- Lead
- 48,037
- Total
- 342,277
- vs nation
- D+15.5
Connecticut 3rd Congressional District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 70,895
- Total
- 360,057
- vs nation
- D+15.2
- Lead
- 45,465
- Total
- 326,663
- vs nation
- D+11.8
- Lead
- 66,982
- Total
- 312,380
- vs nation
- D+17.6
- Lead
- 77,663
- Total
- 330,280
- vs nation
- D+16.2
- Lead
- 34,532
- Total
- 316,295
- vs nation
- D+13.4
- Lead
- 62,008
- Total
- 294,608
- vs nation
- D+20.5
- Lead
- 58,822
- Total
- 280,456
- vs nation
- D+12.5
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+14.0MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 721,2892024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,522 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 474 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $90,3952024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 60.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 13.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 16.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+37.0 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+27.7 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Congressional District 1, CT · twin score 91.2
presidential history
Party record book
Connecticut 3rd Congressional District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
68.5%
182,456 votes · D+37.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 61.2%
Republican
Dwight D. Eisenhower1956
63.3%
158,383 votes · R+26.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · 60.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
213,177votes
59.2% of the vote · D+19.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 201,980 votes
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
181,853votes
60.1% of the vote · R+20.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 170,243 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Al Gore2000
+20.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+21.0 · U.S. D+0.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Al Smith, 1928 · +18.1 pts
Republican
Herbert Hoover1932
+13.3pts R vs U.S.
Place D+4.5 · U.S. D+17.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · +12.8 pts
Current officeholders
Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.
U.S. House
Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.
Connecticut's 3rd stretches from New Haven's dense urban core through shoreline suburbs to more rural towns, producing consistent double-digit Democratic presidential margins driven largely by the district's academic, healthcare, and port-economy workforce.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 37.0 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 27.7 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 5.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 14.0 points.
A population of 721,289, a 61% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $90,395 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 1 and Congressional District 5.
The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Connecticut 3rd Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/0903/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.