Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 2004–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic67.9%744TrumpRepublican28.7%315OtherAll other candidates3.4%37
D+39.1
Lead
429
Total
1,096
vs nation
D+40.6
BidenDemocratic64.0%823TrumpRepublican29.0%373OtherAll other candidates7.0%90
D+35.0
Lead
450
Total
1,286
vs nation
D+30.5
ClintonDemocratic71.4%959TrumpRepublican26.2%352OtherAll other candidates2.4%32
D+45.2
Lead
607
Total
1,343
vs nation
D+43.1
ObamaDemocratic69.5%1,078RomneyRepublican29.4%455OtherAll other candidates1.1%17
D+40.2
Lead
623
Total
1,550
vs nation
D+36.3
ObamaDemocratic75.8%1,031McCainRepublican21.8%297OtherAll other candidates2.4%32
D+54.0
Lead
734
Total
1,360
vs nation
D+46.7
KerryDemocratic79.0%1,169BushRepublican20.4%302OtherAll other candidates0.5%8
D+58.6
Lead
867
Total
1,479
vs nation
D+61.1
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
D+39.1MIT Election Lab
Population
3,4172024 5-year
Population density
949 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
3.6 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$20,1382024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
15.6%2024 5-year
Black
80.8%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
0.1%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+58.6 in 2004MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
2024 turnout
45.0%1,096 participants ÷ 2,434 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+14.7 ptsPersistently low turnout
Drop-off vs state
-0.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
30.2%–30.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
0%20%40%60%
34.3%
34.2%
20042008201220162018202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
1,096
2,434 ± 145
45.0%
Audited
E/A
2022Mid
936
2,735 ± 174
34.2%
Audited
E/A
1,303
2,666 ± 145
48.9%
Audited
E/A
2018Mid
959
2,792 ± 157
34.3%
Audited
E/A
1,396
2,824 ± 138
49.4%
Audited
E/A
1,550
2,980
52.0%
Derived
—
1,360
3,011
45.2%
Derived
—
1,479
3,042 extrapolated
48.6%
Derived
—
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
presidential history
Party record book
Marianna, AR · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
79.0%
1,169 votes · D+58.6
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 75.8%
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
29.4%
455 votes · D+40.2
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 29.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
1,169votes
79.0% of the vote · D+58.6
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 1,078 votes
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
455votes
29.4% of the vote · D+40.2
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 373 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
+61.1pts D vs U.S.
Place D+58.6 · U.S. R+2.5
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · +46.7 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
−30.5pts R vs U.S.
Place D+35.0 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · −36.3 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Marianna · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Lee County, Arkansas, the county containing Marianna — Marianna’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Marianna, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Marianna sits in the Arkansas Delta, where a majority-Black population and decades of economic contraction have shaped a consistently Democratic voting pattern in a state that trends sharply Republican at the statewide level.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 58.6 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 4.2 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 39.1 points.
A population of 3,417, a 16% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $20,138 describe the city.
In 2024, Marianna, Arkansas voted Democratic by 39.1 points (D+39.1), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 1,096 votes cast, 744 went Democratic and 315 went Republican.
How many people live in Marianna, Arkansas?
Marianna, Arkansas has a population of 3,417 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Marianna, Arkansas?
Median household income in Marianna, Arkansas is $20,138 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Marianna, Arkansas?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Marianna, Arkansas from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.
