HarrisDemocratic54.7%117,877TrumpRepublican43.5%93,772OtherAll other candidates1.8%3,849
D+11.2- Lead
- 24,105
- Total
- 215,498
- vs nation
- D+12.7
- Turnout
- —
Akashiccounty
Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, CT
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic57.6%129,538TrumpRepublican41.0%92,358OtherAll other candidates1.4%3,134
D+16.5- Lead
- 37,180
- Total
- 225,030
- vs nation
- D+12.1
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic53.3%108,632TrumpRepublican42.6%86,787OtherAll other candidates4.0%8,236
D+10.7- Lead
- 21,845
- Total
- 203,655
- vs nation
- D+8.6
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic58.5%113,544RomneyRepublican40.4%78,326OtherAll other candidates1.1%2,118
D+18.2- Lead
- 35,218
- Total
- 193,988
- vs nation
- D+14.3
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic60.0%123,371McCainRepublican38.7%79,560OtherAll other candidates1.3%2,573
D+21.3- Lead
- 43,811
- Total
- 205,504
- vs nation
- D+14.0
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic53.5%105,485BushRepublican44.7%88,123OtherAll other candidates1.8%3,624
D+8.8- Lead
- 17,362
- Total
- 197,232
- vs nation
- D+11.3
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic56.4%103,149BushRepublican37.7%68,961OtherAll other candidates5.9%10,787
D+18.7- Lead
- 34,188
- Total
- 182,897
- vs nation
- D+18.2
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic53.3%93,042DoleRepublican34.1%59,469OtherAll other candidates12.6%21,949
D+19.2- Lead
- 33,573
- Total
- 174,460
- vs nation
- D+10.7
- Turnout
- —
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
Italian17.3%15.3%4.8%
Irish13.1%13.9%9.4%
German6.6%7.8%12.5%
English6.6%8.7%9.5%
Polish6.2%6.3%2.2%
French4.5%3.8%1.6%
American3.1%3.3%5.3%
French Canadian2.2%1.9%—
Puerto Rican10.8%8.1%1.8%
Dominican2.5%1.6%0.7%
Ecuadorian1.4%1.4%—
Mexican1.2%1.8%11.3%
Guatemalan0.7%0.9%0.5%
Colombian0.6%0.9%0.4%
Cuban0.4%0.3%0.7%
Honduran0.2%—0.3%
African American†6.7%6.0%9.9%
Jamaican1.6%1.8%0.4%
Haitian0.8%0.7%0.3%
African0.6%0.5%0.5%
Cape Verdean0.2%——
West Indian0.2%0.2%—
Asian Indian1.0%1.7%1.4%
Chinese1.0%1.1%1.3%
Filipino0.3%0.4%0.9%
Vietnamese0.3%0.2%0.6%
Pakistani0.3%0.2%—
Cambodian0.3%——
Korean0.2%0.3%0.4%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
| Measure | Naugatuck Valley Planning Region | Connecticut | United States |
|---|---|---|---|
| Median age | 41.8 | 41.2 | 39.1 |
| Age 18–24 | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% |
| Age 65 and older | 19.2% | 18.5% | 17.2% |
Household economy
| Measure | Naugatuck Valley Planning Region | Connecticut | United States |
|---|---|---|---|
| Median household income | $86,191 | $95,781 | $84,427 |
| Poverty rate | 11.2% | 10.0% | 12.5% |
| Bachelor's degree or higher (25+) | 33.8% | 42.5% | 35.6% |
Languages at home
| Measure | Naugatuck Valley Planning Region | Connecticut | United States |
|---|---|---|---|
| Speaks a non-English language at home | 23.3% | 23.4% | 22.3% |
| Spanish | 12.9% | 12.8% | 13.6% |
| French (incl. Cajun & Haitian) | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Russian, Polish, or other Slavic | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Other Indo-European | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
Religious landscape
| Measure | Naugatuck Valley Planning Region | Connecticut | United States |
|---|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 20.5% | 28.0% | 18.6% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 3.8% | 6.5% | 16.5% |
| Unclaimed / not counted | 67.6% | 54.0% | 51.5% |
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+11.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 454,9692024 5-year
- Median household income
- $86,1912024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 59.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 10.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 19.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+37.2 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+30.1 in 1896MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- South Central Connecticut Planning Region, CT · twin score 98.6
Akashiccounty2024 presidential electionNaugatuck Valley Planning Region, CTHarrisD+11.2
2024 precinct map of Naugatuck Valley Planning RegionPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin, and gold where an independent or third-party candidate carried the precinct. The same per-precinct values are available in the precinct results data table further down this page.
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
| Kamala Harris ✓Democratic | 54.7% | 117,877 |
|---|---|---|
| Donald TrumpRepublican | 43.5% | 93,772 |
| OtherAll other candidates | 1.8% | 3,849 |
Harris +50Trump +50
19 precincts · 215,498 votes. Hover any precinct for its result.
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1876–2024.
Precinct-level results (19 precincts) — table
| Precinct | Winner | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 140-Ansonia | Democratic | D+0.3 |
| 140-Beacon Falls | Republican | R+16.9 |
| 140-Bethlehem | Republican | R+22.2 |
| 140-Bristol | Republican | R+0.3 |
| 140-Cheshire | Democratic | D+11.0 |
| 140-Derby | Republican | R+2.8 |
| 140-Middlebury | Republican | R+12.0 |
| 140-Naugatuck | Republican | R+9.9 |
| 140-Oxford | Republican | R+21.3 |
| 140-Plymouth | Republican | R+25.5 |
| 140-Prospect | Republican | R+30.5 |
| 140-Seymour | Republican | R+17.7 |
| 140-Shelton | Republican | R+11.5 |
| 140-Southbury | Democratic | D+0.8 |
| 140-Thomaston | Republican | R+33.7 |
| 140-Waterbury | Democratic | D+10.8 |
| 140-Watertown | Republican | R+30.2 |
| 140-Wolcott | Republican | R+32.6 |
| 140-Woodbury | Republican | R+2.9 |
Precinct data
Results by precinct
19 precincts · 217,587 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -140-Waterbury140-Waterbury | 18,328 | 14,723 | 387 | 33,438 | 54.8% | 44.0% | D+10.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -140-Bristol140-Bristol | 14,125 | 14,218 | 394 | 28,737 | 49.2% | 49.5% | R+0.3 |
| Precinct -140-Shelton140-Shelton | 10,282 | 12,985 | 324 | 23,591 | 43.6% | 55.0% | R+11.5 |
| Precinct -140-Cheshire140-Cheshire | 9,390 | 7,498 | 345 | 17,233 | 54.5% | 43.5% | D+11.0 |
| Precinct -140-Naugatuck140-Naugatuck | 6,252 | 7,647 | 197 | 14,096 | 44.4% | 54.2% | R+9.9 |
| Precinct -140-Southbury140-Southbury | 6,315 | 6,207 | 198 | 12,720 | 49.6% | 48.8% | D+0.8 |
| Precinct -140-Watertown140-Watertown | 4,307 | 8,102 | 167 | 12,576 | 34.2% | 64.4% | R+30.2 |
| Precinct -140-Wolcott140-Wolcott | 3,189 | 6,343 | 146 | 9,678 | 33.0% | 65.5% | R+32.6 |
| Precinct -140-Seymour140-Seymour | 3,680 | 5,296 | 145 | 9,121 | 40.3% | 58.1% | R+17.7 |
| Precinct -140-Oxford140-Oxford | 3,327 | 5,160 | 101 | 8,588 | 38.7% | 60.1% | R+21.3 |
| Precinct -140-Ansonia140-Ansonia | 3,860 | 3,838 | 113 | 7,811 | 49.4% | 49.1% | D+0.3 |
| Precinct -140-Plymouth140-Plymouth | 2,354 | 4,001 | 107 | 6,462 | 36.4% | 61.9% | R+25.5 |
| Precinct -140-Woodbury140-Woodbury | 3,091 | 3,278 | 89 | 6,458 | 47.9% | 50.8% | R+2.9 |
| Precinct -140-Prospect140-Prospect | 2,069 | 3,915 | 64 | 6,048 | 34.2% | 64.7% | R+30.5 |
| Precinct -140-Derby140-Derby | 2,581 | 2,732 | 60 | 5,373 | 48.0% | 50.8% | R+2.8 |
| Precinct -140-Middlebury140-Middlebury | 2,209 | 2,820 | 83 | 5,112 | 43.2% | 55.2% | R+12.0 |
| Precinct -140-Thomaston140-Thomaston | 1,436 | 2,922 | 54 | 4,412 | 32.5% | 66.2% | R+33.7 |
| Precinct -140-Beacon Falls140-Beacon Falls | 1,533 | 2,169 | 59 | 3,761 | 40.8% | 57.7% | R+16.9 |
| Precinct -140-Bethlehem140-Bethlehem | 909 | 1,436 | 27 | 2,372 | 38.3% | 60.5% | R+22.2 |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | +7.4% |
| 1880 | +3.7% |
| 1884 | +6.6% |
| 1888 | +4.4% |
| 1892 | No data |
| 1896 | −30.1% |
| 1900 | −10.5% |
| 1904 | −19.8% |
| 1908 | −21.4% |
| 1912 | +3.3% |
| 1916 | −1.2% |
| 1920 | −27.5% |
| 1924 | −30.1% |
| 1928 | −4.1% |
| 1932 | +0.9% |
| 1936 | +16.9% |
| 1940 | +7.7% |
| 1944 | +4.8% |
| 1948 | −1.6% |
| 1952 | −11.5% |
| 1956 | −27.4% |
| 1960 | +11.7% |
| 1964 | +37.2% |
| 1968 | +7.3% |
| 1972 | −18.5% |
| 1976 | −5.5% |
| 1980 | −10.6% |
| 1984 | −21.4% |
| 1988 | −4.5% |
| 1992 | +5.0% |
| 1996 | +19.2% |
| 2000 | +18.7% |
| 2004 | +8.8% |
| 2008 | +21.3% |
| 2012 | +18.2% |
| 2016 | +10.7% |
| 2020 | +16.5% |
| 2024 | +11.2% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 1 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 47.6%97,130 | 52.4%106,893 | 204,023 |
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2025D+2.4
Presidential vote · 2024D+11.2
Registration leans Democratic; the presidential vote runs 8.8 points more Republican.
307,778 registered voters · 2025
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+175 net domestic migration · 2025
20212025
Net +4,650 over 2021–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $65,896 in average income, against $89,273 for residents who stayed — 26% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean D+18.2 on average — 7.1 points more Democratic-leaning than Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, CT itself (D+11.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Capitol Planning Region, CT1,821D+20.1
- South Central Connecticut Planning Region, CT1,655D+11.9
- Greater Bridgeport Planning Region, CT1,640D+19.6
- Western Connecticut Planning Region, CT1,208D+18.0
- Bronx County, NY539D+45.1
- Northwest Hills Planning Region, CT489R+5.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Capitol Planning Region, CT2,057
- South Central Connecticut Planning Region, CT1,515
- Greater Bridgeport Planning Region, CT807
- Western Connecticut Planning Region, CT648
- Northwest Hills Planning Region, CT622
- Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, CT303
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2021 | +2,481 |
| 2022 | +182 |
| 2023 | +925 |
| 2024 | +887 |
| 2025 | +175 |
Naugatuck Valley Planning Region sits in New England. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 37.2 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 30.1 points in 1896. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 11.2 points.
A population of 454,969, a 60% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $86,191 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of South Central Connecticut Planning Region and Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
South Central Connecticut Planning Region
Connecticut
98.6twin score
2000–2024 trajectory
Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region
Connecticut
97.0twin score
2000–2024 trajectory≠ English ancestry
Greater Bridgeport Planning Region
Connecticut
92.9twin score
2008–2024 trajectory≠ 12-yr trend
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, Connecticut. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/09140/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Naugatuck Valley Planning Region
New Haven
D+63~34% in this county
Waterbury
D+11~34% in this county
Meriden
D+13~34% in this county
West Haven
D+21~34% in this county
Milford city (balance)
D+1~34% in this county
Naugatuck
R+10~34% in this county
Torrington
R+14~29% in this county
East Haven
R+12~34% in this county
North Haven
R+8~34% in this county
Hartford
D+65~7% in this county
Ansonia
D+0~34% in this county
Wallingford Center
D+3~34% in this county
Connecticut at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, Connecticut vote in 2024?
In 2024, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, Connecticut voted Democratic by 11.2 points (D+11.2), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 215,498 votes cast, 117,877 went Democratic and 93,772 went Republican.
When did Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, Connecticut last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, Connecticut voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, Connecticut?
Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, Connecticut has a population of 454,969 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, Connecticut?
Median household income in Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, Connecticut is $86,191 — above the national median of $80,734. The Connecticut state median is $95,781.
What is the political history of Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, Connecticut?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, Connecticut from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 21 went Democratic and 16 went Republican.