HarrisDemocratic16.8%432TrumpRepublican81.3%2,090KennedyIndependent1.2%32
R+64.5- Lead
- 1,658
- Total
- 2,571
- vs nation
- R+63.0
- Turnout
- 58.0%
Akashiccounty
Lincoln County, CO
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 58.0% of 4,475 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic17.7%470TrumpRepublican80.5%2,135JorgensenLibertarian1.0%26
R+62.8- Lead
- 1,665
- Total
- 2,651
- vs nation
- R+67.3
- Turnout
- 62.0%
ClintonDemocratic16.8%409TrumpRepublican77.7%1,892JohnsonLibertarian3.2%77
R+60.9- Lead
- 1,483
- Total
- 2,436
- vs nation
- R+63.0
- Turnout
- 58.6%
ObamaDemocratic24.1%552RomneyRepublican73.8%1,687OtherAll other candidates2.1%48
R+49.6- Lead
- 1,135
- Total
- 2,287
- vs nation
- R+53.5
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic23.7%546McCainRepublican74.5%1,717OtherAll other candidates1.8%41
R+50.8- Lead
- 1,171
- Total
- 2,304
- vs nation
- R+58.1
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic21.5%503BushRepublican77.8%1,819OtherAll other candidates0.6%15
R+56.3- Lead
- 1,316
- Total
- 2,337
- vs nation
- R+53.9
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic23.2%510BushRepublican74.1%1,630NaderGreen1.2%27
R+50.9- Lead
- 1,120
- Total
- 2,199
- vs nation
- R+51.5
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic33.1%729DoleRepublican57.7%1,272PerotReform7.4%164
R+24.6- Lead
- 543
- Total
- 2,203
- vs nation
- R+33.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+64.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 5,5502024 5-year
- Median household income
- $62,8612024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 74.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 15.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+26.0 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+64.6 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Cheyenne County, CO · twin score 94.4
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 58.0%2,597 participants ÷ 4,475 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +13.6 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -6.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 44.5%–47.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 2,493 | 4,255 | 58.6% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 2,140 | 4,239 | 50.5% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 2,678 | 4,320 | 62.0% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 2,187 | 4,516 | 48.4% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 2,597 | 4,475 | 58.0% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
26 precincts · 2,571 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -43556370074355637007 | 81 | 269 | 8 | 358 | 22.6% | 75.1% | R+52.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -43556370024355637002 | 50 | 260 | 8 | 318 | 15.7% | 81.8% | R+66.0 |
| Precinct -43556370134355637013 | 62 | 237 | 8 | 307 | 20.2% | 77.2% | R+57.0 |
| Precinct -43556370054355637005 | 48 | 210 | 4 | 262 | 18.3% | 80.2% | R+61.8 |
| Precinct -43556370034355637003 | 35 | 217 | 5 | 257 | 13.6% | 84.4% | R+70.8 |
| Precinct -43556370014355637001 | 39 | 197 | 5 | 241 | 16.2% | 81.7% | R+65.6 |
| Precinct -43556370064355637006 | 32 | 184 | 7 | 223 | 14.3% | 82.5% | R+68.2 |
| Precinct -43556370044355637004 | 25 | 164 | 0 | 189 | 13.2% | 86.8% | R+73.5 |
| Precinct -43556370104355637010 | 15 | 133 | 2 | 150 | 10.0% | 88.7% | R+78.7 |
| Precinct -43556370094355637009 | 25 | 103 | 1 | 129 | 19.4% | 79.8% | R+60.5 |
| Precinct -43556370084355637008 | 5 | 44 | 0 | 49 | 10.2% | 89.8% | R+79.6 |
| Precinct -43556370114355637011 | 7 | 42 | 0 | 49 | 14.3% | 85.7% | R+71.4 |
| Precinct -43556370124355637012 | 8 | 30 | 1 | 39 | 20.5% | 76.9% | R+56.4 |
| Lincoln 108_0807337001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lincoln 1008_0807337010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lincoln 1108_0807337011 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lincoln 1208_0807337012 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lincoln 1308_0807337013 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lincoln 208_0807337002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lincoln 308_0807337003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lincoln 408_0807337004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lincoln 508_0807337005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lincoln 608_0807337006 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lincoln 708_0807337007 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lincoln 808_0807337008 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Lincoln 908_0807337009 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −64.6% |
| 1896 | +26.0% |
| 1900 | −34.4% |
| 1904 | −41.3% |
| 1908 | −15.4% |
| 1912 | +11.5% |
| 1916 | +19.2% |
| 1920 | −27.1% |
| 1924 | −33.6% |
| 1928 | −40.0% |
| 1932 | +14.9% |
| 1936 | +7.6% |
| 1940 | −19.9% |
| 1944 | −19.1% |
| 1948 | −1.6% |
| 1952 | −33.0% |
| 1956 | −22.6% |
| 1960 | −18.0% |
| 1964 | +9.1% |
| 1968 | −24.3% |
| 1972 | −41.4% |
| 1976 | −9.1% |
| 1980 | −39.4% |
| 1984 | −47.1% |
| 1988 | −21.4% |
| 1992 | −19.0% |
| 1996 | −24.6% |
| 2000 | −50.9% |
| 2004 | −56.3% |
| 2008 | −50.8% |
| 2012 | −49.6% |
| 2016 | −60.9% |
| 2020 | −62.8% |
| 2024 | −64.5% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 3 Senate special · 12 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2024R+42.1
Presidential vote · 2024R+64.5
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 22 points more Democratic.
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 3,195 | 471 | 1,882 | 802 | 40 |
| 2018 | 3,283 | 453 | 1,900 | 888 | 42 |
| 2020 | 3,491 | 397 | 1,973 | 1,066 | 55 |
| 2022 | 3,624 | 369 | 1,921 | 1,274 | 60 |
| 2024 | 3,765 | 344 | 1,929 | 1,419 | 73 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+46 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +150 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $41,426 in average income, against $65,861 for residents who stayed — 37% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+9.8 on average — 55 points more Democratic-leaning than Lincoln County, CO itself (R+64.5).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- El Paso County, CO22R+9.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- El Paso County, CO27
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −72 |
| 2012 | +23 |
| 2013 | −36 |
| 2014 | +61 |
| 2015 | +31 |
| 2016 | +11 |
| 2017 | −28 |
| 2018 | +65 |
| 2019 | +73 |
| 2021 | −164 |
| 2022 | +52 |
| 2023 | −18 |
| 2024 | +106 |
| 2025 | +46 |
This high-plains ranching county of roughly 6,000 residents delivered a 64-point Republican margin in 2024, making it a consistent outlier even within Colorado's rural eastern corridor.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 26.0 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 64.6 points in 1892. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 64.5 points.
A population of 5,550, a 74% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,861 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Cheyenne County and Hodgeman County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Cheyenne County
Colorado
94.4twin score
2000–2020 trajectory≠ Scottish ancestry
Hodgeman County
Kansas
90.2twin score
2000–2020 trajectory≠ median age
Morrill County
Nebraska
90.0twin score
2000–2020 trajectory≠ Swedish ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Lincoln County, Colorado. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/08073/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Lincoln County, Colorado vote in 2024?
In 2024, Lincoln County, Colorado voted Republican by 64.5 points (R+64.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,571 votes cast, 432 went Democratic and 2,090 went Republican.
When did Lincoln County, Colorado last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Lincoln County, Colorado voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Lincoln County, Colorado?
Lincoln County, Colorado has a population of 5,550 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Lincoln County, Colorado?
Median household income in Lincoln County, Colorado is $62,861 — below the national median of $80,734. The Colorado state median is $95,470.
What is the political history of Lincoln County, Colorado?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Lincoln County, Colorado from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 28 went Republican.