Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic47.7%809TrumpRepublican49.4%838OtherAll other candidates2.9%50
R+1.7
Lead
29
Total
1,697
vs nation
R+0.2
Turnout
—
BidenDemocratic51.7%970TrumpRepublican45.6%855OtherAll other candidates2.8%52
D+6.1
Lead
115
Total
1,877
vs nation
D+1.7
Turnout
—
ClintonDemocratic44.4%235TrumpRepublican47.3%250OtherAll other candidates8.3%44
R+2.8
Lead
15
Total
529
vs nation
R+4.9
Turnout
—
ObamaDemocratic43.8%755RomneyRepublican53.5%923OtherAll other candidates2.7%46
R+9.7
Lead
168
Total
1,724
vs nation
R+13.6
Turnout
—
ObamaDemocratic49.0%410McCainRepublican50.2%420OtherAll other candidates0.7%6
R+1.2
Lead
10
Total
836
vs nation
R+8.5
Turnout
—
KerryDemocratic40.1%328BushRepublican57.0%466OtherAll other candidates2.9%24
R+16.9
Lead
138
Total
818
vs nation
R+14.4
Turnout
—
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+1.7MIT Election Lab
Population
2,6712024 5-year
Median household income
$147,6162024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
63.4%2024 5-year
Black
3.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
15.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+6.1 in 2020MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+16.9 in 2004MIT Election Lab
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−16.9%
2008
−1.2%
2012
−9.7%
2016
−2.8%
2020
+6.1%
2024
−1.7%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
47.7%Harris809
49.4%Trump838
2.9%
R+1.7
R+7.8
R+0.2
1,697
D
51.7%Biden970
45.6%Trump855
2.8%
D+6.1
D+9.0
D+1.7
1,877
R
44.4%Clinton235
47.3%Trump250
8.3%
R+2.8
D+6.9
R+4.9
529
R
43.8%Obama755
53.5%Romney923
2.7%
R+9.7
R+8.5
R+13.6
1,724
R
49.0%Obama410
50.2%McCain420
0.7%
R+1.2
—
R+8.5
836
R
40.1%Kerry328
57.0%Bush466
2.9%
R+16.9
—
R+14.4
818
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Casa Conejo sits in the Pacific Coast. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 6.1 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 16.9 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 7.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 1.7 points.
A population of 2,671, a 63% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $147,616 describe the city.
In 2024, Casa Conejo, California voted Republican by 1.7 points (R+1.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,697 votes cast, 809 went Democratic and 838 went Republican.
When did Casa Conejo, California last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Casa Conejo, California voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Casa Conejo, California?
Casa Conejo, California has a population of 2,671 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Casa Conejo, California?
Median household income in Casa Conejo, California is $147,616 — above the national median of $80,734. The California state median is $99,122.
What is the political history of Casa Conejo, California?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Casa Conejo, California from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 1 went Democratic and 5 went Republican.