- Lead
- 10,441
- Total
- 20,422
- vs nation
- R+49.7
- Turnout
- 95.2%
Elbert County, CO
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 95.2% of 21,701 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 9,537
- Total
- 18,983
- vs nation
- R+54.7
- Turnout
- 94.8%
- Lead
- 8,571
- Total
- 15,980
- vs nation
- R+55.7
- Turnout
- 89.4%
- Lead
- 6,663
- Total
- 14,178
- vs nation
- R+50.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 5,289
- Total
- 13,206
- vs nation
- R+47.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 5,555
- Total
- 11,364
- vs nation
- R+46.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,825
- Total
- 8,965
- vs nation
- R+43.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,231
- Total
- 6,758
- vs nation
- R+41.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+51.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 27,8742024 5-year
- Median household income
- $132,6852024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 82.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+46.2 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+53.6 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Poquoson city, VA · twin score 89.7
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 95.2%20,658 participants ÷ 21,701 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +13.2 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -7.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 81.9%–82.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 16,370 | 18,306 | 89.4% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 14,891 | 19,403 | 76.7% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 19,281 | 20,330 | 94.8% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 16,787 | 20,574 | 81.6% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 20,658 | 21,701 | 95.2% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
36 precincts · 20,422 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -43556200044355620004 | 441 | 1,270 | 49 | 1,760 | 25.1% | 72.2% | R+47.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -43556200084355620008 | 366 | 1,174 | 22 | 1,562 | 23.4% | 75.2% | R+51.7 |
| Precinct -43556200114355620011 | 245 | 1,015 | 23 | 1,283 | 19.1% | 79.1% | R+60.0 |
| Precinct -43556200034355620003 | 344 | 847 | 41 | 1,232 | 27.9% | 68.8% | R+40.8 |
| Precinct -43556200154355620015 | 275 | 938 | 19 | 1,232 | 22.3% | 76.1% | R+53.8 |
| Precinct -43556200054355620005 | 309 | 870 | 24 | 1,203 | 25.7% | 72.3% | R+46.6 |
| Precinct -43556200064355620006 | 311 | 849 | 22 | 1,182 | 26.3% | 71.8% | R+45.5 |
| Precinct -43556200024355620002 | 307 | 802 | 29 | 1,138 | 27.0% | 70.5% | R+43.5 |
| Precinct -43556200094355620009 | 272 | 756 | 26 | 1,054 | 25.8% | 71.7% | R+45.9 |
| Precinct -43556200134355620013 | 237 | 797 | 12 | 1,046 | 22.7% | 76.2% | R+53.5 |
| Precinct -43556200164355620016 | 243 | 764 | 23 | 1,030 | 23.6% | 74.2% | R+50.6 |
| Precinct -43556200184355620018 | 163 | 832 | 27 | 1,022 | 15.9% | 81.4% | R+65.5 |
| Precinct -43556200014355620001 | 292 | 666 | 20 | 978 | 29.9% | 68.1% | R+38.2 |
| Precinct -43556200144355620014 | 270 | 674 | 27 | 971 | 27.8% | 69.4% | R+41.6 |
| Precinct -43556200124355620012 | 140 | 811 | 17 | 968 | 14.5% | 83.8% | R+69.3 |
| Precinct -43556200174355620017 | 159 | 785 | 14 | 958 | 16.6% | 81.9% | R+65.3 |
| Precinct -43556200074355620007 | 223 | 688 | 26 | 937 | 23.8% | 73.4% | R+49.6 |
| Precinct -43556200104355620010 | 171 | 671 | 24 | 866 | 19.7% | 77.5% | R+57.7 |
| Elbert 108_0803920001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elbert 1008_0803920010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elbert 1108_0803920011 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elbert 1208_0803920012 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elbert 1308_0803920013 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elbert 1408_0803920014 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elbert 1508_0803920015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elbert 1608_0803920016 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elbert 1708_0803920017 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elbert 1808_0803920018 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elbert 208_0803920002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elbert 308_0803920003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elbert 408_0803920004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elbert 508_0803920005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elbert 608_0803920006 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elbert 708_0803920007 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elbert 808_0803920008 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| Elbert 908_0803920009 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1880–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1880 | +5.0% |
| 1884 | −8.9% |
| 1888 | −14.9% |
| 1892 | −45.2% |
| 1896 | +46.2% |
| 1900 | +1.1% |
| 1904 | −22.1% |
| 1908 | −10.1% |
| 1912 | +12.7% |
| 1916 | +12.1% |
| 1920 | −39.4% |
| 1924 | −35.5% |
| 1928 | −44.1% |
| 1932 | +12.1% |
| 1936 | −2.0% |
| 1940 | −30.4% |
| 1944 | −38.4% |
| 1948 | −13.8% |
| 1952 | −45.6% |
| 1956 | −29.6% |
| 1960 | −28.7% |
| 1964 | −3.8% |
| 1968 | −32.7% |
| 1972 | −49.9% |
| 1976 | −8.7% |
| 1980 | −45.1% |
| 1984 | −52.1% |
| 1988 | −27.9% |
| 1992 | −19.2% |
| 1996 | −33.0% |
| 2000 | −42.7% |
| 2004 | −48.9% |
| 2008 | −40.0% |
| 2012 | −47.0% |
| 2016 | −53.6% |
| 2020 | −50.2% |
| 2024 | −51.1% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Registration leans Republican; the presidential vote runs 14 points more Democratic.
| Year | Total registered | Democratic | Republican | Unaffiliated | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 20,035 | 2,570 | 11,093 | 6,100 | 272 |
| 2018 | 21,171 | 2,436 | 11,298 | 7,117 | 320 |
| 2020 | 23,139 | 2,453 | 11,886 | 8,436 | 364 |
| 2022 | 24,834 | 2,412 | 11,954 | 10,072 | 396 |
| 2024 | 26,679 | 2,354 | 12,351 | 11,480 | 494 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+1,156 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +6,968 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $99,799 in average income, against $127,625 for residents who stayed — 22% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+6.5 on average — 58 points more Democratic-leaning than Elbert County, CO itself (R+51.1).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Douglas County, CO400R+7.0
- Arapahoe County, CO218D+20.1
- El Paso County, CO108R+9.8
- Jefferson County, CO79D+19.5
- Denver County, CO61D+56.1
- Adams County, CO52D+9.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Douglas County, CO214
- Arapahoe County, CO115
- El Paso County, CO98
- Denver County, CO50
- Adams County, CO43
- Jefferson County, CO40
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −41 |
| 2012 | +59 |
| 2013 | +235 |
| 2014 | +406 |
| 2015 | +481 |
| 2016 | +403 |
| 2017 | +526 |
| 2018 | +455 |
| 2019 | +345 |
| 2021 | +943 |
| 2022 | +624 |
| 2023 | +899 |
| 2024 | +477 |
| 2025 | +1,156 |
A sprawling exurban and ranch county southeast of Denver, Elbert delivered an R+51 presidential margin in 2024 despite sitting within commuting distance of one of the country's fastest-growing metro areas.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 46.2 points in 1896 and a Republican high of 53.6 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 51.1 points.
A population of 27,874, a 83% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $132,685 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Poquoson city and New Kent County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Elbert County, Colorado. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/08039/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.