- Lead
- 9,990
- Total
- 14,893
- vs nation
- R+65.6
Arkansas 27th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 9,672
- Total
- 15,128
- vs nation
- R+68.4
- Lead
- 8,147
- Total
- 13,688
- vs nation
- R+61.6
- Lead
- 6,025
- Total
- 13,798
- vs nation
- R+47.5
- Lead
- 5,049
- Total
- 14,183
- vs nation
- R+42.9
- Lead
- 2,985
- Total
- 15,056
- vs nation
- R+17.4
- Lead
- 2,605
- Total
- 14,070
- vs nation
- R+19.0
- Lead
- 830
- Total
- 14,174
- vs nation
- R+2.7
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+67.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 31,1772024 5-year
- Population density
- 14 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 2,290 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $47,2232024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+33.7 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+67.1 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 155, MO · twin score 98.0
presidential history
Party record book
Arkansas 27th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
66.3%
3,330 votes · D+33.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Samuel J. Tilden, 1876 · 63.3%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
82.7%
12,312 votes · R+67.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 80.8%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
8,874votes
59.9% of the vote · D+19.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1992 · 7,368 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
12,312votes
82.7% of the vote · R+67.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 12,223 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+29.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+23.8 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +21.4 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+68.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+63.9 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +65.6 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 14.9%2,058 | 85.1%11,714 | 13,772 |
| 2020 | R | 5.3%722 | 94.7%12,829 | 13,551 |
Arkansas 27th State House District sits in the Mid-South. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 33.7 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 67.1 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 67.1 points.
A population of 31,177, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $47,223 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 155 and State House District 36.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Arkansas 27th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/05027/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.