Kingsville, Texas
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −3.6% |
| 2008 | +12.7% |
| 2012 | +14.3% |
| 2016 | +10.3% |
| 2020 | +5.7% |
| 2024 | −5.4% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 46.9%Harris3,515 | 52.3%Trump3,921 | 0.8% | R+5.4 | R+11.1 | R+3.9 | 7,498 | |
| D | 52.4%Biden4,464 | 46.7%Trump3,979 | 1.0% | D+5.7 | R+4.6 | D+1.2 | 8,524 | |
| D | 52.4%Clinton3,876 | 42.1%Trump3,117 | 5.5% | D+10.3 | R+4.1 | D+8.2 | 7,401 | |
| D | 56.6%Obama3,868 | 42.3%Romney2,890 | 1.1% | D+14.3 | D+1.6 | D+10.5 | 6,831 | |
| D | 55.9%Obama4,363 | 43.2%McCain3,371 | 0.8% | D+12.7 | D+16.3 | D+5.4 | 7,799 | |
| R | 48.0%Kerry3,818 | 51.5%Bush4,104 | 0.5% | R+3.6 | — | R+1.1 | 7,962 |
Kingsville sits in Kleberg County along the edge of the historic King Ranch, and its electorate — roughly 80% Hispanic — has voted Democratic in recent presidential cycles by double-digit margins, reflecting broader South Texas coastal-plain patterns.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 14.3 points in 2012 and a Republican high of 5.4 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 11.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 5.4 points.
A population of 24,994, a 19% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $58,148 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Wasco and Shafter.
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Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Kingsville, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4839352/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.