Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 2004–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic50.8%321TrumpRepublican47.9%303OtherAll other candidates1.3%8
D+2.8
Lead
18
Total
632
vs nation
D+4.3
BidenDemocratic55.2%346TrumpRepublican43.9%275OtherAll other candidates1.0%6
D+11.3
Lead
71
Total
627
vs nation
D+6.9
ClintonDemocratic47.7%239TrumpRepublican46.3%232OtherAll other candidates6.0%30
D+1.4
Lead
7
Total
501
vs nation
R+0.7
ObamaDemocratic48.0%214RomneyRepublican49.6%221OtherAll other candidates2.5%11
R+1.6
Lead
7
Total
446
vs nation
R+5.4
ObamaDemocratic51.2%233McCainRepublican47.9%218OtherAll other candidates0.9%4
D+3.3
Lead
15
Total
455
vs nation
R+4.0
KerryDemocratic43.7%199BushRepublican53.6%244OtherAll other candidates2.6%12
R+9.9
Lead
45
Total
455
vs nation
R+7.4
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
D+2.8MIT Election Lab
Population
4,4402024 5-year
Population density
247 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
18 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$73,8642024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
10.5%2024 5-year
Black
19.7%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
69.0%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+11.3 in 2020MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+9.9 in 2004MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes.
2020–20243 cycles · 3 audited
2024 turnout
30.1%634 participants ÷ 2,103 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+5.6 ptsPersistently low turnout
Drop-off vs state
-13.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
24.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm
0%20%40%
25.9%
202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
634
2,103 ± 435
30.1%
Audited
E/D
2022Mid
505
1,952 ± 557
25.9%
Audited
E/D
635
2,015 ± 490
31.5%
Audited
E/D
Sources and methods
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
presidential history
Party record book
Cedar Creek, TX · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
55.2%
346 votes · D+11.3
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 51.2%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
53.6%
244 votes · R+9.9
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 49.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
346votes
55.2% of the vote · D+11.3
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 321 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
303votes
47.9% of the vote · D+2.8
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 275 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
+6.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+11.3 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · +4.3 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2004
+7.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+9.9 · U.S. R+2.5
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · +5.4 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Cedar Creek · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Bastrop County, Texas, the county containing Cedar Creek — Cedar Creek’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Cedar Creek, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Cedar Creek sits along the SH-71 corridor southeast of Austin, where rapid in-migration has made once-reliably lopsided county results incrementally more competitive over successive election cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 11.3 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 9.9 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 8.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 2.8 points.
A population of 4,440, a 11% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $73,864 describe the city.
In 2024, Cedar Creek, Texas voted Democratic by 2.8 points (D+2.8), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 632 votes cast, 321 went Democratic and 303 went Republican.
When did Cedar Creek, Texas last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Cedar Creek, Texas voted Republican was 2012.
How many people live in Cedar Creek, Texas?
Cedar Creek, Texas has a population of 4,440 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Cedar Creek, Texas?
Median household income in Cedar Creek, Texas is $73,864 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Cedar Creek, Texas?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Cedar Creek, Texas from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 4 went Democratic and 2 went Republican.
