Saginaw, Texas
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −41.5% |
| 2008 | −34.4% |
| 2012 | −38.9% |
| 2016 | −34.8% |
| 2020 | −23.1% |
| 2024 | −25.1% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 36.9%Harris3,903 | 62.0%Trump6,556 | 1.2% | R+25.1 | R+2.0 | R+23.6 | 10,581 | |
| R | 37.7%Biden3,791 | 60.8%Trump6,110 | 1.4% | R+23.1 | D+11.7 | R+27.5 | 10,044 | |
| R | 30.2%Clinton2,255 | 65.1%Trump4,853 | 4.7% | R+34.8 | D+4.0 | R+36.9 | 7,460 | |
| R | 29.8%Obama2,018 | 68.7%Romney4,646 | 1.5% | R+38.9 | R+4.5 | R+42.7 | 6,763 | |
| R | 32.6%Obama2,211 | 67.0%McCain4,540 | 0.3% | R+34.4 | D+7.1 | R+41.7 | 6,772 | |
| R | 28.8%Kerry1,775 | 70.3%Bush4,334 | 0.9% | R+41.5 | — | R+39.1 | 6,165 |
Saginaw has more than doubled its population since 2000, drawing working-class and middle-income families to affordable housing on Fort Worth's northwest fringe — a demographic mix that has kept local races competitive across party lines.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 41.5 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 2.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 25.1 points.
A population of 24,970, a 49% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $97,276 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Watauga and Orcutt.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Saginaw, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4864112/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.