Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Bakersfield-Delano, CA
presidential margin
2008R+17.72012R+16.72016R+12.72020R+10.22024R+21.1
full record · 18922024
R+21.1
2024
median income$70,210U.S. $80,734 · CA $99,122
median age32.7U.S. 39.1 · CA 37.9
poverty rate19.1%U.S. 12.5% · CA 12.0%
bachelor’s+ (25+)18.8%U.S. 35.6% · CA 36.6%
non-english45.7%U.S. 22.3% · CA 44.4%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
Mexican50.4%
Salvadoran1.5%
Guatemalan0.8%
German5.7%
English5.6%
Irish4.8%
Filipino2.2%
Asian Indian1.5%
Chinese0.4%
African American4.3%
African0.2%
Aztec0.4%
religion
other traditions
Other Christian1.7%
Black Protestant1.0%
Mainline0.5%
Muslim0.4%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Bakersfield-Delano, CA, California

Akashic
Bakersfield-Delano, CATrumpR+21.1
2024 presidential margin by county for Bakersfield-Delano, CA, CAA map of the single county of Bakersfield-Delano, CA, CA, outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Kern County, CA · R+21.1
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald TrumpRepublican59.3%167,879
Kamala HarrisDemocratic38.2%108,241
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.American Independent2.5%7,126
D+60
R+60
A single county, filled by its 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover it for the full result.
County-level results (1 county) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Bakersfield-Delano, CA, CA — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Kern County, CARepublicanR+21.1
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
38.2%Harris108,241
59.3%Trump167,879
2.5%Kennedy7,126
−21.1%
283,246
R
43.7%Biden133,366
53.9%Trump164,484
2.4%Jorgensen7,442
−10.2%
305,292
R
40.4%Clinton98,689
53.1%Trump129,584
6.5%Johnson15,890
−12.7%
244,163
R
40.3%Obama89,495
57.0%Romney126,618
2.7%Johnson6,076
−16.7%
222,189
R
40.0%Obama93,457
57.7%McCain134,793
2.4%Nader5,558
−17.7%
233,808
R
32.5%Kerry68,603
66.5%Bush140,417
1.0%Badnarik2,154
−34.0%
211,174
R
36.2%Gore66,003
60.7%Bush110,663
3.1%Nader5,642
−24.5%
182,308
R
36.6%Clinton62,658
53.8%Dole92,151
9.7%Perot16,582
−17.2%
171,391
R
33.8%Clinton60,510
45.1%Bush80,762
21.2%Perot37,991
−11.3%
179,263
R
37.4%Dukakis55,083
61.5%Bush90,550
1.1%Paul1,660
−24.1%
147,293
R
34.0%Mondale49,567
65.0%Reagan94,776
1.0%Bergland1,401
−31.0%
145,744
R
33.7%Carter41,097
59.6%Reagan72,842
6.7%Anderson8,182
−26.0%
122,121
R
45.6%Carter50,567
52.3%Ford58,023
2.1%Macbride2,371
−6.7%
110,961
R
35.2%McGovern41,937
60.1%Nixon71,686
4.7%Schmitz5,570
−25.0%
119,193
R
42.5%Humphrey49,284
46.6%Nixon53,990
10.8%Wallace12,558
−4.1%
115,832
D
58.7%Johnson64,174
41.2%Goldwater45,014
0.1%Hass120
+17.5%
109,308
R
49.1%Kennedy51,440
50.4%Nixon52,800
0.4%Byrd465
−1.3%
104,705
R
48.3%Stevenson43,533
51.3%Eisenhower46,220
0.4%Andrews322
−3.0%
90,075
R
44.4%Stevenson36,151
54.8%Eisenhower44,600
0.7%Hallinan581
−10.4%
81,332
D
56.2%Truman33,029
41.6%Dewey24,464
2.2%Thurmond1,318
+14.6%
58,811
D
55.6%Roosevelt26,205
44.0%Dewey20,730
0.5%Thomas226
+11.6%
47,161
D
61.8%Roosevelt32,202
37.3%Willkie19,445
0.9%Thomas479
+24.5%
52,126
D
74.6%Roosevelt25,726
24.2%Landon8,345
1.2%Lemke408
+50.4%
34,479
D
70.3%Roosevelt19,634
25.1%Hoover7,011
4.6%Thomas1,275
+45.2%
27,920
R
36.4%Smith8,541
62.7%Hoover14,692
0.9%Thomas212
−26.2%
23,445
R
16.8%Davis3,159
46.1%Coolidge8,646
37.1%La Follette6,958
−29.2%
18,763
R
42.2%Cox6,095
49.0%Harding7,079
8.8%Debs1,270
−6.8%
14,444
D
59.9%Wilson9,566
35.1%Hughes5,611
5.0%Benson804
+24.7%
15,981
D
51.7%Wilson5,569
0.0%Taft0
48.3%Roosevelt5,196
+51.7%
10,765
R
44.5%Bryan2,215
45.6%Taft2,270
9.9%Debs493
−1.1%
4,978
R
37.7%Parker1,724
51.6%Roosevelt2,359
10.7%Debs488
−13.9%
4,571
D
52.3%Bryan1,960
45.2%McKinley1,692
2.5%Woolley94
+7.2%
3,746
D
54.0%Bryan1,763
43.8%McKinley1,430
2.2%Palmer72
+10.2%
3,265
D
50.4%Cleveland1,266
39.5%Harrison992
10.1%Weaver255
+10.9%
2,513
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −21.1% in 2024.flipped R · 1968−21.1%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892+10.9%
1896+10.2%
1900+7.2%
1904−13.9%
1908−1.1%
1912+51.7%
1916+24.7%
1920−6.8%
1924−29.2%
1928−26.2%
1932+45.2%
1936+50.4%
1940+24.5%
1944+11.6%
1948+14.6%
1952−10.4%
1956−3.0%
1960−1.3%
1964+17.5%
1968−4.1%
1972−25.0%
1976−6.7%
1980−26.0%
1984−31.0%
1988−24.1%
1992−11.3%
1996−17.2%
2000−24.5%
2004−34.0%
2008−17.7%
2012−16.7%
2016−12.7%
2020−10.2%
2024−21.1%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Voter registration in Bakersfield-Delano, CARegistered voters by party of registration, 2022–2024. Latest total 451,797 in 2024.112.9K225.9K338.8K451.8K451.8K20222024
DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties
Voter registration in Bakersfield-Delano, CA
YearTotal registeredDemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther
2022433,887151,871157,47988,83535,702
2024451,797152,791167,72592,49938,782
Source: California Secretary of State

Bakersfield-Delano anchors California's most reliably Republican media market, where petroleum extraction and large-scale agriculture shape a working-class electorate that consistently diverges from the coastal Democratic baseline by double-digit margins.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 51.7 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 34.0 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 10.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 21.1 points.

A population of 915,075, a 30% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,210 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Visalia, CA and Hanford-Corcoran, CA.

The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

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All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Bakersfield-Delano, CA, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/12540/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions

How did Bakersfield-Delano, CA, California vote in 2024?
In 2024, Bakersfield-Delano, CA, California voted Republican by 21.1 points (R+21.1), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 283,246 votes cast, 108,241 went Democratic and 167,879 went Republican.
When did Bakersfield-Delano, CA, California last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Bakersfield-Delano, CA, California voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Bakersfield-Delano, CA, California?
Bakersfield-Delano, CA, California has a population of 915,075 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Bakersfield-Delano, CA, California?
Median household income in Bakersfield-Delano, CA, California is $70,210 — below the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Bakersfield-Delano, CA, California?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Bakersfield-Delano, CA, California from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 11 went Democratic and 23 went Republican.