Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 2004–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic62.3%1,594TrumpRepublican36.3%927OtherAll other candidates1.4%36
D+26.1
Lead
667
Total
2,557
vs nation
D+27.6
BidenDemocratic66.5%1,965TrumpRepublican31.8%940OtherAll other candidates1.7%51
D+34.7
Lead
1,025
Total
2,956
vs nation
D+30.2
ClintonDemocratic60.0%1,549TrumpRepublican35.6%918OtherAll other candidates4.4%114
D+24.4
Lead
631
Total
2,581
vs nation
D+22.4
ObamaDemocratic60.0%1,253RomneyRepublican38.5%804OtherAll other candidates1.6%33
D+21.5
Lead
449
Total
2,090
vs nation
D+17.6
ObamaDemocratic61.6%1,606McCainRepublican37.3%971OtherAll other candidates1.1%29
D+24.4
Lead
635
Total
2,606
vs nation
D+17.1
KerryDemocratic58.0%1,414BushRepublican40.7%993OtherAll other candidates1.4%33
D+17.3
Lead
421
Total
2,440
vs nation
D+19.7
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
D+26.1MIT Election Lab
Population
4,4832024 5-year
Population density
1,245 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
3.6 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$152,5592024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
80.6%2024 5-year
Black
1.5%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
1.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+34.7 in 2020MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20206 cycles · 3 audited
2020 turnout
72.9%3,005 participants ÷ 4,122 CVAP
2016→2018 drop-off
+9.4 ptsHigh-turnout, durable
Drop-off vs state
-0.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
0%20%40%60%80%
61.3%
200420082012201620182020
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
3,005
4,122 ± 520
72.9%
Audited
E/D
2018Mid
2,245
3,663 ± 260
61.3%
Audited
E/A
2,639
3,732 ± 273
70.7%
Audited
E/A
2,090
3,222
64.9%
Derived
—
2,606
3,088
84.4%
Derived
—
2,440
2,954 extrapolated
82.6%
Derived
—
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
presidential history
Party record book
Mystic, CT · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
66.5%
1,965 votes · D+34.7
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 62.3%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
40.7%
993 votes · D+17.3
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 38.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
1,965votes
66.5% of the vote · D+34.7
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 1,606 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2004
993votes
40.7% of the vote · D+17.3
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · 971 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
+30.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+34.7 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · +27.6 pts
Republican
John McCain2008
−17.1pts R vs U.S.
Place D+24.4 · U.S. D+7.3
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · −17.6 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Mystic · Akashic carries this place’s presidential nominating contests, but not at this place’s own grain.
Connecticut’s presidential primary returns are aggregated to the eight counties retired as county-equivalents in 2022. Akashic publishes the nine planning regions that replaced them, and their boundaries cross the old county lines. The presidential record elsewhere on this page crosses that boundary because a general-election county row carries each party’s votes, and votes can be apportioned and disclosed as an estimate. A primary county row carries a leader and a lead over the runner-up and nothing else: there is no per-candidate vote to apportion, and who led is not a quantity that can be weighted. So the record is complete and published — at Connecticut’s state contest, not at this grain. See Connecticut’s Democratic presidential primary.
Mystic's identity as a historic seaport and aquarium destination drives a transient population layer atop a small permanent base, complicating voter registration trends and turnout comparisons across election cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 34.7 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 8.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 26.1 points.
A population of 4,483, a 81% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $152,559 describe the city.
In 2024, Mystic, Connecticut voted Democratic by 26.1 points (D+26.1), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 2,557 votes cast, 1,594 went Democratic and 927 went Republican.
How many people live in Mystic, Connecticut?
Mystic, Connecticut has a population of 4,483 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Mystic, Connecticut?
Median household income in Mystic, Connecticut is $152,559 — above the national median of $80,734. The Connecticut state median is $95,781.
What is the political history of Mystic, Connecticut?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Mystic, Connecticut from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.
