137
R+8.0- Lead
- 440
- Total
- 5,533
- vs nation
- R+11.8
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic45.0%2,448McCainRepublican53.8%2,930OtherAll other candidates1.2%66
R+8.9- Lead
- 482
- Total
- 5,444
- vs nation
- R+16.1
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic36.3%2,006BushRepublican62.4%3,448OtherAll other candidates1.3%72
R+26.1- Lead
- 1,442
- Total
- 5,526
- vs nation
- R+23.6
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic33.6%1,707BushRepublican61.3%3,111NaderGreen3.5%179
R+27.7- Lead
- 1,404
- Total
- 5,075
- vs nation
- R+28.2
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic40.0%1,720DoleRepublican49.5%2,129PerotReform8.8%379
R+9.5- Lead
- 409
- Total
- 4,301
- vs nation
- R+18.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+23.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 11,3212024 5-year
- Median household income
- $64,4112024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 54.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 40.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+76.9 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+48.8 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Otero County, CO · twin score 78.7
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 72.4%6,286 participants ÷ 8,681 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +19.3 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -1.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 53.1%–58.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 5,763 | 8,382 | 68.8% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 5,054 | 8,294 | 60.9% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 6,405 | 8,179 | 78.3% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 5,127 | 8,693 | 59.0% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 6,286 | 8,681 | 72.4% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
30 precincts · 6,194 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -30662530103066253010 | 330 | 575 | 17 | 922 | 35.8% | 62.4% | R+26.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -30662530033066253003 | 235 | 405 | 17 | 657 | 35.8% | 61.6% | R+25.9 |
| Precinct -30662530083066253008 | 146 | 429 | 11 | 586 | 24.9% | 73.2% | R+48.3 |
| Precinct -30662530023066253002 | 249 | 249 | 9 | 507 | 49.1% | 49.1% | Exact tie |
| Precinct -30662530113066253011 | 134 | 277 | 11 | 422 | 31.8% | 65.6% | R+33.9 |
| Precinct -30662530073066253007 | 133 | 274 | 13 | 420 | 31.7% | 65.2% | R+33.6 |
| Precinct -30662530143066253014 | 133 | 248 | 9 | 390 | 34.1% | 63.6% | R+29.5 |
| Precinct -30662530053066253005 | 82 | 283 | 9 | 374 | 21.9% | 75.7% | R+53.7 |
| Precinct -30662530093066253009 | 165 | 163 | 17 | 345 | 47.8% | 47.2% | D+0.6 |
| Precinct -30662530133066253013 | 111 | 200 | 4 | 315 | 35.2% | 63.5% | R+28.3 |
| Precinct -30662530153066253015 | 157 | 125 | 7 | 289 | 54.3% | 43.3% | D+11.1 |
| Precinct -30662530043066253004 | 131 | 146 | 4 | 281 | 46.6% | 52.0% | R+5.3 |
| Precinct -30662530123066253012 | 137 | 133 | 8 | 278 | 49.3% | 47.8% | D+1.4 |
| Precinct -30662530013066253001 | 123 | 140 | 5 | 268 | 45.9% | 52.2% | R+6.3 |
| Precinct -30662530063066253006 | 40 | 96 | 4 | 140 | 28.6% | 68.6% | R+40.0 |
| Rio Grande 108_0810553001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rio Grande 1008_0810553010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rio Grande 1108_0810553011 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rio Grande 1208_0810553012 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rio Grande 1308_0810553013 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rio Grande 1408_0810553014 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rio Grande 1508_0810553015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rio Grande 208_0810553002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rio Grande 308_0810553003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rio Grande 408_0810553004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rio Grande 508_0810553005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rio Grande 608_0810553006 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rio Grande 708_0810553007 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rio Grande 808_0810553008 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Rio Grande 908_0810553009 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1880–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1880 | −20.2% |
| 1884 | −21.1% |
| 1888 | −26.2% |
| 1892 | −48.8% |
| 1896 | +76.9% |
| 1900 | +19.2% |
| 1904 | −33.3% |
| 1908 | +0.7% |
| 1912 | +21.0% |
| 1916 | +32.0% |
| 1920 | −24.8% |
| 1924 | −22.1% |
| 1928 | −29.2% |
| 1932 | +23.1% |
| 1936 | +15.3% |
| 1940 | −15.5% |
| 1944 | −31.8% |
| 1948 | −6.1% |
| 1952 | −40.5% |
| 1956 | −32.2% |
| 1960 | −17.2% |
| 1964 | +11.9% |
| 1968 | −21.0% |
| 1972 | −44.0% |
| 1976 | −27.4% |
| 1980 | −32.8% |
| 1984 | −47.3% |
| 1988 | −25.5% |
| 1992 | −8.5% |
| 1996 | −9.5% |
| 2000 | −27.7% |
| 2004 | −26.1% |
| 2008 | −8.9% |
| 2012 | −8.0% |
| 2016 | −19.6% |
| 2020 | −18.5% |
| 2024 | −23.2% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 3 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2024R+11.5
Presidential vote · 2024R+23.2
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 12 points more Democratic.
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 8,109 | 2,525 | 3,242 | 2,222 | 120 |
| 2018 | 8,210 | 2,383 | 3,136 | 2,572 | 119 |
| 2020 | 8,613 | 2,327 | 3,235 | 2,905 | 146 |
| 2022 | 9,212 | 2,183 | 3,168 | 3,700 | 161 |
| 2024 | 9,697 | 2,075 | 3,194 | 4,248 | 180 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−25 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −1,110 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $55,724 in average income, against $66,800 for residents who stayed — 17% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+5.2 on average — 18 points more Democratic-leaning than Rio Grande County, CO itself (R+23.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Alamosa County, CO58R+10.8
- Saguache County, CO36D+3.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Alamosa County, CO87
- Saguache County, CO43
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −138 |
| 2012 | −47 |
| 2013 | −203 |
| 2014 | −201 |
| 2015 | −148 |
| 2016 | −8 |
| 2017 | −37 |
| 2018 | −45 |
| 2019 | −17 |
| 2021 | −98 |
| 2022 | −18 |
| 2023 | −101 |
| 2024 | −24 |
| 2025 | −25 |
Rio Grande sits in Colorado's high-desert San Luis Valley, where irrigated potato and barley farming dominate the economy. Voters have shifted steadily toward Republican margins over the past decade, hitting R+23 in 2024.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 76.9 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 48.8 points in 1892. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 23.2 points.
A population of 11,321, a 55% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $64,411 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Otero County and Brewster County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Otero County
Colorado
78.7twin score
% Latino% White2012 margin≠ college share
Brewster County
Texas
77.4twin score
% Latino% White2012 margin≠ % Catholic
Valencia County
New Mexico
77.2twin score
elasticity% Black2012–2020 trajectory≠ % Catholic
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Rio Grande County, Colorado. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/08105/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Rio Grande County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Rio Grande County, Colorado vote in 2024?
In 2024, Rio Grande County, Colorado voted Republican by 23.2 points (R+23.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 6,194 votes cast, 2,306 went Democratic and 3,743 went Republican.
When did Rio Grande County, Colorado last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Rio Grande County, Colorado voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Rio Grande County, Colorado?
Rio Grande County, Colorado has a population of 11,321 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Rio Grande County, Colorado?
Median household income in Rio Grande County, Colorado is $64,411 — below the national median of $80,734. The Colorado state median is $95,470.
What is the political history of Rio Grande County, Colorado?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Rio Grande County, Colorado from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 28 went Republican.