El Rio, California
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | +29.6% |
| 2008 | +43.9% |
| 2012 | +45.5% |
| 2016 | +55.2% |
| 2020 | +47.2% |
| 2024 | +25.6% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 60.7%Harris1,140 | 35.1%Trump660 | 4.2% | D+25.6 | R+21.6 | D+27.0 | 1,878 | |
| D | 72.4%Biden1,638 | 25.2%Trump571 | 2.3% | D+47.2 | R+8.0 | D+42.7 | 2,262 | |
| D | 75.0%Clinton1,454 | 19.8%Trump384 | 5.2% | D+55.2 | D+9.6 | D+53.1 | 1,939 | |
| D | 71.4%Obama1,154 | 25.9%Romney418 | 2.7% | D+45.5 | D+1.7 | D+41.7 | 1,616 | |
| D | 71.7%Obama1,261 | 27.8%McCain489 | 0.5% | D+43.9 | D+14.3 | D+36.6 | 1,759 | |
| D | 63.7%Kerry1,002 | 34.2%Bush537 | 2.1% | D+29.6 | — | D+32.0 | 1,572 |
El Rio is an unincorporated census-designated place just east of Oxnard where Latino residents account for roughly 90% of the population, making it one of Ventura County's most demographically concentrated communities and a reliable marker for tracking Latino voter mobilization trends.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 55.2 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 21.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 25.6 points.
A population of 6,368, a 16% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,598 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Gonzales and Interlaken.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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El Rio, California. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/0622370/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.