Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic45.4%620TrumpRepublican52.2%713OtherAll other candidates2.5%34
R+6.8
Lead
93
Total
1,367
vs nation
R+5.3
Turnout
—
BidenDemocratic51.9%810TrumpRepublican46.7%730OtherAll other candidates1.4%22
D+5.1
Lead
80
Total
1,562
vs nation
D+0.7
Turnout
—
ClintonDemocratic48.1%622TrumpRepublican48.8%631OtherAll other candidates3.2%41
R+0.7
Lead
9
Total
1,294
vs nation
R+2.8
Turnout
—
ObamaDemocratic65.7%925RomneyRepublican33.1%466OtherAll other candidates1.2%17
D+32.6
Lead
459
Total
1,408
vs nation
D+28.7
Turnout
—
ObamaDemocratic61.4%883McCainRepublican37.1%534OtherAll other candidates1.5%22
D+24.3
Lead
349
Total
1,439
vs nation
D+17.0
Turnout
—
KerryDemocratic60.0%796BushRepublican38.4%509OtherAll other candidates1.7%22
D+21.6
Lead
287
Total
1,327
vs nation
D+24.1
Turnout
—
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+6.8MIT Election Lab
Population
3,7162024 5-year
Median household income
$103,5032024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
40.9%2024 5-year
Black
10.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
41.2%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+32.6 in 2012MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+6.8 in 2024MIT Election Lab
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
+21.6%
2008
+24.3%
2012
+32.6%
2016
−0.7%
2020
+5.1%
2024
−6.8%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004, 2020 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for these cycles was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
45.4%Harris620
52.2%Trump713
2.5%
R+6.8
—
R+5.3
1,367
D
51.9%Biden810
46.7%Trump730
1.4%
D+5.1
—
D+0.7
1,562
R
48.1%Clinton622
48.8%Trump631
3.2%
R+0.7
R+33.3
R+2.8
1,294
D
65.7%Obama925
33.1%Romney466
1.2%
D+32.6
D+8.3
D+28.7
1,408
D
61.4%Obama883
37.1%McCain534
1.5%
D+24.3
—
D+17.0
1,439
D
60.0%Kerry796
38.4%Bush509
1.7%
D+21.6
—
D+24.1
1,327
Federal and statewide elections · 1 House · 1 Senate
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
O
0.0%0
0.0%0
1,262
South Toms River sits along the Toms River in Ocean County, a reliably Republican-leaning part of New Jersey. Its dense, modest housing stock and blue-collar roots produce voter patterns that sometimes diverge from the county's wider suburban trends.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 32.6 points in 2012 and a Republican high of 6.8 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 11.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 6.8 points.
A population of 3,716, a 41% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $103,503 describe the city.
How did South Toms River, New Jersey vote in 2024?
In 2024, South Toms River, New Jersey voted Republican by 6.8 points (R+6.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,367 votes cast, 620 went Democratic and 713 went Republican.
When did South Toms River, New Jersey last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which South Toms River, New Jersey voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in South Toms River, New Jersey?
South Toms River, New Jersey has a population of 3,716 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in South Toms River, New Jersey?
Median household income in South Toms River, New Jersey is $103,503 — above the national median of $80,734. The New Jersey state median is $103,556.
What is the political history of South Toms River, New Jersey?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in South Toms River, New Jersey from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 4 went Democratic and 2 went Republican.