Naugatuck, Connecticut
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −6.4% |
| 2008 | +6.6% |
| 2012 | +0.9% |
| 2016 | −15.9% |
| 2020 | −5.5% |
| 2024 | −9.9% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 44.4%Harris6,241 | 54.3%Trump7,634 | 1.3% | R+9.9 | R+4.4 | R+8.4 | 14,061 | |
| R | 46.5%Biden6,918 | 51.9%Trump7,733 | 1.6% | R+5.5 | D+10.4 | R+9.9 | 14,892 | |
| R | 39.6%Clinton5,214 | 55.5%Trump7,303 | 5.0% | R+15.9 | R+16.7 | R+18.0 | 13,169 | |
| D | 49.9%Obama6,311 | 49.0%Romney6,202 | 1.0% | D+0.9 | R+5.8 | R+3.0 | 12,645 | |
| D | 52.7%Obama7,034 | 46.0%McCain6,148 | 1.3% | D+6.6 | D+13.0 | R+0.6 | 13,351 | |
| R | 46.0%Kerry5,992 | 52.4%Bush6,827 | 1.6% | R+6.4 | — | R+4.0 | 13,021 |
Naugatuck's working-class, post-industrial electorate in the lower Naugatuck Valley has produced competitive margins in statewide races, making it a reliable bellwether for how blue-collar Connecticut swings in any given cycle.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 6.6 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 15.9 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 4.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 9.9 points.
A population of 31,800, a 61% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $96,324 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Torrington and East Haven.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Naugatuck, Connecticut. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/0949880/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.