- Lead
- 29,950
- Total
- 117,716
- vs nation
- R+24.0
North Carolina 48th State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 31,745
- Total
- 115,159
- vs nation
- R+32.0
- Lead
- 33,380
- Total
- 99,421
- vs nation
- R+35.7
- Lead
- 26,163
- Total
- 91,487
- vs nation
- R+32.5
- Lead
- 21,578
- Total
- 90,898
- vs nation
- R+31.0
- Lead
- 22,541
- Total
- 76,918
- vs nation
- R+26.8
- Lead
- 21,151
- Total
- 68,631
- vs nation
- R+31.3
- Lead
- 12,005
- Total
- 58,010
- vs nation
- R+29.2
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+25.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 200,0532024 5-year
- Population density
- 170 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,176 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $62,7312024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 80.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 4.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+39.2 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+49.1 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 46, NC · twin score 92.3
presidential history
Party record book
North Carolina 48th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1940
65.1%
17,659 votes · D+30.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 61.1%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
73.7%
24,769 votes · R+49.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 67.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
43,107votes
36.6% of the vote · R+25.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 40,865 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
73,057votes
62.1% of the vote · R+25.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 72,610 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+29.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+4.4 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +27.8 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+35.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+33.6 · U.S. D+2.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · +32.5 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With a 2024 presidential margin under one point, this Charlotte-area district sits at the competitive edge of the state's legislative map, making it a consistent target for both parties in down-ballot races.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 39.2 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 49.1 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.1 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 25.4 points.
A population of 200,053, a 80% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $62,731 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 46 and State Senate District 50.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
North Carolina 48th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/37048/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.