Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Hilo-Kailua, HI
presidential margin
2008D+53.72012D+51.22016D+36.62020D+36.32024D+28.3
full record · 19602024
D+28.3
2024
median income$78,639U.S. $80,734 · HI $100,389
median age44.3U.S. 39.1 · HI 41
poverty rate14.9%U.S. 12.5% · HI 10.0%
bachelor’s+ (25+)31.4%U.S. 35.6% · HI 36.2%
non-english22.6%U.S. 22.3% · HI 24.7%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
German8.1%
English8.0%
Irish6.0%
Japanese8.5%
Filipino7.8%
Chinese1.4%
Native Hawaiian9.0%
Marshallese1.2%
Samoan0.4%
Puerto Rican4.4%
Mexican3.7%
Spanish1.5%
religion
other traditions
Buddhist3.8%
Other Christian2.4%
Mainline1.8%
Hindu0.3%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Hilo-Kailua, HI, Hawaii

Akashic
Hilo-Kailua, HIHarrisD+28.3
2024 presidential margin by county for Hilo-Kailua, HI, HIA map of the single county of Hilo-Kailua, HI, HI, outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Hawaii County, HI · D+28.3
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Kamala HarrisDemocratic63.0%52,163
Donald TrumpRepublican34.7%28,748
Jill SteinG2.3%1,912
D+60
R+60
A single county, filled by its 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover it for the full result.
County-level results (1 county) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Hilo-Kailua, HI, HI — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Hawaii County, HIDemocraticD+28.3
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
D
63.0%Harris52,163
34.7%Trump28,748
2.3%Stein1,912
+28.3%
82,823
D
66.9%Biden58,731
30.6%Trump26,897
2.5%Jorgensen2,186
+36.3%
87,814
D
63.6%Clinton41,259
27.0%Trump17,501
9.4%Johnson6,107
+36.6%
64,867
D
74.4%Obama47,224
23.2%Romney14,753
2.3%Johnson1,477
+51.2%
63,454
D
75.9%Obama50,819
22.2%McCain14,866
1.8%Nader1,231
+53.7%
66,916
D
60.9%Kerry35,116
38.2%Bush22,032
1.0%Cobb554
+22.7%
57,702
D
56.4%Gore28,670
33.5%Bush17,050
10.1%Nader5,140
+22.8%
50,860
D
55.7%Clinton27,262
27.6%Dole13,516
16.7%Perot8,199
+28.1%
48,977
D
50.5%Clinton25,725
30.4%Bush15,460
19.1%Perot9,731
+20.2%
50,916
D
57.7%Dukakis24,091
41.0%Bush17,125
1.3%Paul552
+16.7%
41,768
R
45.6%Mondale17,866
52.9%Reagan20,707
1.5%Bergland570
−7.3%
39,143
D
49.2%Carter17,630
39.7%Reagan14,247
11.1%Anderson3,984
+9.4%
35,861
D
50.2%Carter15,960
48.4%Ford15,366
1.4%Macbride439
+1.9%
31,765
R
40.9%McGovern11,652
59.1%Nixon16,832
0.0%
−18.2%
28,484
D
61.5%Humphrey15,819
37.4%Nixon9,625
1.1%Wallace283
+24.1%
25,727
D
80.1%Johnson20,011
19.9%Goldwater4,962
0.0%
+60.3%
24,973
R
48.5%Kennedy11,557
51.5%Nixon12,251
0.0%
−2.9%
23,808
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presidential history
Presidential margin, 1960–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1960 to 2024. Most recent: +28.3% in 2024.flipped D · 1988+28.3%DR19602024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1960−2.9%
1964+60.3%
1968+24.1%
1972−18.2%
1976+1.9%
1980+9.4%
1984−7.3%
1988+16.7%
1992+20.2%
1996+28.1%
2000+22.8%
2004+22.7%
2008+53.7%
2012+51.2%
2016+36.6%
2020+36.3%
2024+28.3%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Voter registration in Hilo-Kailua, HITotal registered voters, 2016–2024. Latest 135,537 in 2024.33.9K67.8K101.7K135.5K135.5K20162024
Registered voters
Voter registration in Hilo-Kailua, HI
YearTotal registered
2016114,649
2018115,406
2020127,348
2022131,275
2024135,537
Source: U.S. Election Assistance Commission (EAVS)

The Big Island's largest metro blends Native Hawaiian communities, Japanese-American working-class neighborhoods, and a university town in Hilo — a mix that has delivered Democrats double-digit margins in most statewide contests.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 60.3 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 18.2 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 8.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 28.3 points.

A population of 205,769, a 30% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $78,639 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Kahului-Wailuku, HI and Kapaa, HI.

The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Hilo-Kailua, HI, Hawaii. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/25900/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Hilo-Kailua, HI

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Frequently asked questions

How did Hilo-Kailua, HI, Hawaii vote in 2024?
In 2024, Hilo-Kailua, HI, Hawaii voted Democratic by 28.3 points (D+28.3), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 82,823 votes cast, 52,163 went Democratic and 28,748 went Republican.
When did Hilo-Kailua, HI, Hawaii last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Hilo-Kailua, HI, Hawaii voted Republican was 1984.
How many people live in Hilo-Kailua, HI, Hawaii?
Hilo-Kailua, HI, Hawaii has a population of 205,769 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Hilo-Kailua, HI, Hawaii?
Median household income in Hilo-Kailua, HI, Hawaii is $78,639 — below the national median of $80,734. The Hawaii state median is $100,389.
What is the political history of Hilo-Kailua, HI, Hawaii?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Hilo-Kailua, HI, Hawaii from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 14 went Democratic and 3 went Republican.