Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic39.2%705TrumpRepublican60.0%1,079OtherAll other candidates0.8%14
R+20.8
Lead
374
Total
1,798
vs nation
R+19.3
Turnout
—
BidenDemocratic41.2%709TrumpRepublican57.8%994OtherAll other candidates1.0%18
R+16.6
Lead
285
Total
1,721
vs nation
R+21.0
Turnout
—
ClintonDemocratic34.5%548TrumpRepublican60.4%960OtherAll other candidates5.2%82
R+25.9
Lead
412
Total
1,590
vs nation
R+28.0
Turnout
—
ObamaDemocratic40.8%608RomneyRepublican58.1%865OtherAll other candidates1.1%17
R+17.2
Lead
257
Total
1,490
vs nation
R+21.1
Turnout
—
ObamaDemocratic44.3%693McCainRepublican54.1%846OtherAll other candidates1.6%25
R+9.8
Lead
153
Total
1,564
vs nation
R+17.1
Turnout
—
KerryDemocratic46.7%746BushRepublican51.9%830OtherAll other candidates1.4%23
R+5.3
Lead
84
Total
1,599
vs nation
R+2.8
Turnout
—
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+20.8MIT Election Lab
Population
3,2162024 5-year
Median household income
$65,8392024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
91.2%2024 5-year
Black
1.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
1.0%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+25.9 in 2016MIT Election Lab
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−5.3%
2008
−9.8%
2012
−17.2%
2016
−25.9%
2020
−16.6%
2024
−20.8%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
39.2%Harris705
60.0%Trump1,079
0.8%
R+20.8
R+4.2
R+19.3
1,798
R
41.2%Biden709
57.8%Trump994
1.0%
R+16.6
D+9.4
R+21.0
1,721
R
34.5%Clinton548
60.4%Trump960
5.2%
R+25.9
R+8.7
R+28.0
1,590
R
40.8%Obama608
58.1%Romney865
1.1%
R+17.2
R+7.5
R+21.1
1,490
R
44.3%Obama693
54.1%McCain846
1.6%
R+9.8
—
R+17.1
1,564
R
46.7%Kerry746
51.9%Bush830
1.4%
R+5.3
—
R+2.8
1,599
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 1 Senate
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
40.4%705
56.6%989
1,746
Trafford sits in the Mid-Atlantic. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 25.9 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 4.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 20.8 points.
A population of 3,216, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,839 describe the city.
In 2024, Trafford, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 20.8 points (R+20.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,798 votes cast, 705 went Democratic and 1,079 went Republican.
How many people live in Trafford, Pennsylvania?
Trafford, Pennsylvania has a population of 3,216 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Trafford, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in Trafford, Pennsylvania is $65,839 — below the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Trafford, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Trafford, Pennsylvania from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.