Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupBull MountainOregonUnited States
German17.7%16.3%12.5%
English15.9%14.1%9.5%
Irish11.3%11.1%9.4%
American6.3%4.3%5.3%
Italian3.9%3.5%4.8%
Norwegian3.6%3.1%—
Scottish3.2%3.0%1.3%
French2.7%2.1%1.6%
Asian Indian3.2%0.7%1.4%
Chinese1.6%0.9%1.3%
Filipino1.2%0.5%0.9%
Vietnamese1.2%0.7%0.6%
Korean1.1%0.4%0.4%
Japanese0.8%0.3%0.2%
Taiwanese0.3%——
Bangladeshi0.2%——
Mexican4.2%11.5%11.3%
Guatemalan0.3%0.4%0.5%
Puerto Rican0.2%0.4%1.8%
African American†2.4%1.2%9.9%
African0.6%—0.5%
Aztec0.8%——
Native Hawaiian0.6%——
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Bull Mountain
Oregon
United States
Median age
41.3
40.6
39.1
Age 18–24
6.9%
8.5%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
14.5%
18.9%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Bull Mountain
Oregon
United States
Median household income
$165,426
$83,011
$84,427
Poverty rate
4.7%
12.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
59.9%
36.7%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Bull Mountain
Oregon
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
21.6%
15.3%
22.3%
Spanish
2.9%
9.0%
13.6%
Other Indo-European
5.6%
1.0%
2.0%
Chinese (incl. Mandarin & Cantonese)
2.3%
0.7%
1.1%
Vietnamese
4.0%
0.6%
0.5%
Religious landscape
Measure
Bull Mountain
Oregon
United States
Catholic
—
11.3%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
12.8%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
66.9%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Bull Mountain, Oregon
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−6.9%
2008
+9.7%
2012
+8.8%
2016
+19.3%
2020
+27.9%
2024
+28.1%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
61.7%Harris3,480
33.6%Trump1,894
4.6%
D+28.1
D+0.2
D+29.6
5,636
D
62.3%Biden3,774
34.4%Trump2,083
3.2%
D+27.9
D+8.6
D+23.5
6,053
D
54.1%Clinton2,770
34.8%Trump1,781
11.1%
D+19.3
D+10.5
D+17.2
5,117
D
52.8%Obama3,098
44.0%Romney2,581
3.3%
D+8.8
R+0.9
D+5.0
5,871
D
54.0%Obama2,061
44.3%McCain1,692
1.7%
D+9.7
D+16.6
D+2.4
3,816
R
45.9%Kerry1,767
52.8%Bush2,033
1.4%
R+6.9
—
R+4.4
3,853
Bull Mountain is an unincorporated community in the Portland metro's expanding southern suburbs, where high homeownership rates and rapid in-migration have made it a reliable bellwether for Washington County's competitive suburban electorate.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 28.1 points in 2024 and a Republican high of 6.9 points in 2004. The 2024 margin was 28.1 points.
A population of 9,865, a 74% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $165,426 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Normandy Park and North Bend.
Akashic
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Bull Mountain, Oregon voted Democratic by 28.1 points (D+28.1), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 5,636 votes cast, 3,480 went Democratic and 1,894 went Republican.
When did Bull Mountain, Oregon last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Bull Mountain, Oregon voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in Bull Mountain, Oregon?
Bull Mountain, Oregon has a population of 9,865 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Bull Mountain, Oregon?
Median household income in Bull Mountain, Oregon is $165,426 — above the national median of $80,734. The Oregon state median is $83,011.
What is the political history of Bull Mountain, Oregon?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Bull Mountain, Oregon from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 1 went Republican.