2024 presidential election
Lake Carmel
TrumpR+14.5
Constituent county margins for Lake Carmel, NYOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
| Donald Trump ✓Republican | 56.9% | 2,526 |
|---|---|---|
| Kamala HarrisDemocratic | 42.4% | 1,883 |
| OtherAll other candidates | 0.7% | 32 |
D+60R+60
1 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2008 | −9.0% |
| 2012 | −8.4% |
| 2016 | −19.7% |
| 2020 | −9.4% |
| 2024 | −14.5% |
DemocraticRepublican
5 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 42.4%Harris1,883 | 56.9%Trump2,526 | 0.7% | 4,441 | ||
| R | 44.4%Biden1,969 | 53.8%Trump2,384 | 1.8%incl. Jorgensen | 4,434 | ||
| R | 37.7%Clinton1,473 | 57.4%Trump2,244 | 5.0%incl. Johnson | 3,911 | ||
| R | 45.8%Obama1,616 | 54.2%Romney1,913 | 0.0% | 3,529 | ||
| R | 44.7%Obama1,758 | 53.7%McCain2,112 | 1.6% | 3,931 |
Demographics
Demographic profile
Demographic Profile
Key indicators compared across containing geographies
| Indicator | Lake CarmelCity | New YorkState | United StatesNation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Race & Ethnicity | |||
| White | 62.0% | 55.2% | 61.0% |
| Black | 6.0% | 14.4% | 12.2% |
| Asian | 1.7% | 9.1% | 6.0% |
| Two or more races | 12.3% | 10.3% | 12.6% |
| Other race | 18.0% | 11.1% | 8.2% |
| Hispanic or Latino | 30.7% | 19.8% | 19.3% |
| Income & Age | |||
| Median household income | $109,243 | $85,974 | $84,427 |
| Poverty rate | 8.3% | 14.0% | 12.5% |
| Median age | 40.3 | 39.9 | 39.1 |
| Age 18–24 | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% |
| Age 65 and older | 19.3% | 18.0% | 17.2% |
| Education & Language | |||
| Bachelor's degree or higher (25+) | 45.5% | 40.0% | 35.6% |
| Speaks a non-English language at home | 21.4% | 30.9% | 22.3% |
| Spanish | 13.3% | 14.8% | 13.6% |
| Other Indo-European | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Russian, Polish, or other Slavic | 1.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Ancestry | |||
| Largest ancestry | Italian 22.3% | Italian 10.9% | German 12.5% |
| 2nd-largest ancestry | Irish 17.6% | Irish 10.5% | Mexican 11.3% |
| 3rd-largest ancestry | German 9.8% | German 8.6% | English 9.5% |
| Religion | |||
| Catholic | 42.8%County context | 30.8% | 18.6% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 0.8%County context | 5.1% | 16.5% |
| Unaffiliated or unclaimed | 51.7%County context | 48.7% | 51.5% |
ACS values are survey estimates and may include margins of error.
Religion data may be available only at county or larger geographies. Sub-county values are labeled when inherited, modeled, or contextual.
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the origins and ancestries reported within it.
Reported ancestry · ACS B04006
Italian
22.3%
Irish
17.6%
German
9.8%
American
8.3%
English
6.0%
Polish
3.1%
Scottish
1.0%
Dutch
1.0%
Specific origin · ACS B03001
Puerto Rican
5.9%
Guatemalan
2.8%
Dominican
2.2%
Mexican
2.1%
Ecuadorian
1.7%
Colombian
1.2%
Cuban
0.5%
Peruvian
0.5%
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, Pacific Islander, and other single-race responses combined.
The ACS does not publish subgroup detail for people reporting two or more races.
Reported ancestry · ACS B04006
African American identity is recorded by the ACS race question; the ancestry item enumerates specific African and Caribbean ancestries only.
Haitian
0.3%
Jamaican
0.3%
West Indian
0.3%
African
0.2%
Detailed group · ACS B02015
Chinese
1.0%
Filipino
0.4%
Asian Indian
0.3%
Korean
0.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Race shares: B02001 · B03003. Subgroup detail: B03001 (Hispanic or Latino specific origin), B02015 (Asian groups), B02020 · B02016 (American Indian/Alaska Native tribes and Pacific Islander groups), B04006 (reported ancestry). Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so group shares can total more than 100%. All subgroup rows are shares of total population; ancestry is self-reported and multiple-response, so rows do not sum to the parent group's share.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 40.3 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$109,243
Lake Carmel$109,243
New York$85,974
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
8.3%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 185.9%
Working age (18–64)7.0%
Seniors (65+)11.1%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
78.6%
speak English only
Spanish13.3%
Other Indo-European3.7%
Russian, Polish, or other Slavic1.4%
Chinese (incl. Mandarin & Cantonese)0.7%
French (incl. Cajun & Haitian)0.6%
German or other West Germanic0.5%
Tagalog (incl. Filipino)0.4%
Arabic0.4%
Other Asian & Pacific Island0.3%
Other languages0.2%
Korean0.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Unaffiliated or not counted51.7%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. The unaffiliated-or-not-counted share is everyone not claimed as an adherent by any reporting body — uncounted congregations as well as the religiously unaffiliated.
Lake Carmel sits in the Mid-Atlantic. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 19.7 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 5.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 14.5 points.
A population of 7,854, a 62% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $109,243 describe the city.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Lake Carmel, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/3640398/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Lake Carmel, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Lake Carmel, New York voted Republican by 14.5 points (R+14.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 4,441 votes cast, 1,883 went Democratic and 2,526 went Republican.
What is Lake Carmel, New York's political typology?
Akashic places Lake Carmel, New York in the "" typology. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 5 elections in the dataset, the city has voted Democratic 0 times, Republican 5 times, and other 0 times.
How many people live in Lake Carmel, New York?
Lake Carmel, New York has a population of 7,854 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Lake Carmel, New York?
Median household income in Lake Carmel, New York is $109,243 — above the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Lake Carmel, New York?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Lake Carmel, New York from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 5 went Republican. The city's typology — "" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.