Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic55.6%1,790TrumpRepublican43.2%1,392OtherAll other candidates1.2%40
D+12.4
Lead
398
Total
3,222
vs nation
D+13.8
Turnout
—
BidenDemocratic54.8%1,760TrumpRepublican43.9%1,412OtherAll other candidates1.3%42
D+10.8
Lead
348
Total
3,214
vs nation
D+6.4
Turnout
—
ClintonDemocratic50.6%1,484TrumpRepublican45.4%1,332OtherAll other candidates4.0%117
D+5.2
Lead
152
Total
2,933
vs nation
D+3.1
Turnout
—
ObamaDemocratic48.5%1,282RomneyRepublican50.0%1,321OtherAll other candidates1.5%39
R+1.5
Lead
39
Total
2,642
vs nation
R+5.3
Turnout
—
ObamaDemocratic49.5%1,386McCainRepublican49.5%1,386OtherAll other candidates1.1%30
Tie
Lead
0
Total
2,802
vs nation
R+7.3
Turnout
—
KerryDemocratic49.3%1,373BushRepublican49.8%1,386OtherAll other candidates0.9%25
R+0.5
Lead
13
Total
2,784
vs nation
D+2.0
Turnout
—
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
D+12.4MIT Election Lab
Population
4,8332024 5-year
Median household income
$92,4222024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
91.0%2024 5-year
Black
0.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
0.7%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+12.4 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+1.5 in 2012MIT Election Lab
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−0.5%
2008
+0.0%
2012
−1.5%
2016
+5.2%
2020
+10.8%
2024
+12.4%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
55.6%Harris1,790
43.2%Trump1,392
1.2%
D+12.4
D+1.5
D+13.8
3,222
D
54.8%Biden1,760
43.9%Trump1,412
1.3%
D+10.8
D+5.6
D+6.4
3,214
D
50.6%Clinton1,484
45.4%Trump1,332
4.0%
D+5.2
D+6.7
D+3.1
2,933
R
48.5%Obama1,282
50.0%Romney1,321
1.5%
R+1.5
R+1.5
R+5.3
2,642
O
49.5%Obama1,386
49.5%McCain1,386
1.1%
Tied
—
R+7.3
2,802
R
49.3%Kerry1,373
49.8%Bush1,386
0.9%
R+0.5
—
D+2.0
2,784
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Green Tree sits just southwest of Pittsburgh along Chartiers Creek, with household incomes well above county medians. Its small but dense electorate has swung between parties in recent cycles, making precinct-level targeting unusually consequential here.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 12.4 points in 2024 and a Republican high of 1.5 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 1.5 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 12.4 points.
A population of 4,833, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $92,422 describe the city.
In 2024, Green Tree, Pennsylvania voted Democratic by 12.4 points (D+12.4), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 3,222 votes cast, 1,790 went Democratic and 1,392 went Republican.
When did Green Tree, Pennsylvania last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Green Tree, Pennsylvania voted Republican was 2012.
How many people live in Green Tree, Pennsylvania?
Green Tree, Pennsylvania has a population of 4,833 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Green Tree, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in Green Tree, Pennsylvania is $92,422 — above the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Green Tree, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Green Tree, Pennsylvania from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 2 went Republican.