HarrisDemocratic61.0%115,601TrumpRepublican36.8%69,801OtherAll other candidates2.1%4,053
D+24.2- Lead
- 45,800
- Total
- 189,455
- vs nation
- D+25.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate house district
California 38th State House District
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic65.0%137,704TrumpRepublican32.7%69,330OtherAll other candidates2.2%4,704
D+32.3- Lead
- 68,374
- Total
- 211,738
- vs nation
- D+27.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic60.9%108,871TrumpRepublican30.6%54,778OtherAll other candidates8.4%15,095
D+30.3- Lead
- 54,093
- Total
- 178,744
- vs nation
- D+28.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic59.2%95,784RomneyRepublican37.9%61,293OtherAll other candidates2.9%4,636
D+21.3- Lead
- 34,491
- Total
- 161,713
- vs nation
- D+17.5
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic62.1%105,154McCainRepublican35.6%60,354OtherAll other candidates2.2%3,802
D+26.5- Lead
- 44,800
- Total
- 169,310
- vs nation
- D+19.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic54.9%83,424BushRepublican43.7%66,399OtherAll other candidates1.4%2,097
D+11.2- Lead
- 17,025
- Total
- 151,920
- vs nation
- D+13.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic54.2%74,646BushRepublican40.8%56,183OtherAll other candidates5.0%6,957
D+13.4- Lead
- 18,463
- Total
- 137,786
- vs nation
- D+12.9
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic50.2%62,130DoleRepublican36.5%45,216OtherAll other candidates13.3%16,460
D+13.7- Lead
- 16,914
- Total
- 123,806
- vs nation
- D+5.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+24.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 484,3012024 5-year
- Population density
- 321 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,510 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $96,6642024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 0.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 0.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+43.5 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+47.7 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Assembly District 4, CA · twin score 87.0
presidential history
Party record book
California 38th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
70.8%
7,524 votes · D+42.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1944 · 67.0%
Republican
Warren G. Harding1920
71.3%
1,984 votes · R+47.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1928 · 63.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
137,704votes
65.0% of the vote · D+32.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 115,601 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
69,801votes
36.8% of the vote · D+24.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 69,330 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Adlai Stevenson1956
+30.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+15.1 · U.S. R+15.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · +28.2 pts
Republican
Calvin Coolidge1924
+22.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+47.7 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Warren G. Harding, 1920 · +21.1 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
DSteve BennettState House · 38
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Assembly District 38 has delivered Democratic presidential margins above 20 points in recent cycles, reflecting a densely populated, majority-minority electorate in the eastern Los Angeles metro where Latino voter share drives consistent left-of-center results.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 43.5 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 47.7 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 8.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 24.2 points.
A population of 484,301, a 0% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $96,664 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Assembly District 4 and Assembly District 68.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Assembly District 4
California
87.0twin score
population scale2016–2024 trajectory≠ % Latino
Assembly District 68
California
86.2twin score
% Latinopopulation scale2016–2020 trajectory≠ Mexican ancestry
Assembly District 64
California
85.6twin score
% Latinopopulation scale2016–2020 trajectory≠ 12-yr trend
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
California 38th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/06038/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
California at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within California 38th State House District
counties it covers1
Frequently asked questions
How did California 38th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, California 38th State House District voted Democratic by 24.2 points (D+24.2), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 189,455 votes cast, 115,601 went Democratic and 69,801 went Republican.
When did California 38th State House District last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which California 38th State House District voted Republican was 1988.
How many people live in California 38th State House District?
California 38th State House District has a population of 484,301 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in California 38th State House District?
Median household income in California 38th State House District is $96,664 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of California 38th State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in California 38th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 29 went Democratic and 8 went Republican.