Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic28.2%423TrumpRepublican69.4%1,042OtherAll other candidates2.4%36
R+41.2
Lead
619
Total
1,501
vs nation
R+39.8
Turnout
—
BidenDemocratic28.1%438TrumpRepublican69.0%1,074OtherAll other candidates2.8%44
R+40.9
Lead
636
Total
1,556
vs nation
R+45.3
Turnout
—
ClintonDemocratic24.6%311TrumpRepublican70.3%890OtherAll other candidates5.1%65
R+45.7
Lead
579
Total
1,266
vs nation
R+47.8
Turnout
—
ObamaDemocratic33.8%406RomneyRepublican63.4%761OtherAll other candidates2.8%33
R+29.6
Lead
355
Total
1,200
vs nation
R+33.4
Turnout
—
ObamaDemocratic38.4%506McCainRepublican60.4%796OtherAll other candidates1.2%16
R+22.0
Lead
290
Total
1,318
vs nation
R+29.3
Turnout
—
KerryDemocratic30.0%365BushRepublican68.6%834OtherAll other candidates1.3%16
R+38.6
Lead
469
Total
1,215
vs nation
R+36.1
Turnout
—
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+41.2MIT Election Lab
Population
4,0592024 5-year
Median household income
$26,6612024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
68.4%2024 5-year
Black
0.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
20.7%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+45.7 in 2016MIT Election Lab
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−38.6%
2008
−22.0%
2012
−29.6%
2016
−45.7%
2020
−40.9%
2024
−41.2%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
28.2%Harris423
69.4%Trump1,042
2.4%
R+41.2
R+0.4
R+39.8
1,501
R
28.1%Biden438
69.0%Trump1,074
2.8%
R+40.9
D+4.9
R+45.3
1,556
R
24.6%Clinton311
70.3%Trump890
5.1%
R+45.7
R+16.2
R+47.8
1,266
R
33.8%Obama406
63.4%Romney761
2.8%
R+29.6
R+7.6
R+33.4
1,200
R
38.4%Obama506
60.4%McCain796
1.2%
R+22.0
—
R+29.3
1,318
R
30.0%Kerry365
68.6%Bush834
1.3%
R+38.6
—
R+36.1
1,215
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Nestled along Lake Isabella in the southern Sierra Nevada, this small Kern County community sits in terrain that consistently produces some of California's most conservative rural margins, far removed from the coastal population centers that dominate statewide outcomes.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 45.7 points in 2016. The 2024 margin was 41.2 points.
A population of 4,059, a 68% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $26,661 describe the city.
In 2024, Lake Isabella, California voted Republican by 41.2 points (R+41.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,501 votes cast, 423 went Democratic and 1,042 went Republican.
How many people live in Lake Isabella, California?
Lake Isabella, California has a population of 4,059 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Lake Isabella, California?
Median household income in Lake Isabella, California is $26,661 — below the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Lake Isabella, California?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Lake Isabella, California from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.