HarrisDemocratic14.7%1,815TrumpRepublican83.3%10,260OtherAll other candidates2.0%248
R+68.5- Lead
- 8,445
- Total
- 12,323
- vs nation
- R+67.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate house district
Arkansas 28th State House District
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic15.5%1,944TrumpRepublican81.4%10,175OtherAll other candidates3.1%383
R+65.8- Lead
- 8,231
- Total
- 12,502
- vs nation
- R+70.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic18.2%2,086TrumpRepublican79.4%9,096OtherAll other candidates2.4%275
R+61.2- Lead
- 7,010
- Total
- 11,457
- vs nation
- R+63.3
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic24.1%2,688RomneyRepublican72.4%8,086OtherAll other candidates3.6%402
R+48.3- Lead
- 5,398
- Total
- 11,176
- vs nation
- R+52.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic28.2%3,157McCainRepublican67.5%7,564OtherAll other candidates4.4%489
R+39.3- Lead
- 4,407
- Total
- 11,210
- vs nation
- R+46.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic40.0%4,633BushRepublican58.6%6,785OtherAll other candidates1.4%164
R+18.6- Lead
- 2,152
- Total
- 11,582
- vs nation
- R+16.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic41.6%4,416BushRepublican55.6%5,908OtherAll other candidates2.8%300
R+14.0- Lead
- 1,492
- Total
- 10,624
- vs nation
- R+14.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic48.9%4,977DoleRepublican38.9%3,952OtherAll other candidates12.2%1,243
D+10.1- Lead
- 1,025
- Total
- 10,172
- vs nation
- D+1.6
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+68.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 31,0812024 5-year
- Population density
- 23 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,380 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $52,7772024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+73.7 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+68.5 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 141, MO · twin score 97.9
presidential history
Party record book
Arkansas 28th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
86.1%
2,837 votes · D+73.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Samuel J. Tilden, 1876 · 80.7%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
83.3%
10,260 votes · R+68.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 81.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
6,052votes
65.2% of the vote · D+30.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Bill Clinton, 1992 · 5,697 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
10,260votes
83.3% of the vote · R+68.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 10,175 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
William J. Bryan1896
+63.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+57.8 · U.S. R+6.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · +55.9 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+70.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+65.8 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +67.1 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RBart SchulzState House · 28
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 16.2%1,846 | 83.8%9,531 | 11,377 |
| 2020 | R | 0.0%0 | 100.0%11,209 | 11,209 |
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+68.5, this district sits among the most heavily one-sided state house seats in the country, suggesting a rural, homogeneous electorate where statewide races rarely generate competitive outcomes.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 73.7 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 68.5 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 68.5 points.
A population of 31,081, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $52,777 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 141 and State House District 24.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State House District 141
Missouri
97.9twin score
2016–2024 trajectory12-yr trend
State House District 24
Kentucky
97.7twin score
2016–2024 trajectory12-yr trend≠ English ancestry
State House District 5
Arkansas
97.6twin score
2016–2024 trajectory% Evangelical
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Arkansas 28th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/05028/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Arkansas at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Arkansas 28th State House District
counties it covers4
Frequently asked questions
How did Arkansas 28th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Arkansas 28th State House District voted Republican by 68.5 points (R+68.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 12,323 votes cast, 1,815 went Democratic and 10,260 went Republican.
When did Arkansas 28th State House District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Arkansas 28th State House District voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Arkansas 28th State House District?
Arkansas 28th State House District has a population of 31,081 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Arkansas 28th State House District?
Median household income in Arkansas 28th State House District is $52,777 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Arkansas 28th State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Arkansas 28th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 25 went Democratic and 12 went Republican.