Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 2004–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic48.6%1,365TrumpRepublican49.7%1,395OtherAll other candidates1.7%47
R+1.1
Lead
30
Total
2,807
vs nation
D+0.4
BidenDemocratic47.3%1,421TrumpRepublican51.6%1,550OtherAll other candidates1.0%31
R+4.3
Lead
129
Total
3,002
vs nation
R+8.8
ClintonDemocratic39.3%1,050TrumpRepublican56.9%1,520OtherAll other candidates3.8%102
R+17.6
Lead
470
Total
2,672
vs nation
R+19.7
ObamaDemocratic35.8%876RomneyRepublican62.8%1,536OtherAll other candidates1.4%35
R+27.0
Lead
660
Total
2,447
vs nation
R+30.8
ObamaDemocratic37.7%913McCainRepublican61.0%1,477OtherAll other candidates1.3%31
R+23.3
Lead
564
Total
2,421
vs nation
R+30.6
KerryDemocratic33.5%676BushRepublican66.3%1,337OtherAll other candidates0.2%4
R+32.8
Lead
661
Total
2,017
vs nation
R+30.3
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+1.1MIT Election Lab
Population
3,5302024 5-year
Population density
436 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
8.1 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$95,0982024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
93.5%2024 5-year
Black
0.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
4.7%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+32.8 in 2004MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20247 cycles · 4 audited
2024 turnout
87.4%2,853 participants ÷ 3,263 CVAP
2016→2018 drop-off
+20.0 ptsVolatile
Drop-off vs state
+4.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
0%20%40%60%80%100%
74.6%
74.3%
2004200820122016201820222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
2,853
3,263 ± 181
87.4%
Audited
E/A
2022Mid
2,300
3,094 ± 188
74.3%
Audited
E/A
2018Mid
2,211
2,964 ± 156
74.6%
Audited
E/A
2,676
2,829 ± 180
94.6%
Audited
E/A
2,447
2,798
87.5%
Derived
—
2,421
2,522
96.0%
Derived
—
2,017
2,246 extrapolated
89.8%
Derived
—
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
presidential history
Party record book
Flat Rock, NC · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
48.6%
1,365 votes · R+1.1
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 47.3%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
66.3%
1,337 votes · R+32.8
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 62.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
1,421votes
47.3% of the vote · R+4.3
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 1,365 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
1,550votes
51.6% of the vote · R+4.3
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 1,536 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
+0.4pts D vs U.S.
Place R+1.1 · U.S. R+1.5
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · −8.8 pts
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
+30.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+27.0 · U.S. D+3.9
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · +30.6 pts
U.S. House elections · 1 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Flat Rock · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Henderson County, North Carolina, the county containing Flat Rock — Flat Rock’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Flat Rock, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Flat Rock anchors a historic summer-colony corridor in western North Carolina's mountains, where retiree in-migration has gradually shifted the demographic mix and tempered the surrounding county's traditionally lopsided margins.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 32.8 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 3.2 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 1.1 points.
A population of 3,530, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $95,098 describe the city.
In 2024, Flat Rock, North Carolina voted Republican by 1.1 points (R+1.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,807 votes cast, 1,365 went Democratic and 1,395 went Republican.
How many people live in Flat Rock, North Carolina?
Flat Rock, North Carolina has a population of 3,530 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Flat Rock, North Carolina?
Median household income in Flat Rock, North Carolina is $95,098 — above the national median of $80,734. The North Carolina state median is $72,388.
What is the political history of Flat Rock, North Carolina?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Flat Rock, North Carolina from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
