† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupHorseshoe BendArkansasUnited States
English17.4%12.3%9.5%
German16.4%9.2%12.5%
Irish13.9%8.9%9.4%
American10.7%7.5%5.3%
Italian2.2%1.4%4.8%
Scottish2.1%1.8%1.3%
Polish1.4%—2.2%
Scotch-Irish1.2%0.6%—
Mexican1.5%6.3%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.2%0.3%1.8%
African American†1.4%13.5%9.9%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Horseshoe Bend
Arkansas
United States
Median age
53.4
38.8
39.1
Age 18–24
7.9%
9.4%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
31.5%
17.5%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Horseshoe Bend
Arkansas
United States
Median household income
$46,080
$60,773
$84,427
Poverty rate
26.2%
16.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
18.2%
26.0%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Horseshoe Bend
Arkansas
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
2.3%
8.3%
22.3%
Spanish
1.3%
6.2%
13.6%
Religious landscape
Measure
Horseshoe Bend
Arkansas
United States
Catholic
—
5.2%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
38.2%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
42.5%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Horseshoe Bend, Arkansas
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
+4.7%
2008
−21.6%
2012
−30.1%
2016
−50.2%
2020
−55.0%
2024
−59.0%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
19.1%Harris209
78.1%Trump854
2.8%
R+59.0
R+4.0
R+57.5
1,094
R
21.2%Biden218
76.2%Trump782
2.5%
R+55.0
R+4.8
R+59.4
1,026
R
23.1%Clinton219
73.3%Trump696
3.7%
R+50.2
R+20.1
R+52.3
950
R
33.3%Obama326
63.4%Romney621
3.4%
R+30.1
R+8.5
R+34.0
980
R
37.6%Obama381
59.2%McCain600
3.3%
R+21.6
R+26.3
R+28.9
1,014
D
51.0%Kerry601
46.3%Bush546
2.7%
D+4.7
—
D+7.1
1,179
Horseshoe Bend sits in the hill country of north-central Arkansas, a retirement and recreation community whose modest population consistently mirrors the heavily Republican lean of surrounding Izard County by double-digit margins.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 4.7 points in 2004 and a Republican high of 59.0 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 4.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 59.0 points.
A population of 2,555, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $46,080 describe the city.
In 2024, Horseshoe Bend, Arkansas voted Republican by 59.0 points (R+59.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,094 votes cast, 209 went Democratic and 854 went Republican.
When did Horseshoe Bend, Arkansas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Horseshoe Bend, Arkansas voted Democratic was 2004.
How many people live in Horseshoe Bend, Arkansas?
Horseshoe Bend, Arkansas has a population of 2,555 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Horseshoe Bend, Arkansas?
Median household income in Horseshoe Bend, Arkansas is $46,080 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Horseshoe Bend, Arkansas?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Horseshoe Bend, Arkansas from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 1 went Democratic and 5 went Republican.
