Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic59.9%705TrumpRepublican37.0%435OtherAll other candidates3.1%36
D+23.0
Lead
270
Total
1,176
vs nation
D+24.4
Turnout
—
BidenDemocratic67.8%809TrumpRepublican29.0%346OtherAll other candidates3.3%39
D+38.8
Lead
463
Total
1,194
vs nation
D+34.3
Turnout
—
ClintonDemocratic63.8%515TrumpRepublican23.0%186OtherAll other candidates13.1%106
D+40.8
Lead
329
Total
807
vs nation
D+38.7
Turnout
—
ObamaDemocratic80.9%691RomneyRepublican16.7%143OtherAll other candidates2.3%20
D+64.2
Lead
548
Total
854
vs nation
D+60.3
Turnout
—
ObamaDemocratic76.6%623McCainRepublican20.9%170OtherAll other candidates2.5%20
D+55.7
Lead
453
Total
813
vs nation
D+48.4
Turnout
—
KerryDemocratic61.5%429BushRepublican35.6%248OtherAll other candidates2.9%20
D+26.0
Lead
181
Total
697
vs nation
D+28.4
Turnout
—
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
D+23.0MIT Election Lab
Population
3,0272024 5-year
Median household income
$73,9362024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
31.7%2024 5-year
Black
2.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
16.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+64.2 in 2012MIT Election Lab
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
+26.0%
2008
+55.7%
2012
+64.2%
2016
+40.8%
2020
+38.8%
2024
+23.0%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
59.9%Harris705
37.0%Trump435
3.1%
D+23.0
R+15.8
D+24.4
1,176
D
67.8%Biden809
29.0%Trump346
3.3%
D+38.8
R+2.0
D+34.3
1,194
D
63.8%Clinton515
23.0%Trump186
13.1%
D+40.8
R+23.4
D+38.7
807
D
80.9%Obama691
16.7%Romney143
2.3%
D+64.2
D+8.4
D+60.3
854
D
76.6%Obama623
20.9%McCain170
2.5%
D+55.7
—
D+48.4
813
D
61.5%Kerry429
35.6%Bush248
2.9%
D+26.0
—
D+28.4
697
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 1 Senate
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
D
69.4%718
26.2%271
1,034
Orchidlands Estates sits on the rain-soaked eastern slope of Kīlauea, drawing residents who prioritize land affordability over urban amenities — a demographic mix that makes turnout patterns here notably unpredictable for a Hawaiian community its size.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 64.2 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 15.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 23.0 points.
A population of 3,027, a 32% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $73,936 describe the city.
In 2024, Orchidlands Estates, Hawaii voted Democratic by 23.0 points (D+23.0), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 1,176 votes cast, 705 went Democratic and 435 went Republican.
How many people live in Orchidlands Estates, Hawaii?
Orchidlands Estates, Hawaii has a population of 3,027 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Orchidlands Estates, Hawaii?
Median household income in Orchidlands Estates, Hawaii is $73,936 — below the national median of $80,734. The Hawaii state median is $100,389.
What is the political history of Orchidlands Estates, Hawaii?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Orchidlands Estates, Hawaii from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.